IBM
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices IBM only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
262.46 +1.8% reached 3 in 10 days |
268.32 +4.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 257.81 | |
| Bargain buy side |
253.24 -1.8% reached 3 in 10 days |
247.71 -3.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 251.78 | 2 in 10 days | 263.99 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 253.24 | 3 in 10 days | 262.46 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 254.62 | 4 in 10 days | 261.04 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 244.52 | 2 in 10 weeks | 271.82 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 247.71 | 3 in 10 weeks | 268.32 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 250.73 | 4 in 10 weeks | 265.09 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From IBM's daily swings (about 1.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among IBM's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 2, 2026 |
326.89 +26.8% |
| Highest analyst target | 300.00 +16.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 268.32 +4.1% |
| Mean analyst target | 259.30 +0.6% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
257.81 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 247.71 -3.9% |
| 200-day average | 247.01 -4.2% |
| 50-day average | 235.17 -8.8% |
| 52-week closing low Jul 22, 2026 |
204.30 -20.8% |
| Lowest analyst target | 174.00 -32.5% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 65 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.