MCD
McDonald's Corporation · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
$231.89
+0.03% today · -1.95% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Moving with the market
- MCD +0.03% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −0.7 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, 52-week low (Sep 30): After its 5 new 52-week lows in the past 5 years, MCD typically gained 0.6% over the next day (median) and was higher 80% of the time; half the outcomes fell between +0.4% and +0.7%. An ordinary day: +0.0%. Among S&P 500 stocks after new 52-week lows, that ranks #10 of 272. (Low confidence: few independent periods.)
- 0 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 83% positive over the week.
- 9 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 9 negative); latest: JP Morgan maintained Overweight, lowered target $260 → $250.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Nov 5
In 32 days
estimated date
EPS estimate
$3.38
$3.23 to $3.50 · 28 analysts
Revenue estimate
$7.3B
$7.0B to $7.4B
Track record
5/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±2.1% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 BMO | 2Q2026 | $3.32 | $3.38 | +$0.06 (+1.8%) beat | — | +1.2% -0.6 vs SPY | +1.9% | +3.2% |
| May 7, 2026 BMO | 1Q2026 | $2.74 | $2.83 | +$0.09 (+3.1%) beat | $6.5B | -0.1% +0.2 vs SPY | +1.3% | -3.0% |
| Feb 11, 2026 AMC | 4Q2025 | $3.05 | $3.12 | +$0.07 (+2.2%) beat | $7.0B | +2.7% +4.3 vs SPY | +2.0% | +1.2% |
| Nov 5, 2025 BMO | 3Q2025 | $3.33 | $3.22 | −$0.11 (−3.4%) miss | $7.1B | +2.2% +1.8 vs SPY | +0.1% | +2.5% |
| Aug 6, 2025 BMO | $3.15 | $3.19 | +$0.04 (+1.3%) beat | — | +3.0% +2.2 vs SPY | +2.8% | +1.0% | |
| May 1, 2025 BMO | $2.67 | $2.67 | $0.00 (0.0%) in line | — | -1.9% -2.6 vs SPY | -2.0% | -0.5% | |
| Feb 10, 2025 BMO | $2.86 | $2.83 | −$0.03 (−1.0%) miss | — | +4.8% +4.1 vs SPY | +2.7% | +4.8% | |
| Oct 29, 2024 BMO | $3.20 | $3.23 | +$0.03 (+0.9%) beat | — | -0.6% -0.8 vs SPY | +0.3% | -1.3% | |
| Jul 29, 2024 BMO | $3.07 | $2.97 | −$0.10 (−3.3%) miss | — | +3.7% +3.7 vs SPY | +0.6% | +9.8% | |
| Apr 30, 2024 BMO | $2.73 | $2.70 | −$0.03 (−1.1%) miss | — | -0.2% +1.4 vs SPY | -3.4% | -1.6% | |
| Feb 5, 2024 BMO | $2.83 | $2.95 | +$0.12 (+4.2%) beat | — | -3.7% -3.4 vs SPY | -3.4% | -2.5% | |
| Oct 30, 2023 BMO | $2.99 | $3.19 | +$0.20 (+6.7%) beat | — | +1.7% +0.5 vs SPY | +1.7% | +4.7% | |
| Jul 27, 2023 BMO | $2.79 | $3.17 | +$0.38 (+13.6%) beat | — | +1.2% +1.8 vs SPY | +0.1% | -0.7% | |
| Apr 25, 2023 BMO | $2.34 | $2.63 | +$0.29 (+12.4%) beat | — | -0.6% +1.0 vs SPY | +0.6% | +1.5% | |
| Jan 31, 2023 BMO | $2.46 | $2.59 | +$0.13 (+5.3%) beat | — | -1.3% -2.8 vs SPY | -2.1% | -1.1% | |
| Oct 27, 2022 BMO | $2.58 | $2.68 | +$0.10 (+3.9%) beat | — | +3.3% +3.8 vs SPY | +2.5% | +5.4% | |
| Jul 26, 2022 BMO | $2.47 | $2.55 | +$0.08 (+3.2%) beat | — | +2.7% +3.9 vs SPY | -0.3% | +5.5% | |
| Apr 28, 2022 BMO | $2.18 | $2.28 | +$0.10 (+4.6%) beat | — | +2.9% +0.3 vs SPY | +1.1% | +2.9% | |
| Jan 27, 2022 BMO | $2.34 | $2.23 | −$0.11 (−4.7%) miss | — | -0.4% +0.1 vs SPY | -0.1% | +5.0% | |
| Oct 27, 2021 BMO | $2.47 | $2.76 | +$0.29 (+11.7%) beat | — | +2.7% +3.1 vs SPY | +2.0% | +5.4% | |
| Jul 28, 2021 BMO | $2.12 | $2.37 | +$0.25 (+11.8%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Apr 29, 2021 BMO | $1.82 | $1.92 | +$0.10 (+5.5%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Jan 28, 2021 BMO | $1.78 | $1.70 | −$0.08 (−4.5%) miss | — | — | — | — | |
| Nov 9, 2020 BMO | $1.90 | $2.22 | +$0.32 (+16.8%) beat | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $3.38 (28) | $3.23 – $3.50 | +5% | -2.0% | ▲2 ▼6 | $7.3B | +3% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $3.29 (28) | $3.06 – $3.49 | +5% | -2.3% | ▲2 ▼9 | $7.3B | +4% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | $12.89 (32) | $12.53 – $13.23 | +6% | -0.7% | ▲3 ▼8 | $28.2B | +5% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | $13.82 (32) | $12.86 – $14.73 | +7% | -2.8% | ▲4 ▼7 | $29.1B | +3% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.