CMG
Moving with its group (XLY +1.5%)
- CMG +0.95% on the last session vs SPY +0.04%: +0.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- The consumer discretionary ETF (XLY) +1.5% (+1.4 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, big gain (Oct 8): After its 68 big gains in the past 5 years, CMG was higher a day later 38 times out of 68; half the outcomes fell between -0.9% and +1.5%. History, not a forecast.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Insiders
Officers, directors and 10% owners file SEC Form 4 within two business days. Unplanned: the insider chose to trade now, the trades worth attention; their dollars make the net above. 10b5-1 plan: scheduled in advance, kept for the record. Tax: shares withheld on vesting stock, not a market trade. Awards, option exercises and gifts are left out. Source: SEC EDGAR, collected daily for the stocks discussed on Reddit.
Congress
| Trade date | Member | Chamber | Side | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Byron Donalds | House | Sell | $1K–$15K | May 13 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Byron Donalds | House | Sell | $1K–$15K | May 13 |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Dec 15 |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Julia Letlow | House | Sell | $1K–$15K | Jan 13 |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Markwayne Mullin | Senate | Sell | $15K–$50K | Nov 21 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Cleo Fields | House | Sell | $15K–$50K | Nov 12 |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Byron Donalds | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Nov 18 |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Byron Donalds | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Nov 18 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Sell | $1K–$15K | Oct 10 |
Members of Congress report trades within 45 days of the trade date, so these are never real-time. Amounts are disclosed as ranges; the net uses each range's midpoint (≈). Source: House and Senate periodic transaction reports via CongressInvests, refreshed daily.
Funds
| Investor | Shares | Value | Of its portfolio | Vs quarter before | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridgewater (Ray Dalio's firm) | 73,870 | $2.5M | 0.01% | -2% | Q2 2026 |
| Date | Investor | Move | Source | Shares | ≈ Value | Now held | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Third Point (Dan Loeb) | Sold out | 13F, Q1 2026 | 4,725,000 | $174.8M | May 15 | |
| May 15, 2026 | Duquesne Family Office (Stanley Druckenmiller) | Sold out | 13F, Q1 2026 | 391,930 | $14.5M | May 15 | |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Viking Global (Andreas Halvorsen) | Sold out | 13F, Q4 2025 | 6,636,563 | $260.1M | Feb 17 | |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Third Point (Dan Loeb) | New stake | 13F, Q4 2025 | 4,725,000 | $174.8M | 2.4% | Feb 17 |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Duquesne Family Office (Stanley Druckenmiller) | Added | 13F, Q4 2025 | 158,725 | $5.9M | 0.3% | Feb 17 |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Pershing Square (Bill Ackman) | Sold out | 13F, Q4 2025 | 21,541,177 | $844.2M | Feb 17 | |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Duquesne Family Office (Stanley Druckenmiller) | New stake | 13F, Q3 2025 | 233,205 | $9.1M | 0.2% | Nov 14 |
Well-known investors we follow (Buffett, Ackman, Icahn, Druckenmiller, Tepper, Soros and others). 13F: managers report their US stock holdings up to 45 days after each quarter; the change from the quarter before is dated by the filing, the trades happened some time in the quarter, and the value is at the quarter-end price (≈). New and closed positions, and adds or cuts of 20% or more, of positions at least 0.2% of the portfolio. ARK: Cathie Wood's ETFs publish their holdings every morning; the change beyond the fund's own inflows and outflows, dated by the session it traded. 5%+ stake: Schedule 13D (with intent to influence) or 13G (passive), filed within days. Source: SEC EDGAR, ark-funds.com, refreshed daily. Who holds it: each investor's latest 13F portfolio (positions at the quarter's end; one sold since would not show until the next filing), and ARK's ETFs as of their latest daily file. The funds we follow and their portfolios · All recent insider, congressional and fund moves