Aftermath
After an RSI overbought reading, over the next month
The 14-day RSI rises above 70. Each stock's median gain after its own events of this kind in the past 5 years, from the close of the session the event was known. Updated .
The typical S&P 500 stock gained +0.57% over the next month after an RSI overbought reading (half of them between -0.97% and +1.95%), against +0.86% on any day.
Latest overbought readings, last few sessions
| Entry | Stock | Its median, 1 month | Confidence | Rank | Up | Events | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | ADI Analog Devices | RSI 72.3, +3.1% on the day | -0.02% | Medium | #296 of 501 | 50% | 16 |
| Oct 2 | IBRX | RSI 70.2, +10.8% on the day | -5.26% | Medium | #263 of 501 | 45% | 11 |
| Oct 2 | ILMN Illumina, Inc. | RSI 70.4, +2.8% on the day | +3.25% | Medium | #117 of 501 | 64% | 11 |
| Oct 2 | TSM | RSI 71.7, +3.0% on the day | +2.33% | Medium | #120 of 501 | 62% | 24 |
| Oct 2 | TXN Texas Instruments | RSI 70.4, +4.4% on the day | -2.47% | Medium | #398 of 501 | 33% | 12 |
| Oct 1 | ACN Accenture | RSI 70.0, +15.8% on the day | -0.62% | Medium | #410 of 501 | 46% | 13 |
| Oct 1 | AES AES Corporation | RSI 71.7, +0.1% on the day | -8.42% | Medium | #456 of 501 | 28% | 18 |
| Oct 1 | CDNS Cadence Design Systems | RSI 70.6, +6.2% on the day | +0.62% | Medium | #241 of 501 | 50% | 16 |
| Oct 1 | DDOG Datadog | RSI 70.3, +0.9% on the day | +3.70% | Medium | #125 of 501 | 71% | 17 |
| Oct 1 | KEYS Keysight Technologies | RSI 70.4, +2.7% on the day | -0.08% | Medium | #273 of 501 | 46% | 13 |
| Oct 1 | NTAP NetApp | RSI 70.1, +2.4% on the day | -1.30% | Medium | #464 of 501 | 40% | 15 |
| Oct 1 | SNPS Synopsys | RSI 74.4, +12.8% on the day | -0.96% | Medium | #287 of 501 | 47% | 17 |
| Sep 28 | DHR Danaher Corporation | RSI 71.3, +1.3% on the day | -2.23% | Low | #492 of 501 | 20% | 5 |
| Sep 28 | VTRS Viatris | RSI 73.5, +2.5% on the day | -0.68% | Medium | #352 of 501 | 50% | 16 |
Best after an RSI overbought reading
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BNY BNY Mellon | +3.11%+2.7 to +3.3 | High | +2.79% | 72% | +1.38% | -6% · +11% | 25 |
| 2 | VTR Ventas | +4.45%+3.9 to +5.3 | Medium | +4.17% | 87% | +2.61% | -8% · +10% | 15 |
| 3 | TT Trane Technologies | +4.26%+2.4 to +4.7 | Medium | +2.86% | 77% | +1.23% | -8% · +10% | 22 |
| 4 | PH Parker Hannifin | +3.72%+2.4 to +4.9 | High | +3.37% | 85% | +1.72% | -10% · +12% | 26 |
| 5 | ABBV AbbVie | +6.26%+2.8 to +6.6 | High | +4.06% | 79% | +4.30% | -11% · +11% | 24 |
| 6 | APH Amphenol | +4.97%+2.7 to +6.2 | Medium | +4.41% | 78% | +2.45% | -9% · +15% | 18 |
| 7 | RSG Republic Services | +2.33%+0.9 to +2.6 | Medium | +1.44% | 68% | +1.93% | -5% · +7% | 19 |
| 8 | NVR NVR, Inc. | +3.93%+1.1 to +5.0 | Medium | +4.71% | 100% | +1.59% | 0% · +13% | 10 |
| 9 | GL Globe Life | +2.97%+0.4 to +3.6 | Medium | +3.56% | 71% | +1.10% | -1% · +11% | 14 |
| 10 | REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | +4.00%+1.9 to +5.3 | Medium | +2.19% | 72% | +2.82% | -17% · +20% | 18 |
| 11 | SHW Sherwin-Williams | +2.70%+0.5 to +3.0 | Medium | +2.59% | 75% | +2.09% | -11% · +11% | 12 |
| 12 | RTX RTX Corporation | +1.85%+0.8 to +3.1 | High | +1.27% | 73% | -0.29% | -12% · +8% | 22 |
| 13 | URI United Rentals | +3.62%+0.5 to +4.9 | High | +2.22% | 67% | +1.46% | -19% · +18% | 21 |
| 14 | GE GE Aerospace | +4.28%+2.9 to +6.4 | Medium | +4.18% | 75% | +4.28% | -15% · +17% | 20 |
| 15 | KMI Kinder Morgan | +3.81%+1.7 to +4.5 | Medium | +3.30% | 85% | +2.55% | -9% · +12% | 13 |
| 16 | BRO Brown & Brown | +3.61%0.0 to +4.1 | Medium | +1.65% | 60% | +2.41% | -8% · +7% | 20 |
| 17 | MA Mastercard | +2.15%+1.2 to +2.2 | Medium | +0.90% | 75% | -0.99% | -7% · +6% | 12 |
| 18 | WMB Williams Companies | +2.91%+1.2 to +3.9 | Medium | +3.13% | 71% | +3.13% | -4% · +13% | 21 |
| 19 | SPY meme | +1.97%+0.5 to +3.3 | Medium | +1.33% | 75% | 0.00% | -8% · +5% | 20 |
| 20 | VST Vistra Corp. | +4.91%+2.1 to +6.2 | High | +4.07% | 73% | +3.70% | -16% · +32% | 22 |
| 21 | QQQ meme | +1.60%+1.5 to +2.8 | Medium | +1.87% | 68% | -0.01% | -6% · +13% | 19 |
| 22 | CNP CenterPoint Energy | +2.69%-0.4 to +4.9 | Medium | +1.75% | 67% | +4.59% | -6% · +7% | 12 |
| 23 | CHRW C.H. Robinson | +1.93%+1.3 to +3.5 | Medium | +1.34% | 74% | +1.67% | -28% · +14% | 19 |
| 24 | ADP Automatic Data Processing | +3.57%+0.1 to +4.1 | Medium | +1.18% | 67% | +1.73% | -11% · +8% | 15 |
| 25 | CASY Casey's | +1.92%-0.4 to +2.6 | Medium | +1.42% | 62% | +1.56% | -12% · +15% | 21 |
Worst after an RSI overbought reading
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WEN meme | -6.29%-8.3 to -5.3 | Low | -6.09% | 12% | -7.77% | -10% · +3% | 8 |
| 2 | ARE Alexandria Real Estate … | -7.73%-9.6 to -6.5 | Medium | -6.41% | 12% | -4.72% | -15% · +7% | 8 |
| 3 | PPL PPL Corporation | -1.69%-1.7 to -1.2 | Medium | -1.80% | 15% | +0.72% | -10% · +7% | 13 |
| 4 | TLT meme | -3.38%-4.1 to -3.0 | Low | -2.50% | 17% | -2.39% | -6% · +2% | 6 |
| 5 | MSCI MSCI | -4.07%-5.5 to -2.4 | Medium | -2.92% | 25% | -3.14% | -11% · +6% | 16 |
| 6 | RMD ResMed| | -4.80%-5.9 to -4.6 | Medium | -3.82% | 29% | -8.45% | -13% · +8% | 14 |
| 7 | SNA Snap-on | -2.14%-3.1 to -0.7 | Medium | -1.35% | 15% | -1.62% | -8% · +9% | 13 |
| 8 | MGM MGM Resorts | -5.75%-7.3 to -3.7 | Medium | -5.25% | 14% | -5.44% | -21% · +16% | 14 |
| 9 | L Loews Corporation | -1.51%-2.1 to -0.2 | Medium | -1.62% | 35% | -1.47% | -7% · +2% | 17 |
| 10 | NWS News Corp (Class … | -1.90%-3.0 to -0.6 | Medium | -2.27% | 33% | -4.99% | -16% · +9% | 15 |
| 11 | COF Capital One | -1.25%-2.3 to -0.9 | Medium | -0.98% | 17% | -4.10% | -10% · +18% | 12 |
| 12 | DHR Danaher Corporation | -2.23%-3.3 to -2.1 | Low | -2.87% | 20% | -3.05% | -7% · 0% | 5 |
| 13 | IWM meme | -1.65%-4.0 to -0.9 | Medium | -2.15% | 25% | -2.01% | -9% · +4% | 12 |
| 14 | CCI Crown Castle | -3.12%-3.8 to -2.8 | Medium | -1.71% | 25% | -2.25% | -8% · +11% | 8 |
| 15 | ITW Illinois Tool Works | -2.13%-4.7 to -1.9 | Medium | -2.46% | 27% | -1.79% | -11% · +6% | 15 |
| 16 | CI Cigna | -3.60%-3.9 to +0.3 | Medium | -2.85% | 36% | -2.47% | -18% · +3% | 11 |
| 17 | STE Steris | -2.09%-3.0 to 0.0 | Medium | -2.08% | 36% | -3.77% | -11% · +7% | 11 |
| 18 | NSC Norfolk Southern | -1.30%-3.1 to -0.7 | Medium | -0.70% | 36% | -3.82% | -8% · +11% | 14 |
| 19 | BIIB Biogen | -1.54%-3.7 to -1.3 | Medium | -1.60% | 22% | -4.00% | -6% · +7% | 9 |
| 20 | SYK Stryker Corporation | -1.76%-3.1 to -0.1 | Medium | -1.08% | 33% | -3.22% | -8% · +9% | 12 |
| 21 | RF Regions Financial Corporation | -1.23%-2.1 to +0.1 | Medium | -1.54% | 42% | -1.37% | -13% · +9% | 19 |
| 22 | UNP Union Pacific Corporation | -0.97%-2.0 to +1.3 | Medium | -0.67% | 38% | -1.56% | -9% · +10% | 13 |
| 23 | CPAY Corpay | -1.40%-3.0 to -0.2 | Medium | -0.75% | 29% | -0.58% | -6% · +8% | 14 |
| 24 | BKR Baker Hughes | -2.22%-3.3 to +1.1 | Medium | -0.90% | 41% | -2.43% | -20% · +17% | 17 |
| 25 | CB Chubb Limited | -1.23%-4.3 to -0.3 | Medium | -1.36% | 29% | -0.48% | -6% · +6% | 17 |
Stocks with at least 3 independent periods, ordered on an evidence-weighted median: each stock's median is pulled toward the S&P 500 typical value in proportion to its uncertainty, so a lucky handful of events cannot top the list. Confidence counts independent holding periods (overlapping ones count once): High 20+, Medium 8+, Low 3+. Median and average gain over the next month from the entry close; Up = share of events followed by a gain; vs SPY = median gain minus SPY over the same sessions. Ranks on the stock pages place each stock among the S&P 500 stocks. Small samples are noisy, and the past does not repeat on schedule. Not advice.