ABT
Moving with the market
- ABT +0.84% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: +0.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, rsi oversold (Sep 30): After its 17 oversold readings in the past 5 years, ABT typically gained 0.6% over the next day (median) and was higher 53% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -1.1% and +1.3%. An ordinary day: +0.0%. Among S&P 500 stocks after oversold readings, that ranks #52 of 496.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
After each kind of event
| Event | Events | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 1 quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any day | 1,255 | 0.0%#416 H | +0.1%#407 H | -0.1%#434 H | -1.0%#438 M |
| Big drop (-1.8% or worse) | 63 | -0.3%#499 H | +0.1%#415 H | +1.5%#232 H | +0.2%#397 M |
| Big gain (+1.5% or better) | 60 | -0.2%#474 H | 0.0%#414 H | +0.6%#381 H | +0.3%#410 M |
| Earnings beat | 15 | +0.3%#125 M | +0.7%#126 M | +1.9%#140 M | -2.5%#495 M |
| Earnings miss | — | — | — | — | — |
| 52-week high | 6 | +0.2%#179 L | +0.7%#168 L | -3.1%#453 L | -1.9%#335 L |
| 52-week low | 5 | -0.6%#258 L | -0.4%#217 L | +1.5%#151 L | +10.7%#88 L |
| Crossed above 200-day avg | 12 | -0.1%#332 M | -1.4%#485 M | +2.2%#137 M | +2.5%#341 M |
| Crossed below 200-day avg | 14 | 0.0%#291 M | +1.2%#41 M | +4.3%#41 M | +1.5%#382 M |
| RSI oversold Sep 30 | 17 | +0.6%#52 M | +0.3%#318 M | +2.1%#250 M | +5.4%#329 M |
| RSI overbought | 15 | +0.2%#152 M | +1.7%#13 M | -0.9%#371 M | -0.8%#339 M |
| Mention spike (Trendy) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Analyst upgrade | — | — | — | — | — |
| Analyst downgrade | — | — | — | — | — |
| Insider buy | — | — | — | — | — |
| Insider unplanned sale | — | — | — | — | — |
Median gain from the close of the session the event was known, over each holding period; #rank among the S&P 500 stocks after the same kind of event (#1 = best). "Big" is ABT's own: its worst / best 10% of days over the prior 2 years. Highlighted: happening in the latest session.
RSI overbought
The 14-day RSI rises above 70.
| Holding | Events | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Rank | Up | vs SPY | Range of outcomes (worst · 25–75% · median · best) | vs S&P 500 stocks (their medians) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 15 | +0.17% (-0.1 to +0.4) | Medium | #152 of 501 | 60% | +0.14% |
-2%
+3%
|
|
| 1 week | 15 | +1.73% (+0.7 to +2.1) | Medium | #13 of 501 | 67% | +0.66% |
-5%
+5%
|
|
| 1 month | 15 ≈12 indep. | -0.89% (-5.7 to +1.1) | Medium | #371 of 501 | 47% | -2.31% |
-11%
+11%
|
|
| 1 quarter | 13 ≈8 indep. | -0.83% (-11.5 to +0.7) | Medium | #339 of 501 | 46% | -4.92% |
-14%
+16%
|
Range of outcomes: all of ABT's overbought readings in the past 5 years, from the worst to the best result over each holding period; the box holds the middle half, the tick is the median. A wide box means the median alone says little. Hover the median for the average.
RSI overbought by trend
| When it happened | Events | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 1 quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long trendAbove its 200-day avg | 11 | +0.2%M vs 0.0% | +1.7%M vs 0.0% | -1.7%M vs -0.4% | +0.4%L vs -0.7% |
| Below its 200-day avg now | 1 | +2.7%– vs 0.0% | +2.5%– vs 0.0% | +11.1%– vs +0.9% | — |
| Medium trendAbove its 50-day avg | 13 | +0.2%M vs 0.0% | +1.7%M vs +0.1% | -1.7%M vs -0.4% | +0.1%M vs -1.6% |
| Below its 50-day avg now | — | — | — | — | — |
| Short trendAbove its 20-day avg | 15 | +0.2%M vs 0.0% | +1.7%M vs 0.0% | -0.9%M vs 0.0% | -0.8%M vs -2.2% |
| Below its 20-day avg now | — | — | — | — | — |
The same event split by where ABT stood against its 200-, 50- and 20-day averages when it happened (a dip in an uptrend vs a falling knife); "vs" is the plain any-day median in that trend; "now" marks where it stands today. Splitting halves the evidence, so watch the confidence letters: H / M / L.
Latest overbought readings
| Event | Entry | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 1 quarter | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aug 11 @ $109.72 | RSI 70.8, +1.0% on the day | +1.1% | +2.7% | -5.8% | … |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Jul 27 @ $104.49 | RSI 70.2, +1.4% on the day | +2.7% | +2.5% | +11.1% | … |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Feb 21 @ $130.68 | RSI 71.3, +1.3% on the day | 0.0% | +2.3% | -5.7% | -2.1% |
| Jan 23, 2025 | Jan 23 @ $119.35 | RSI 74.2, +4.6% on the day | +1.5% | +4.5% | +9.5% | +5.5% |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Oct 18 @ $115.03 | RSI 70.2, +1.3% on the day | -2.0% | -4.3% | -1.7% | -0.8% |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Sep 3 @ $109.96 | RSI 70.2, +1.2% on the day | -0.2% | +2.1% | -0.9% | +2.4% |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Feb 22 @ $112.97 | RSI 70.5, +1.0% on the day | +0.4% | -0.3% | -7.1% | -11.5% |
| Jan 4, 2024 | Jan 4 @ $104.84 | RSI 71.9, +1.3% on the day | -0.2% | +2.8% | +1.1% | +0.7% |
| Dec 11, 2023 | Dec 11 @ $100.34 | RSI 71.3, +1.6% on the day | +0.4% | +1.7% | +7.4% | +13.7% |
| Nov 22, 2023 | Nov 22 @ $97.02 | RSI 71.0, +0.8% on the day | +0.2% | +1.5% | +6.2% | +16.1% |
| Jul 20, 2023 | Jul 20 @ $105.06 | RSI 70.0, +4.2% on the day | +2.2% | +0.7% | -7.3% | -14.1% |
| Apr 19, 2023 | Apr 19 @ $104.99 | RSI 76.0, +7.8% on the day | -1.7% | -3.2% | -3.4% | +0.1% |
| Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 29 @ $128.60 | RSI 70.2, +0.5% on the day | -0.1% | -4.3% | -10.9% | -14.4% |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Dec 10 @ $122.39 | RSI 70.2, +1.4% on the day | +1.2% | +2.0% | +1.0% | -13.7% |
| Nov 16, 2021 | Nov 16 @ $119.22 | RSI 70.5, +1.1% on the day | -1.7% | -4.9% | +4.0% | -5.2% |
Aftermath: entry is the close of the first session the event was fully known (the same session for price moves, the reaction session for earnings, the next session for Reddit, analyst and insider events, which are dated by day). Repeats within a few sessions count as one event. Past performance after an event says nothing certain about the next one. Not advice.