FICO
Fair Isaac Corporation · Technology · Software - Application
$661.25
-0.08% today · -23.39% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Analyst cuts weighing on the stock
- FICO −0.08% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −0.8 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, analyst downgrade (Oct 1): After its 2 analyst downgrades in the past 5 years, FICO typically gained 2.1% over the next day (median) and was higher 50% of the time. An ordinary day: +0.2%. (Low confidence: few independent periods.)
- 1 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 75% positive over the week.
- 6 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 6 negative); latest: Barclays maintained Overweight, lowered target $935 → $875.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Nov 4
In 31 days
estimated date
EPS estimate
$11.01
$10.32 to $11.69 · 17 analysts
Revenue estimate
$662.4M
$650.0M to $680.0M
Track record
7/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±4.8% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 AMC | 3Q2026 | $11.78 | $12.18 | +$0.40 (+3.4%) beat | $674.2M | -17.0% -18.7 vs SPY | -16.2% | -20.5% |
| Apr 28, 2026 AMC | 2Q2026 | $10.97 | $12.50 | +$1.53 (+13.9%) beat | $691.7M | +3.3% +3.3 vs SPY | +7.8% | +5.5% |
| Jan 28, 2026 AMC | 1Q2026 | $7.08 | $7.33 | +$0.25 (+3.5%) beat | $512.0M | -1.6% -1.4 vs SPY | +0.9% | -9.1% |
| Nov 5, 2025 AMC | 4Q2025 | $7.36 | $7.74 | +$0.38 (+5.2%) beat | $515.8M | +2.8% +3.9 vs SPY | +3.4% | +9.1% |
| Jul 30, 2025 AMC | $7.70 | $8.57 | +$0.87 (+11.3%) beat | — | -6.0% -5.6 vs SPY | -1.0% | -8.8% | |
| Apr 29, 2025 AMC | $7.44 | $7.81 | +$0.37 (+5.0%) beat | — | +1.4% +1.4 vs SPY | -2.6% | +5.1% | |
| Feb 4, 2025 AMC | $6.08 | $5.79 | −$0.29 (−4.8%) miss | — | +2.1% +1.7 vs SPY | -8.9% | -0.7% | |
| Nov 6, 2024 AMC | $6.39 | $6.54 | +$0.15 (+2.3%) beat | — | +4.1% +3.3 vs SPY | +1.6% | +12.3% | |
| Jul 31, 2024 AMC | $6.32 | $6.25 | −$0.07 (−1.1%) miss | — | -1.3% +0.1 vs SPY | -2.8% | +4.3% | |
| Apr 25, 2024 AMC | $5.81 | $6.14 | +$0.33 (+5.7%) beat | — | -6.9% -7.9 vs SPY | -4.8% | -2.4% | |
| Jan 25, 2024 AMC | $5.06 | $4.81 | −$0.25 (−4.9%) miss | — | -6.8% -6.7 vs SPY | -3.8% | -3.2% | |
| Nov 8, 2023 AMC | $5.22 | $5.01 | −$0.21 (−4.0%) miss | — | +2.4% +3.1 vs SPY | -4.2% | +8.6% | |
| Aug 2, 2023 AMC | $5.25 | $5.66 | +$0.41 (+7.8%) beat | — | +4.0% +4.3 vs SPY | +3.4% | +4.0% | |
| Apr 27, 2023 AMC | $5.04 | $4.78 | −$0.26 (−5.2%) miss | — | -0.9% -1.8 vs SPY | -2.1% | +0.3% | |
| Jan 26, 2023 AMC | $4.18 | $4.26 | +$0.08 (+1.9%) beat | — | +2.2% +2.0 vs SPY | -3.5% | +6.8% | |
| Nov 9, 2022 AMC | $4.21 | $4.40 | +$0.19 (+4.5%) beat | — | +31.1% +25.6 vs SPY | +18.5% | +39.2% | |
| Aug 3, 2022 AMC | $3.98 | $4.47 | +$0.49 (+12.3%) beat | — | +1.1% +1.1 vs SPY | +2.0% | +6.5% | |
| Apr 27, 2022 AMC | $3.73 | $4.68 | +$0.95 (+25.5%) beat | — | +2.7% +0.2 vs SPY | +5.5% | +0.8% | |
| Jan 27, 2022 AMC | $3.36 | $3.70 | +$0.34 (+10.1%) beat | — | +16.6% +14.1 vs SPY | +0.8% | +17.1% | |
| Nov 10, 2021 AMC | $3.18 | $3.92 | +$0.74 (+23.3%) beat | — | -2.8% -2.8 vs SPY | -0.2% | -6.7% | |
| Aug 3, 2021 AMC | $2.81 | $3.38 | +$0.57 (+20.3%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| May 5, 2021 AMC | $2.59 | $3.06 | +$0.47 (+18.1%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Jan 28, 2021 AMC | $2.29 | $2.74 | +$0.45 (+19.7%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Nov 10, 2020 AMC | $2.32 | $3.25 | +$0.93 (+40.1%) beat | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $11.01 (17) | $10.32 – $11.69 | +42% | -3.7% | ▲3 ▼14 | $662.4M | +28% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $10.39 (15) | $7.49 – $11.65 | +42% | -3.1% | ▲1 ▼0 | $629.6M | +23% |
| Current year · Sep 30, 2026 | $42.98 (21) | $42.25 – $44.90 | +44% | -0.2% | ▲1 ▼1 | $2.5B | +28% |
| Next year · Sep 30, 2027 | $51.38 (21) | $38.98 – $55.03 | +20% | -5.6% | ▲3 ▼1 | $2.8B | +12% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.