CAT
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- CAT −4.54% on the last session vs SPY −0.29%: −4.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, volume spike (3.9× average volume on pace today so far): After its 6 volume spikes in the past 5 years, CAT was higher a day later 2 times out of 6; half the outcomes fell between -0.9% and +1.8%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
- Activity: volume on pace for 3.9× its 20-day average.
Insiders
Officers, directors and 10% owners file SEC Form 4 within two business days. Unplanned: the insider chose to trade now, the trades worth attention; their dollars make the net above. 10b5-1 plan: scheduled in advance, kept for the record. Tax: shares withheld on vesting stock, not a market trade. Awards, option exercises and gifts are left out. Source: SEC EDGAR, collected daily for the stocks discussed on Reddit.
Congress
| Trade date | Member | Chamber | Side | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Lisa McClain | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Oct 12 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Jared Moskowitz | House | Sell | $1K–$15K | Apr 30 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | John Boozman | Senate | Buy | $1K–$15K | Feb 15 |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Markwayne Mullin | Senate | Buy | $15K–$50K | Jan 16 |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Dec 15 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Nov 18 |
Members of Congress report trades within 45 days of the trade date, so these are never real-time. Amounts are disclosed as ranges; the net uses each range's midpoint (≈). Source: House and Senate periodic transaction reports via CongressInvests, refreshed daily.
Funds
| Investor | Shares | Value | Of its portfolio | Vs quarter before | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gates Foundation Trust (Bill Gates) | 6,353,614 | $6.8B | 19.7% | — | Q2 2026 |
| ARK Invest (Cathie Wood) | 32,335 | $24.2M | ARKQ 1.3% | — | Oct 15 |
| Bridgewater (Ray Dalio's firm) | 7,329 | $7.8M | 0.03% | -91% | Q2 2026 |
| Date | Investor | Move | Source | Shares | ≈ Value | Now held | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bridgewater (Ray Dalio's firm) | Trimmed | 13F, Q2 2026 | 75,173 | $80.1M | 0.0% | Aug 14 |
| May 15, 2026 | Bridgewater (Ray Dalio's firm) | Added | 13F, Q1 2026 | 20,345 | $14.4M | 0.3% | May 15 |
Well-known investors we follow (Buffett, Ackman, Icahn, Druckenmiller, Tepper, Soros and others). 13F: managers report their US stock holdings up to 45 days after each quarter; the change from the quarter before is dated by the filing, the trades happened some time in the quarter, and the value is at the quarter-end price (≈). New and closed positions, and adds or cuts of 20% or more, of positions at least 0.2% of the portfolio. ARK: Cathie Wood's ETFs publish their holdings every morning; the change beyond the fund's own inflows and outflows, dated by the session it traded. 5%+ stake: Schedule 13D (with intent to influence) or 13G (passive), filed within days. Source: SEC EDGAR, ark-funds.com, refreshed daily. Who holds it: each investor's latest 13F portfolio (positions at the quarter's end; one sold since would not show until the next filing), and ARK's ETFs as of their latest daily file. The funds we follow and their portfolios · All recent insider, congressional and fund moves