BTC
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices BTC only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
78,500.50 +1.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
80,140.61 +3.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 77,198.21 | |
| Bargain buy side |
75,917.53 -1.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
74,363.84 -3.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 75,506.17 | 2 in 10 days | 78,928.17 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 75,917.53 | 3 in 10 days | 78,500.50 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 76,303.02 | 4 in 10 days | 78,103.90 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 73,465.85 | 2 in 10 weeks | 81,120.19 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 74,363.84 | 3 in 10 weeks | 80,140.61 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 75,210.84 | 4 in 10 weeks | 79,238.09 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From BTC's daily swings (about 1.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among BTC's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Oct 6, 2025 |
124,752.53 +61.6% |
| 52-week closing high Sep 21, 2026 |
86,602.91 +12.2% |
| 50-day average | 81,891.13 +6.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 80,140.61 +3.8% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
77,198.21 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 74,363.84 -3.7% |
| 200-day average | 73,115.41 -5.3% |
| 52-week closing low Jun 30, 2026 |
58,558.86 -24.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 18 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.