ITW
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- ITW +1.12% on the last session vs SPY −0.04%: +1.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, crossed above 200-day avg (Oct 13): After its 19 crosses above the 200-day average in the past 5 years, ITW was higher a day later 14 times out of 19; half the outcomes fell between -0.0% and +1.0%. History, not a forecast.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 2 negative); latest: JP Morgan downgraded to Neutral, lowered target $350 → $277.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Insiders
Officers, directors and 10% owners file SEC Form 4 within two business days. Unplanned: the insider chose to trade now, the trades worth attention; their dollars make the net above. 10b5-1 plan: scheduled in advance, kept for the record. Tax: shares withheld on vesting stock, not a market trade. Awards, option exercises and gifts are left out. Source: SEC EDGAR, collected daily for the stocks discussed on Reddit.
Congress
| Trade date | Member | Chamber | Side | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Kevin Hern | House | Sell | $15K–$50K | Sep 25 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Kevin Hern | House | Sell | $50K–$100K | Sep 25 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Kevin Hern | House | Sell | $15K–$50K | Sep 25 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Kevin Hern | House | Sell | $15K–$50K | Sep 25 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Richard Dean McCormick | House | Sell | $1K–$15K | Aug 14 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Shelley M Capito | Senate | Sell | $1K–$15K | Mar 4 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Richard Dean McCormick | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Dec 9 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Lisa McClain | House | Sell | $1K–$15K | Nov 21 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Lisa McClain | House | Sell | $1K–$15K | Nov 21 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Lisa McClain | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Nov 21 |
Members of Congress report trades within 45 days of the trade date, so these are never real-time. Amounts are disclosed as ranges; the net uses each range's midpoint (≈). Source: House and Senate periodic transaction reports via CongressInvests, refreshed daily.
Funds
| Investor | Shares | Value | Of its portfolio | Vs quarter before | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridgewater (Ray Dalio's firm) | 44,644 | $12.1M | 0.05% | +27% | Q2 2026 |
Well-known investors we follow (Buffett, Ackman, Icahn, Druckenmiller, Tepper, Soros and others). 13F: managers report their US stock holdings up to 45 days after each quarter; the change from the quarter before is dated by the filing, the trades happened some time in the quarter, and the value is at the quarter-end price (≈). New and closed positions, and adds or cuts of 20% or more, of positions at least 0.2% of the portfolio. ARK: Cathie Wood's ETFs publish their holdings every morning; the change beyond the fund's own inflows and outflows, dated by the session it traded. 5%+ stake: Schedule 13D (with intent to influence) or 13G (passive), filed within days. Source: SEC EDGAR, ark-funds.com, refreshed daily. Who holds it: each investor's latest 13F portfolio (positions at the quarter's end; one sold since would not show until the next filing), and ARK's ETFs as of their latest daily file. The funds we follow and their portfolios · All recent insider, congressional and fund moves