NRG
NRG Energy, Inc. · Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers
TECHSellZACKSSell
R500#461 today
$95.23
-1.75% today · -5.12% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- NRG −1.75% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −2.5 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big drop (Sep 28): After its 72 big drops in the past 5 years, NRG typically gained 1.9% over the next week (median) and was higher 61% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -1.4% and +5.7%. An ordinary week: +0.6%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big drops, that ranks #68 of 500.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Nov 5
In 32 days
estimated date
EPS estimate
$2.87
$1.78 to $4.05 · 5 analysts
Revenue estimate
$9.5B
$8.8B to $10.7B
Track record
5/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±9.6% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 BMO | 2Q2026 | $1.74 | $1.49 | −$0.25 (−14.4%) miss | — | -15.5% -17.3 vs SPY | +1.1% | -14.1% |
| May 6, 2026 BMO | 1Q2026 | $1.73 | $1.49 | −$0.24 (−14.0%) miss | $10.3B | -4.3% -5.7 vs SPY | -2.7% | -12.8% |
| Feb 24, 2026 BMO | 4Q2025 | $0.89 | $1.04 | +$0.15 (+16.4%) beat | $7.8B | +4.2% +3.5 vs SPY | -1.8% | -0.5% |
| Nov 6, 2025 BMO | 3Q2025 | $2.13 | $2.78 | +$0.65 (+30.7%) beat | $7.6B | -1.8% -0.7 vs SPY | -2.3% | -2.5% |
| Aug 6, 2025 BMO | $1.65 | $1.73 | +$0.08 (+4.8%) beat | — | -13.6% -14.4 vs SPY | -3.4% | -8.9% | |
| May 12, 2025 BMO | $1.69 | $2.68 | +$0.99 (+58.6%) beat | — | +26.2% +22.9 vs SPY | +14.8% | +33.4% | |
| Feb 26, 2025 BMO | $0.94 | $1.52 | +$0.58 (+61.7%) beat | — | +10.6% +10.6 vs SPY | +3.0% | -2.1% | |
| Nov 8, 2024 BMO | $1.95 | $1.85 | −$0.10 (−5.1%) miss | — | -0.3% -0.7 vs SPY | +3.5% | -4.9% | |
| Aug 8, 2024 BMO | $1.55 | $3.37 | +$1.82 (>+100%) beat | — | +8.2% +5.9 vs SPY | +2.4% | +14.3% | |
| May 7, 2024 BMO | $0.93 | $0.90 | −$0.03 (−3.2%) miss | — | -5.8% -5.9 vs SPY | -0.1% | +5.9% | |
| Feb 28, 2024 BMO | $3.76 | $1.64 | −$2.12 (−56.4%) miss | — | +1.2% +1.4 vs SPY | -1.0% | +11.1% | |
| Nov 2, 2023 BMO | $4.00 | $1.41 | −$2.59 (−64.8%) miss | — | +2.9% +1.0 vs SPY | -2.5% | +4.2% | |
| Aug 8, 2023 BMO | $2.44 | $1.25 | −$1.19 (−48.8%) miss | — | -2.0% -1.5 vs SPY | -0.4% | -1.4% | |
| May 4, 2023 BMO | $1.20 | $0.71 | −$0.49 (−40.8%) miss | — | -6.2% -5.5 vs SPY | -1.3% | -3.9% | |
| Feb 16, 2023 BMO | $1.51 | $0.47 | −$1.04 (−68.9%) miss | — | -4.9% -3.5 vs SPY | -1.7% | -6.5% | |
| Nov 7, 2022 BMO | $1.08 | $0.29 | −$0.79 (−73.1%) miss | — | +1.9% +1.0 vs SPY | -1.1% | +2.4% | |
| Aug 4, 2022 BMO | $0.63 | $2.16 | +$1.53 (>+100%) beat | — | +4.7% +4.8 vs SPY | +3.0% | +5.0% | |
| May 6, 2022 BMO | $0.63 | $0.22 | −$0.41 (−65.1%) miss | — | +9.8% +10.4 vs SPY | +2.5% | +9.8% | |
| Feb 24, 2022 BMO | $1.16 | −$1.74 | −$2.90 (<−100%) miss | — | +3.6% +2.1 vs SPY | +1.0% | +2.4% | |
| Nov 4, 2021 BMO | $3.02 | $1.30 | −$1.72 (−57.0%) miss | — | -11.1% -11.6 vs SPY | -8.8% | -12.6% | |
| Aug 5, 2021 BMO | $0.88 | $4.40 | +$3.52 (>+100%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| May 6, 2021 BMO | $0.30 | $0.24 | −$0.06 (−20.0%) miss | — | — | — | — | |
| Mar 1, 2021 BMO | $0.37 | $0.26 | −$0.11 (−29.7%) miss | — | — | — | — | |
| Nov 5, 2020 BMO | $1.93 | $1.57 | −$0.36 (−18.7%) miss | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $2.87 (5) | $1.78 – $4.05 | +3% | +1.8% | ▲2 ▼1 | $9.5B | +24% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $2.67 (5) | $1.70 – $3.35 | +157% | +3.2% | ▲1 ▼2 | $9.0B | +16% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | $8.83 (10) | $7.99 – $9.33 | +7% | -3.4% | ▲1 ▼0 | $35.5B | +16% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | $11.19 (11) | $9.86 – $13.46 | +27% | -5.2% | ▲0 ▼1 | $36.9B | +4% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.