DLR
Moving with the market
- DLR −0.49% on the last session vs SPY −0.03%: −0.5 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices DLR only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
175.19 +1.8% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
179.11 +4.1% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 171.25 · prior close 172.09 | |
| Bargain buy side |
169.04 -1.8% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
165.35 -3.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 168.06 | 2 in 10 days | 176.21 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 169.04 | 3 in 10 days | 175.19 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 169.96 | 4 in 10 days | 174.25 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 163.22 | 2 in 10 weeks | 181.45 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 165.35 | 3 in 10 weeks | 179.11 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 167.36 | 4 in 10 weeks | 176.95 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From DLR's daily swings (about 1.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | -2.3% | -4.6% | — | — |
| Sep 23, 2026 | -2.3% | -3.3% | — | — |
| Sep 10, 2026 | -2.0% | +0.1% | -2.9% | — |
| Aug 21, 2026 | -1.9% | -2.7% | -1.9% | — |
| Jul 29, 2026 | -2.6% | +3.6% | +2.1% | — |
| Jul 14, 2026 | -2.7% | +3.6% | +13.8% | +4.8% |
| Jun 30, 2026 | -5.8% | -1.8% | +7.6% | -1.0% |
| Jun 10, 2026 | -2.2% | +4.2% | -0.9% | +3.2% |
Big drop and big gain: among DLR's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 250.00 +46.0% |
| Mean analyst target | 223.44 +30.5% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Apr 20, 2026 |
201.18 +17.5% |
| Lowest analyst target | 190.00 +10.9% |
| 50-day average | 184.73 +7.9% |
| 200-day average | 180.16 +5.2% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 179.11 +4.6% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
172.09 +0.5% |
| Now | 171.25 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 165.35 -3.4% |
| 52-week closing low Dec 18, 2025 |
144.96 -15.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 22 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.