A
Moving with its group (XLV +2.3%)
- A +1.39% on the last session vs SPY +0.29%: +1.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- The health care ETF (XLV) +2.3% (+2.0 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, 52-week high ($176.41 today so far, above its 52-week closing high of $174.95): After its 6 new 52-week highs in the past 5 years, A was higher a day later 3 times out of 6; half the outcomes fell between -1.1% and +1.6%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (1 positive, 0 negative); latest: Barclays maintained Overweight, raised target $175 → $195.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices A only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
176.96 +1.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
180.70 +3.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 176.41 · prior close 174.00 | |
| Bargain buy side |
171.09 -1.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
167.55 -3.7% ↑ more often while near its 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 29% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 170.15 | 2 in 10 days | 177.94 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 171.09 | 3 in 10 days | 176.96 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 171.96 | 4 in 10 days | 176.06 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 165.51 | 2 in 10 weeks↑ 20% vs 18% | 182.93 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 167.55 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 29% vs 27% | 180.70 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 169.48 | 4 in 10 weeks↑ 44% vs 43% | 178.64 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From A's daily swings (about 1.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 29% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among A's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 195.00 +10.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 180.70 +2.4% |
| Mean analyst target | 178.50 +1.2% |
| Now | 176.41 |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 15, 2026 |
176.41 0.0% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
174.00 -1.4% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 167.55 -5.0% |
| 50-day average | 158.08 -10.4% |
| Lowest analyst target | 155.00 -12.1% |
| 200-day average | 133.90 -24.1% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 27, 2026 |
109.61 -37.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 27 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.