ELPC
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices ELPC only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
11.08 +5.0% reached 3 in 10 days |
11.77 +11.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 10.66 · prior close 10.55 | |
| Bargain buy side |
10.04 -4.8% reached 3 in 10 days |
9.45 -10.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 9.89 | 2 in 10 days | 11.26 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 10.04 | 3 in 10 days | 11.08 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 10.19 | 4 in 10 days | 10.92 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 9.12 | 2 in 10 weeks | 12.20 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 9.45 | 3 in 10 weeks | 11.77 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 9.77 | 4 in 10 weeks | 11.39 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From ELPC's daily swings (about 5.1% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among ELPC's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 9, 2026 |
14.19 +33.1% |
| 50-day average | 12.55 +17.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 11.77 +10.4% |
| 200-day average | 11.75 +10.2% |
| Now | 10.66 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
10.55 -1.1% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 9.45 -11.4% |
| 52-week closing low Dec 24, 2025 |
8.73 -18.2% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 3 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.