MSTR
Strategy Inc · Technology · Software - Application
$148.44
+3.63% today · -2.00% 1W
Oct 15 close or latest
ReadoutWhy it's moving
Analyst target raises behind the outperformance
- MSTR +3.63% on the last session vs SPY +0.06%: +3.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- Against the group: its crypto-linked peers -1.5% (-1.5 pts vs SPY).
- Filing: 8-K: Reg FD disclosure, other event (item 7.01, 8.01) (filing)
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (1 positive, 0 negative); latest: Barclays maintained Overweight, raised target $160 → $175.
- 3 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days, including 3 insider sales not under a 10b5-1 plan.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Best and worst times to own MSTR in the past two years
Buying and selling at the close. Each colored stretch is the best or worst window for that holding period, green for a gain and red for a loss: longer holds are wider and darker underneath, shorter ones brighter on top. The grey line is the full two years. Letters mark events inside the windows (E earnings, A analyst, I insider, M mention spike, V volume spike, T theme move, N news). Hover a period above the chart to pick it out and see only its events; click it to hide or show it.
Best and worst window per holding period
| Best | Worst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hold for | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank |
| one single day | Feb 5, 2026 | Feb 6, 2026 | +26.1% | #13 | Feb 4, 2026 | Feb 5, 2026 | -17.1% | #42 |
| one week | Nov 5, 2024 | Nov 12, 2024 | +56.5% | #5 | Jun 18, 2026 | Jun 26, 2026 | -26.9% | #24 |
| one month | Oct 18, 2024 | Nov 20, 2024 | +119.5% | #6 | May 26, 2026 | Jun 26, 2026 | -48.5% | #5 |
| 3 months | Oct 17, 2024 | Jan 17, 2025 | +105.0% | #28 | Nov 5, 2025 | Feb 5, 2026 | -58.0% | #1 |
| 6 months | Oct 15, 2024 | Jan 17, 2025 | +104.1% | #48 | Aug 5, 2025 | Feb 5, 2026 | -71.5% | #1 |
| one year | Oct 15, 2024 | Jul 16, 2025 | +134.6% | #54 | Jul 16, 2025 | Jul 16, 2026 | -79.4% | #1 |
Rank #5 for the best one week means 4 of the S&P 500 components had a better best-one week gain over the past year; for the worst windows #1 is the deepest fall. Updated .
What happened in each window
Best one single day Feb 5, 2026 → Feb 6, 2026 +26.1% · 2 events
- E Earnings miss 4Q2025 · EPS −$21.94 (<−100%) vs consensus · +26.1% reaction
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +16.3 pts vs SPY; the stock +26.1%
Best one week Nov 5, 2024 → Nov 12, 2024 +56.5% · 2 events
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +21.3 pts vs SPY; the stock +13.2%
- M Mention spike 68 mentions vs 4.9/day the week before
Best one month Oct 18, 2024 → Nov 20, 2024 +119.5% · 8 events
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +7.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +9.0%
- M Mention spike 110 mentions vs 6.1/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -10.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.1%
- E Earnings miss EPS −$1.54 vs consensus · -1.1% reaction
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +21.3 pts vs SPY; the stock +13.2%
- M Mention spike 68 mentions vs 4.9/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -11.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.9%
- M Mention spike 226 mentions vs 37.4/day the week before
Best 3 months Oct 17, 2024 → Jan 17, 2025 +105.0% · 15 events
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +7.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +9.0%
- M Mention spike 110 mentions vs 6.1/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -10.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.1%
- E Earnings miss EPS −$1.54 vs consensus · -1.1% reaction
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +21.3 pts vs SPY; the stock +13.2%
- M Mention spike 68 mentions vs 4.9/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -11.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.9%
- M Mention spike 226 mentions vs 37.4/day the week before
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, -16.2% on the day
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +7.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +6.2%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -12.3%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -8.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.5%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -8.2 pts vs SPY; the stock -9.5%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +10.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +13.2%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -9.9%
Best 6 months Oct 15, 2024 → Jan 17, 2025 +104.1% · 15 events
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +7.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +9.0%
- M Mention spike 110 mentions vs 6.1/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -10.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.1%
- E Earnings miss EPS −$1.54 vs consensus · -1.1% reaction
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +21.3 pts vs SPY; the stock +13.2%
- M Mention spike 68 mentions vs 4.9/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -11.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.9%
- M Mention spike 226 mentions vs 37.4/day the week before
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, -16.2% on the day
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +7.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +6.2%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -12.3%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -8.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.5%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -8.2 pts vs SPY; the stock -9.5%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +10.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +13.2%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -9.9%
Best one year Oct 15, 2024 → Jul 16, 2025 +134.6% · 40 events
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +7.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +9.0%
- M Mention spike 110 mentions vs 6.1/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -10.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.1%
- E Earnings miss EPS −$1.54 vs consensus · -1.1% reaction
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +21.3 pts vs SPY; the stock +13.2%
- M Mention spike 68 mentions vs 4.9/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -11.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.9%
- M Mention spike 226 mentions vs 37.4/day the week before
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, -16.2% on the day
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +7.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +6.2%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -12.3%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -8.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.5%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -8.2 pts vs SPY; the stock -9.5%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +10.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +13.2%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -9.9%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -8.2 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.6%
- E Earnings miss EPS −$3.26 vs consensus · -3.3% reaction
- M Mention spike 169 mentions vs 22.0/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.5%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -0.6%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.7 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.5%
- M Mention spike 26 mentions vs 8.1/day the week before
- M Mention spike 155 mentions vs 49.9/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -11.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -16.7%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +10.6 pts vs SPY; the stock +10.4%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -10.8%
- M Mention spike 127 mentions vs 30.1/day the week before
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +24.8%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +9.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +8.0%
- M Mention spike 40 mentions vs 11.9/day the week before
- E Earnings miss EPS −$16.51 vs consensus · +3.4% reaction
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.0%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.6%
- M Mention spike 86 mentions vs 12.4/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.7 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.1%
- M Mention spike 46 mentions vs 7.7/day the week before
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +2.7%
- M Mention spike 34 mentions vs 8.0/day the week before
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.8 pts vs SPY; the stock +7.8%
- M Mention spike 36 mentions vs 9.4/day the week before
Worst one single day Feb 4, 2026 → Feb 5, 2026 -17.1% · 1 event
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.1%
Worst one week Jun 18, 2026 → Jun 26, 2026 -26.9% · 4 events
- I Insider buy Thomas C. Chow (EVP & General Counsel), $9,998
- I Unplanned insider sale Jarrod M Patten (Director), $200,951
- M Mention spike 23 mentions vs 5.1/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -9.3%
Worst one month May 26, 2026 → Jun 26, 2026 -48.5% · 9 events
- I Insider buy Phong Le (President & CEO, Director), $5,467
- I Unplanned insider sale Jarrod M Patten (Director), $3,402,892
- M Mention spike 28 mentions vs 5.1/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -6.9%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.6%
- I Insider buy Thomas C. Chow (EVP & General Counsel), $9,998
- I Unplanned insider sale Jarrod M Patten (Director), $200,951
- M Mention spike 23 mentions vs 5.1/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -9.3%
Worst 3 months Nov 5, 2025 → Feb 5, 2026 -58.0% · 19 events
- M Mention spike 40 mentions vs 5.7/day the week before
- A Analyst upgrade Monness, Crespi, Hardt: Sell → Neutral
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.2%
- M Mention spike 25 mentions vs 5.4/day the week before
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.9 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.0%
- I Insider buy Jane A Dietze (Director), $104,808
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.8%
- M Mention spike 58 mentions vs 15.1/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -8.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -8.1%
- M Mention spike 27 mentions vs 5.7/day the week before
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.4 pts vs SPY; the stock +3.4%
- M Mention spike 109 mentions vs 15.4/day the week before
- I Insider buy Phong Le (President & CEO, Director), $1,200
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.7 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.7%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +5.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.6%
- I Insider buy Jane A Dietze (Director), $99,485
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.6%
- M Mention spike 64 mentions vs 4.4/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.1%
Worst 6 months Aug 5, 2025 → Feb 5, 2026 -71.5% · 37 events
- M Mention spike 28 mentions vs 8.9/day the week before
- M Mention spike 26 mentions vs 1.3/day the week before
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +5.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -0.4%
- M Mention spike 28 mentions vs 6.3/day the week before
- I Insider buy Wei-Ming Shao (EVP & General Counsel), $1,211,450
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.9%
- I Unplanned insider sale Wei-Ming Shao (EVP & General Counsel), $3,557,890
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.0%
- M Mention spike 63 mentions vs 4.7/day the week before
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +12.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.6%
- A Analyst downgrade Wells Fargo: Overweight → Equal-Weight
- M Mention spike 29 mentions vs 4.1/day the week before
- I Unplanned insider sale Wei-Ming Shao (EVP & General Counsel), $10,721,028
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.3%
- M Mention spike 30 mentions vs 7.6/day the week before
- I Insider buy Jarrod M Patten (Director), $2,316,304
- E Earnings miss 3Q2025 · EPS −$1.25 (−12.9%) vs consensus · +5.9% reaction
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.7 pts vs SPY; the stock -6.7%
- M Mention spike 40 mentions vs 5.7/day the week before
- A Analyst upgrade Monness, Crespi, Hardt: Sell → Neutral
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.2%
- M Mention spike 25 mentions vs 5.4/day the week before
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.9 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.0%
- I Insider buy Jane A Dietze (Director), $104,808
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.8%
- M Mention spike 58 mentions vs 15.1/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -8.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -8.1%
- M Mention spike 27 mentions vs 5.7/day the week before
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.4 pts vs SPY; the stock +3.4%
- M Mention spike 109 mentions vs 15.4/day the week before
- I Insider buy Phong Le (President & CEO, Director), $1,200
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.7 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.7%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +5.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.6%
- I Insider buy Jane A Dietze (Director), $99,485
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.6%
- M Mention spike 64 mentions vs 4.4/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.1%
Worst one year Jul 16, 2025 → Jul 16, 2026 -79.4% · 71 events
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -8.2 pts vs SPY; the stock -8.8%
- M Mention spike 92 mentions vs 28.7/day the week before
- E Earnings beat EPS +$11.04 (+51.4%) vs consensus · -8.8% reaction
- M Mention spike 28 mentions vs 8.9/day the week before
- M Mention spike 26 mentions vs 1.3/day the week before
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +5.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -0.4%
- M Mention spike 28 mentions vs 6.3/day the week before
- I Insider buy Wei-Ming Shao (EVP & General Counsel), $1,211,450
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.9%
- I Unplanned insider sale Wei-Ming Shao (EVP & General Counsel), $3,557,890
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.0%
- M Mention spike 63 mentions vs 4.7/day the week before
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +12.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.6%
- A Analyst downgrade Wells Fargo: Overweight → Equal-Weight
- M Mention spike 29 mentions vs 4.1/day the week before
- I Unplanned insider sale Wei-Ming Shao (EVP & General Counsel), $10,721,028
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.3%
- M Mention spike 30 mentions vs 7.6/day the week before
- I Insider buy Jarrod M Patten (Director), $2,316,304
- E Earnings miss 3Q2025 · EPS −$1.25 (−12.9%) vs consensus · +5.9% reaction
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.7 pts vs SPY; the stock -6.7%
- M Mention spike 40 mentions vs 5.7/day the week before
- A Analyst upgrade Monness, Crespi, Hardt: Sell → Neutral
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.2%
- M Mention spike 25 mentions vs 5.4/day the week before
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.9 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.0%
- I Insider buy Jane A Dietze (Director), $104,808
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.8%
- M Mention spike 58 mentions vs 15.1/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -8.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -8.1%
- M Mention spike 27 mentions vs 5.7/day the week before
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.4 pts vs SPY; the stock +3.4%
- M Mention spike 109 mentions vs 15.4/day the week before
- I Insider buy Phong Le (President & CEO, Director), $1,200
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.7 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.7%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +5.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.6%
- I Insider buy Jane A Dietze (Director), $99,485
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.6%
- M Mention spike 64 mentions vs 4.4/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.1%
- E Earnings miss 4Q2025 · EPS −$21.94 (<−100%) vs consensus · +26.1% reaction
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +16.3 pts vs SPY; the stock +26.1%
- M Mention spike 59 mentions vs 8.0/day the week before
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +10.4%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.5%
- I Insider buy Phong Le (President & CEO, Director), $249,947
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.4%
- I Unplanned insider sale Jarrod M Patten (Director), $96,159
- I Unplanned insider sale Jarrod M Patten (Director), $270,654
- M Mention spike 21 mentions vs 3.9/day the week before
- I Unplanned insider sale Jarrod M Patten (Director), $336,420
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.5%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +4.6%
- I Unplanned insider sale Jarrod M Patten (Director), $676,700
- M Mention spike 29 mentions vs 4.7/day the week before
- E Earnings miss 1Q2026 · EPS −$22.92 (<−100%) vs consensus · -0.0% reaction
- I Unplanned insider sale Jarrod M Patten (Director), $713,571
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.7 pts vs SPY; the stock -5.1%
- I Unplanned insider sale Jarrod M Patten (Director), $875,088
- I Insider buy Phong Le (President & CEO, Director), $5,467
- I Unplanned insider sale Jarrod M Patten (Director), $3,402,892
- M Mention spike 28 mentions vs 5.1/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -6.9%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.6%
- I Insider buy Thomas C. Chow (EVP & General Counsel), $9,998
- I Unplanned insider sale Jarrod M Patten (Director), $200,951
- M Mention spike 23 mentions vs 5.1/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -9.3%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.4%
- M Mention spike 49 mentions vs 11.4/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.5%
From Wallsti's event record (Aftermath's events over the two years, plus the AI-read news catalysts, which only cover recent weeks). An event is no proof of cause: check the dates against the line.
Today vs. the best starting days
| As of | 1d | 1w | 1m | 3m | 6m | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 15, 2026 |
+3.8% | -1.9% | +14.7% | +52.5% | +3.5% | -49.9% |
| Best one single day Feb 5, 2026 |
-17.1% | -25.3% | -35.0% | -58.0% | -71.5% | -68.2% |
| Best one week Nov 5, 2024 |
+2.2% | -11.8% | +29.1% | +74.0% | +86.3% | +401.8% |
| Best one month Oct 18, 2024 |
+11.6% | +1.5% | +62.7% | +38.8% | +78.7% | +555.8% |
| Best 3 months Oct 17, 2024 |
-0.3% | +5.5% | +47.3% | +21.6% | +62.8% | +476.7% |
| Best 6 months Oct 15, 2024 |
-3.6% | +1.1% | +37.4% | +20.6% | +45.5% | +496.4% |
| Best one year Oct 15, 2024 |
-3.6% | +1.1% | +37.4% | +20.6% | +45.5% | +496.4% |
Trailing gains over each window, today and on the day each best window started, to compare today's setup with the best entries.