EL
Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. (T · Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products
TECHNeutralZACKSHold
R500#62 today
$91.97
+1.97% today · -2.65% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- EL +1.97% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: +1.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, crossed above 200-day avg (Oct 2): After its 8 crosses above the 200-day average in the past 5 years, EL typically lost 5.1% over the next month (median) and was higher only 38% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -12.1% and +2.2%. An ordinary month: -2.4%. Among S&P 500 stocks after crosses above the 200-day average, that ranks #362 of 497.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Nov 2
Before the open · in 29 days
EPS estimate
$0.51
$0.45 to $0.59 · 21 analysts
Revenue estimate
$3.6B
$3.6B to $3.7B
Track record
7/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±10.2% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 BMO | 4Q2026 | $0.32 | $0.39 | +$0.07 (+22.1%) beat | $3.6B | +16.3% +16.1 vs SPY | +11.2% | +24.4% |
| May 1, 2026 BMO | 3Q2026 | $0.65 | $0.91 | +$0.26 (+40.2%) beat | $3.7B | +3.4% +3.1 vs SPY | +12.1% | +11.2% |
| Feb 5, 2026 BMO | 2Q2026 | $0.83 | $0.89 | +$0.06 (+6.6%) beat | $4.2B | -19.2% -17.9 vs SPY | -12.4% | -11.9% |
| Oct 30, 2025 BMO | 1Q2026 | $0.18 | $0.32 | +$0.14 (+81.9%) beat | $3.5B | +0.3% +1.4 vs SPY | -2.9% | -6.4% |
| Aug 20, 2025 BMO | $0.09 | $0.09 | $0.00 in line | — | -3.7% -3.4 vs SPY | -4.3% | -0.1% | |
| May 1, 2025 BMO | $0.31 | $0.65 | +$0.34 (>+100%) beat | — | -1.8% -2.5 vs SPY | -1.4% | -1.2% | |
| Feb 4, 2025 BMO | $0.32 | $0.62 | +$0.30 (+93.8%) beat | — | -16.1% -16.7 vs SPY | -7.6% | -17.0% | |
| Oct 31, 2024 BMO | $0.10 | $0.14 | +$0.04 (+40.0%) beat | — | -20.9% -18.9 vs SPY | -24.4% | -27.4% | |
| Aug 19, 2024 BMO | $0.25 | $0.64 | +$0.39 (>+100%) beat | — | -2.2% -3.2 vs SPY | +0.1% | -1.3% | |
| May 1, 2024 BMO | $0.50 | $0.97 | +$0.47 (+94.0%) beat | — | -13.2% -12.9 vs SPY | -4.3% | -11.7% | |
| Feb 5, 2024 BMO | $0.56 | $0.88 | +$0.32 (+57.1%) beat | — | +12.1% +12.4 vs SPY | +18.9% | +6.9% | |
| Nov 1, 2023 BMO | −$0.20 | $0.11 | +$0.31 (>+100%) beat | — | -18.9% -20.0 vs SPY | -15.2% | -10.3% | |
| Aug 18, 2023 BMO | −$0.04 | $0.07 | +$0.11 beat | — | -3.3% -3.4 vs SPY | -6.2% | -7.0% | |
| May 3, 2023 BMO | $0.51 | $0.47 | −$0.04 (−7.8%) miss | — | -17.3% -16.6 vs SPY | -20.9% | -17.9% | |
| Feb 2, 2023 BMO | $1.29 | $1.54 | +$0.25 (+19.4%) beat | — | -4.4% -5.9 vs SPY | -2.5% | -7.7% | |
| Nov 2, 2022 BMO | $1.31 | $1.37 | +$0.06 (+4.6%) beat | — | -8.1% -5.6 vs SPY | -7.3% | +0.6% | |
| Aug 18, 2022 BMO | $0.37 | $0.42 | +$0.05 (+13.5%) beat | — | +1.8% +1.6 vs SPY | -2.0% | -4.0% | |
| May 3, 2022 BMO | $1.67 | $1.90 | +$0.23 (+13.8%) beat | — | -5.8% -6.3 vs SPY | -12.7% | -10.4% | |
| Feb 3, 2022 BMO | $2.64 | $3.01 | +$0.37 (+14.0%) beat | — | -5.0% -2.7 vs SPY | -4.5% | +0.3% | |
| Nov 2, 2021 BMO | $1.70 | $1.89 | +$0.19 (+11.2%) beat | — | +4.1% +3.7 vs SPY | -2.8% | +7.5% | |
| Aug 19, 2021 BMO | $0.50 | $0.78 | +$0.28 (+56.0%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| May 3, 2021 BMO | $1.32 | $1.62 | +$0.30 (+22.7%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Feb 5, 2021 BMO | $1.69 | $2.61 | +$0.92 (+54.4%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Nov 2, 2020 BMO | $0.90 | $1.44 | +$0.54 (+60.0%) beat | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $0.51 (21) | $0.45 – $0.59 | +58% | +6.6% | ▲11 ▼4 | $3.6B | +5% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $1.21 (20) | $1.15 – $1.28 | +36% | +2.7% | ▲11 ▼4 | $4.4B | +5% |
| Current year · Jun 30, 2027 | $3.32 (29) | $3.20 – $3.52 | +32% | +4.3% | ▲21 ▼4 | $15.7B | +4% |
| Next year · Jun 30, 2028 | $3.91 (28) | $3.49 – $4.30 | +18% | +1.5% | ▲12 ▼4 | $16.4B | +4% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.