AMRX
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices AMRX only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
21.95 +2.0% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 days · 25% vs usual 28% |
22.50 +4.6% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 27% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 21.51 | |
| Bargain buy side |
21.08 -2.0% reached 3 in 10 days |
20.57 -4.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 20.95 | 2 in 10 days | 22.09 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 21.08 | 3 in 10 days | 21.95 | 3 in 10 days↓ 25% vs 28% |
| Eager | 21.21 | 4 in 10 days | 21.81 | 4 in 10 days↓ 43% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 20.27 | 2 in 10 weeks | 22.83 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 19% |
| Balanced | 20.57 | 3 in 10 weeks | 22.50 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 27% vs 30% |
| Eager | 20.85 | 4 in 10 weeks | 22.19 | 5 in 10 weeks↓ 45% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From AMRX's daily swings (about 2.1% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 25% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 10 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 27% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | +3.1% | — | — | — |
| Sep 21, 2026 | +7.7% | +1.7% | -1.6% | — |
| Jul 16, 2026 | +4.9% | -0.4% | +0.6% | +4.8% |
| Jun 10, 2026 | +4.3% | +6.3% | +12.1% | +10.1% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | +1.9% | +3.0% | +4.8% | -7.9% |
| Dec 18, 2025 | +2.5% | +2.5% | +8.5% | -5.7% |
| Oct 31, 2025 | +8.2% | +5.1% | +10.9% | +31.7% |
| Oct 1, 2025 | +3.7% | +1.0% | -3.7% | +21.4% |
Big drop and big gain: among AMRX's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Aug 20, 2018 |
24.27 +12.8% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 22.50 +4.6% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
21.51 |
| 52-week closing high Oct 30, 2026 |
21.51 0.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 20.57 -4.4% |
| 50-day average | 19.12 -11.1% |
| 200-day average | 15.74 -26.8% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 30, 2025 |
10.00 -53.5% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 8 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.