BMBL
Analyst target raises behind the outperformance
- BMBL 0.00% on the last session vs SPY −0.91%: +0.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- Filing: 8-K: material agreement, Reg FD disclosure (item 1.01, 7.01) (filing)
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (1 positive, 0 negative); latest: UBS maintained Neutral, raised target $3.00 → $6.05.
- 11 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days, including 5 insider sales not under a 10b5-1 plan.
- Market backdrop (Thu): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Best and worst times to own BMBL in the past two years
Buying and selling at the close. Each colored stretch is the best or worst window for that holding period, green for a gain and red for a loss: longer holds are wider and darker underneath, shorter ones brighter on top. The grey line is the full two years. Letters mark events inside the windows (E earnings, A analyst, I insider, M mention spike, V volume spike, T theme move, N news). Hover a period above the chart to pick it out and see only its events; click it to hide or show it.
Best and worst window per holding period
| Best | Worst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hold for | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank |
| one single day | Oct 12, 2026 | Oct 13, 2026 | +56.6% | #2 | Feb 18, 2025 | Feb 19, 2025 | -30.3% | #3 |
| one week | Oct 7, 2026 | Oct 14, 2026 | +138.8% | #2 | Feb 14, 2025 | Feb 21, 2025 | -38.4% | #2 |
| one month | Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 14, 2026 | +101.0% | #7 | Feb 4, 2025 | Mar 4, 2025 | -45.4% | #7 |
| 3 months | Jul 14, 2026 | Oct 14, 2026 | +103.8% | #28 | Jan 7, 2025 | Apr 7, 2025 | -53.3% | #3 |
| 6 months | Apr 13, 2026 | Oct 13, 2026 | +66.2% | #120 | Aug 13, 2025 | Feb 13, 2026 | -61.5% | #3 |
| one year | Oct 16, 2024 | Feb 4, 2025 | +23.4% | #370 | Feb 14, 2025 | Feb 17, 2026 | -67.6% | #5 |
Rank #2 for the best one week means 1 of the S&P 500 components had a better best-one week gain over the past year; for the worst windows #1 is the deepest fall. Updated .
What happened in each window
Best one single day Oct 12, 2026 → Oct 13, 2026 +56.6% · 3 events
- V Volume spike 19.8x average volume, +49.6% on the day
- N News catalyst Wall Street Journal reported Bumble in advanced talks to go private for roughly $1 billion.
- N News catalyst Bumble agreed to $1.3B all-cash acquisition by Ithaca Holdings at $6.05/share (Proactive Investors).
Best one week Oct 7, 2026 → Oct 14, 2026 +138.8% · 3 events
- V Volume spike 19.8x average volume, +49.6% on the day
- N News catalyst Wall Street Journal reported Bumble in advanced talks to go private for roughly $1 billion.
- N News catalyst Bumble agreed to $1.3B all-cash acquisition by Ithaca Holdings at $6.05/share (Proactive Investors).
Best one month Sep 14, 2026 → Oct 14, 2026 +101.0% · 4 events
- I Unplanned insider sale Bx Buzz Ml-1 Gp Llc (10% owner), $11,070,103
- V Volume spike 19.8x average volume, +49.6% on the day
- N News catalyst Wall Street Journal reported Bumble in advanced talks to go private for roughly $1 billion.
- N News catalyst Bumble agreed to $1.3B all-cash acquisition by Ithaca Holdings at $6.05/share (Proactive Investors).
Best 3 months Jul 14, 2026 → Oct 14, 2026 +103.8% · 5 events
- E Earnings beat 2Q2026 · EPS +$0.25 (>+100%) vs consensus · -6.4% reaction
- I Unplanned insider sale Bx Buzz Ml-1 Gp Llc (10% owner), $11,070,103
- V Volume spike 19.8x average volume, +49.6% on the day
- N News catalyst Wall Street Journal reported Bumble in advanced talks to go private for roughly $1 billion.
- N News catalyst Bumble agreed to $1.3B all-cash acquisition by Ithaca Holdings at $6.05/share (Proactive Investors).
Best 6 months Apr 13, 2026 → Oct 13, 2026 +66.2% · 10 events
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, -20.1% on the day
- E Earnings beat 1Q2026 · EPS +$0.05 (+19.3%) vs consensus · -20.1% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.6x average volume, +4.1% on the day
- I Unplanned insider sale Bx Buzz Ml-1 Gp Llc (10% owner), $28,228,310
- V Volume spike 5.1x average volume, +8.1% on the day
- E Earnings beat 2Q2026 · EPS +$0.25 (>+100%) vs consensus · -6.4% reaction
- I Unplanned insider sale Bx Buzz Ml-1 Gp Llc (10% owner), $11,070,103
- V Volume spike 19.8x average volume, +49.6% on the day
- N News catalyst Wall Street Journal reported Bumble in advanced talks to go private for roughly $1 billion.
- N News catalyst Bumble agreed to $1.3B all-cash acquisition by Ithaca Holdings at $6.05/share (Proactive Investors).
Best one year Oct 16, 2024 → Feb 4, 2025 +23.4% · 2 events
- V Volume spike 3.1x average volume, +4.4% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$2.09 (>+100%) vs consensus · -0.4% reaction
Worst one single day Feb 18, 2025 → Feb 19, 2025 -30.3% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 3.6x average volume, -4.3% on the day
Worst one week Feb 14, 2025 → Feb 21, 2025 -38.4% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 3.6x average volume, -4.3% on the day
Worst one month Feb 4, 2025 → Mar 4, 2025 -45.4% · 2 events
- V Volume spike 3.6x average volume, -4.3% on the day
- E Earnings miss EPS −$0.05 (−14.3%) vs consensus · -6.0% reaction
Worst 3 months Jan 7, 2025 → Apr 7, 2025 -53.4% · 2 events
- V Volume spike 3.6x average volume, -4.3% on the day
- E Earnings miss EPS −$0.05 (−14.3%) vs consensus · -6.0% reaction
Worst 6 months Aug 13, 2025 → Feb 13, 2026 -61.5% · 4 events
- A Analyst downgrade Goldman Sachs: Buy → Neutral
- V Volume spike 3.2x average volume, -21.8% on the day
- E Earnings miss 3Q2025 · EPS −$0.25 (−46.2%) vs consensus · -21.8% reaction
- A Analyst downgrade RBC Capital: Outperform → Sector Perform
Worst one year Feb 14, 2025 → Feb 17, 2026 -67.6% · 11 events
- V Volume spike 3.6x average volume, -4.3% on the day
- E Earnings miss EPS −$0.05 (−14.3%) vs consensus · -6.0% reaction
- E Earnings miss EPS −$0.15 (−40.5%) vs consensus · +26.6% reaction
- V Volume spike 4.8x average volume, +26.6% on the day
- V Volume spike 5.1x average volume, +25.1% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.04 (+10.3%) vs consensus · -15.9% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, -15.9% on the day
- A Analyst downgrade Goldman Sachs: Buy → Neutral
- V Volume spike 3.2x average volume, -21.8% on the day
- E Earnings miss 3Q2025 · EPS −$0.25 (−46.2%) vs consensus · -21.8% reaction
- A Analyst downgrade RBC Capital: Outperform → Sector Perform
From Wallsti's event record (Aftermath's events over the two years, plus the AI-read news catalysts, which only cover recent weeks). An event is no proof of cause: check the dates against the line.
Today vs. the best starting days
| As of | 1d | 1w | 1m | 3m | 6m | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 16, 2026 |
0.0% | +133.5% | +97.7% | +95.7% | +37.6% | +11.3% |
| Best one single day Oct 12, 2026 |
+49.6% | +49.0% | +27.1% | +25.4% | +11.8% | -25.0% |
| Best one week Oct 7, 2026 |
-0.4% | -4.9% | -13.8% | -19.9% | -28.2% | -57.0% |
| Best one month Sep 14, 2026 |
-0.7% | +2.4% | +9.6% | +9.2% | -21.2% | -56.5% |
| Best 3 months Jul 14, 2026 |
-5.8% | -6.1% | +7.7% | -22.3% | -18.4% | -56.1% |
| Best 6 months Apr 13, 2026 |
+5.3% | +3.8% | -5.0% | -1.1% | -31.7% | -9.4% |
| Best one year Oct 16, 2024 |
+1.4% | +7.7% | +13.1% | -30.3% | -30.3% | -50.2% |
Trailing gains over each window, today and on the day each best window started, to compare today's setup with the best entries.