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IMSR

R500#396 today
$2.80 -2.10% today · -8.20% 1W
Oct 23 close or latest
Why it's movingUnderperforming without a clear catalyst yetReadout ›

Bargain & stretch prices

Prices IMSR only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.

Next sessionNext 5 sessions
Next sessionNext 5 sessions
Stretch
sell side
2.94
+5.2%
reached 3 in 10 days
3.13
+11.9%
reached 3 in 10 weeks
Last close2.80
Bargain
buy side
2.66
-4.9%
↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26%
2.50
-10.6%
↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27%

More patient or more eager

BargainReachedStretchReached
Next session
Patient2.622 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% 2.992 in 10 days
Balanced2.662 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% 2.943 in 10 days
Eager2.704 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% 2.905 in 10 days
Next 5 sessions
Patient2.412 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% 3.252 in 10 weeks
Balanced2.503 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% 3.133 in 10 weeks
Eager2.594 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% 3.035 in 10 weeks

"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From IMSR's daily swings (about 5.2% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 23 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.

Situations on the Oct 23 close

35% or more below its 52-week high odds adjusted
Far below its high, the bargain price was reached less often than usual, so the bargain & stretch odds above are adjusted (marked in gold):
  • Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
  • Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)

Big drop and big gain: among IMSR's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.

Price ladder

All-time closing high
Oct 15, 2025
27.10
+867.9%
52-week closing high
Oct 24, 2025
20.30
+625.0%
200-day average 6.49
+131.9%
50-day average 4.36
+55.6%
Stretch, next 5 sessions 3.13
+11.9%
Last close
Oct 23, 2026
2.80
52-week closing low
Oct 20, 2026
2.80
0.0%
Bargain, next 5 sessions 2.50
-10.6%

Closing prices (all-time = the 2 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.