ICE
Analyst target raises behind the outperformance
- ICE +2.04% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +1.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big gain (+2.0% today so far, past its big-gain line of +1.6%): After its 59 big gains in the past 5 years, ICE was higher a week later 35 times out of 59; half the outcomes fell between -1.1% and +2.6%. History, not a forecast.
- 3 analyst actions in the past 10 days (2 positive, 1 negative); latest: Morgan Stanley maintained Equal-Weight, raised target $163 → $173.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Insiders
Officers, directors and 10% owners file SEC Form 4 within two business days. Unplanned: the insider chose to trade now, the trades worth attention; their dollars make the net above. 10b5-1 plan: scheduled in advance, kept for the record. Tax: shares withheld on vesting stock, not a market trade. Awards, option exercises and gifts are left out. Source: SEC EDGAR, collected daily for the stocks discussed on Reddit.
Congress
| Trade date | Member | Chamber | Side | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Richard Dean McCormick | House | Sell | $1K–$15K | Aug 14 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Richard Dean McCormick | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Jul 9 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Alan Armstrong | Senate | Buy | $1K–$15K | Jul 21 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Josh Gottheimer | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Feb 26 |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Markwayne Mullin | Senate | Buy | $15K–$50K | Jan 16 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Richard Dean McCormick | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Dec 9 |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Josh Gottheimer | House | Sell | $1K–$15K | Nov 17 |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Thomas H. Kean | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Oct 14 |
Members of Congress report trades within 45 days of the trade date, so these are never real-time. Amounts are disclosed as ranges; the net uses each range's midpoint (≈). Source: House and Senate periodic transaction reports via CongressInvests, refreshed daily.
Funds
| Investor | Shares | Value | Of its portfolio | Vs quarter before | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking Global (Andreas Halvorsen) | 2,777,138 | $341.9M | 0.97% | -43% | Q2 2026 |
| Bridgewater (Ray Dalio's firm) | 38,886 | $4.8M | 0.02% | new | Q2 2026 |
| Date | Investor | Move | Source | Shares | ≈ Value | Now held | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Viking Global (Andreas Halvorsen) | Trimmed | 13F, Q2 2026 | 2,059,758 | $253.6M | 1.0% | Aug 14 |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Viking Global (Andreas Halvorsen) | New stake | 13F, Q4 2025 | 4,803,197 | $777.9M | 2.1% | Feb 17 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Third Point (Dan Loeb) | Sold out | 13F, Q3 2025 | 950,000 | $174.3M | Nov 14 |
Well-known investors we follow (Buffett, Ackman, Icahn, Druckenmiller, Tepper, Soros and others). 13F: managers report their US stock holdings up to 45 days after each quarter; the change from the quarter before is dated by the filing, the trades happened some time in the quarter, and the value is at the quarter-end price (≈). New and closed positions, and adds or cuts of 20% or more, of positions at least 0.2% of the portfolio. ARK: Cathie Wood's ETFs publish their holdings every morning; the change beyond the fund's own inflows and outflows, dated by the session it traded. 5%+ stake: Schedule 13D (with intent to influence) or 13G (passive), filed within days. Source: SEC EDGAR, ark-funds.com, refreshed daily. Who holds it: each investor's latest 13F portfolio (positions at the quarter's end; one sold since would not show until the next filing), and ARK's ETFs as of their latest daily file. The funds we follow and their portfolios · All recent insider, congressional and fund moves