CON
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices CON only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
41.05 +1.7% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
41.90 +3.8% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 40.38 | |
| Bargain buy side |
39.72 -1.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
38.91 -3.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 39.50 | 2 in 10 days | 41.28 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 39.72 | 3 in 10 days | 41.05 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 39.92 | 4 in 10 days | 40.85 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 38.45 | 2 in 10 weeks | 42.41 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 38.91 | 3 in 10 weeks | 41.90 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 39.35 | 4 in 10 weeks | 41.44 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From CON's daily swings (about 1.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | -2.6% | +5.8% | +19.8% | — |
| Sep 17, 2026 | -2.3% | -2.6% | +8.5% | — |
| Aug 11, 2026 | -3.1% | +6.1% | +3.9% | — |
| Jul 29, 2026 | -3.3% | -2.7% | +10.0% | +26.8% |
| Apr 21, 2026 | -2.6% | +1.3% | +14.4% | +40.7% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | -2.7% | -0.6% | +6.8% | +41.3% |
| Mar 19, 2026 | -3.9% | -1.0% | +4.4% | +30.7% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | -2.7% | -1.7% | -6.3% | +11.5% |
Big drop and big gain: among CON's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 41.90 +3.8% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 29, 2026 |
41.25 +2.2% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
40.38 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 38.91 -3.6% |
| 50-day average | 36.32 -10.1% |
| 200-day average | 28.43 -29.6% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 6, 2025 |
18.52 -54.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 2 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.