NXPI
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- NXPI +3.39% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +3.3 pts of stock-specific move.
- Against the group: its semiconductors peers -0.9% (-1.0 pts vs SPY).
- Aftermath, big gain (+3.4% today so far, past its big-gain line of +2.8%): After its 54 big gains in the past 5 years, NXPI was higher a day later 20 times out of 54; half the outcomes fell between -2.2% and +0.7%. History, not a forecast.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 2 negative); latest: Citigroup downgraded to Neutral, lowered target $370 → $260.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Best and worst times to own NXPI in the past two years
Buying and selling at the close. Each colored stretch is the best or worst window for that holding period, green for a gain and red for a loss: longer holds are wider and darker underneath, shorter ones brighter on top. The grey line is the full two years. Letters mark events inside the windows (E earnings, A analyst, I insider, M mention spike, V volume spike, T theme move, N news). Hover a period above the chart to pick it out and see only its events; click it to hide or show it.
Best and worst window per holding period
| Best | Worst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hold for | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank |
| one single day | Apr 28, 2026 | Apr 29, 2026 | +25.5% | #13 | Apr 2, 2025 | Apr 3, 2025 | -11.3% | #131 |
| one week | Apr 22, 2026 | Apr 29, 2026 | +28.1% | #44 | Apr 1, 2025 | Apr 8, 2025 | -19.2% | #83 |
| one month | Mar 30, 2026 | Apr 30, 2026 | +56.7% | #34 | Mar 7, 2025 | Apr 8, 2025 | -30.7% | #53 |
| 3 months | Mar 20, 2026 | Jun 22, 2026 | +69.8% | #56 | May 26, 2026 | Aug 26, 2026 | -32.7% | #81 |
| 6 months | Nov 26, 2025 | May 26, 2026 | +73.4% | #98 | Oct 15, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -33.5% | #82 |
| one year | May 23, 2025 | May 26, 2026 | +76.4% | #134 | Oct 15, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -33.5% | #101 |
Rank #44 for the best one week means 43 of the S&P 500 components had a better best-one week gain over the past year; for the worst windows #1 is the deepest fall. Updated .
What happened in each window
Best one single day Apr 28, 2026 → Apr 29, 2026 +25.6% · 3 events
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.7%
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, +25.6% on the day
- E Earnings beat 1Q2026 · EPS +$0.07 (+2.2%) vs consensus · +25.6% reaction
Best one week Apr 22, 2026 → Apr 29, 2026 +28.1% · 4 events
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +4.8 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.2%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.7%
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, +25.6% on the day
- E Earnings beat 1Q2026 · EPS +$0.07 (+2.2%) vs consensus · +25.6% reaction
Best one month Mar 30, 2026 → Apr 30, 2026 +56.7% · 8 events
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -3.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.2%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.9 pts vs SPY; the stock +4.7%
- A Analyst downgrade B of A Securities: Buy → Neutral
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +2.1%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +4.8 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.2%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.7%
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, +25.6% on the day
- E Earnings beat 1Q2026 · EPS +$0.07 (+2.2%) vs consensus · +25.6% reaction
Best 3 months Mar 20, 2026 → Jun 22, 2026 +69.8% · 18 events
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.1%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -3.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.2%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.9 pts vs SPY; the stock +4.7%
- A Analyst downgrade B of A Securities: Buy → Neutral
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +2.1%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +4.8 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.2%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.7%
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, +25.6% on the day
- E Earnings beat 1Q2026 · EPS +$0.07 (+2.2%) vs consensus · +25.6% reaction
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +3.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +0.6%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.2 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.4%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.4%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -0.9%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.7%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +5.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +3.9%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +0.1%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +5.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +6.0%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -4.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.1%
Best 6 months Nov 26, 2025 → May 26, 2026 +73.3% · 25 events
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.8 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.7%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -3.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.6%
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, +1.9% on the day
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +3.6 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.9%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +3.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.3%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.1%
- E Earnings beat 4Q2025 · EPS +$0.04 (+1.2%) vs consensus · -4.5% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.1x average volume, -4.5% on the day
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.4 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.0%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.2%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.3 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.7%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.1%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -3.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.2%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.9 pts vs SPY; the stock +4.7%
- A Analyst downgrade B of A Securities: Buy → Neutral
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +2.1%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +4.8 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.2%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.7%
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, +25.6% on the day
- E Earnings beat 1Q2026 · EPS +$0.07 (+2.2%) vs consensus · +25.6% reaction
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +3.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +0.6%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.2 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.4%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.4%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -0.9%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.7%
Best one year May 23, 2025 → May 26, 2026 +76.4% · 43 events
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.8 pts vs SPY; the stock +3.2%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.6 pts vs SPY; the stock +3.1%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +2.8%
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.06 (+2.3%) vs consensus · -0.1% reaction
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -3.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.2%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +7.3%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.8%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.2 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.0%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.7 pts vs SPY; the stock +2.1%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.3 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.1%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -3.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.2%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.2 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.3%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.1%
- E Earnings miss 3Q2025 · EPS −$0.01 (−0.3%) vs consensus · -3.9% reaction
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.8%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +2.9%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.7 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.1%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.6 pts vs SPY; the stock +0.1%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.8 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.7%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -3.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.6%
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, +1.9% on the day
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +3.6 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.9%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +3.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.3%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.1%
- E Earnings beat 4Q2025 · EPS +$0.04 (+1.2%) vs consensus · -4.5% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.1x average volume, -4.5% on the day
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.4 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.0%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.2%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.3 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.7%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.1%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -3.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.2%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.9 pts vs SPY; the stock +4.7%
- A Analyst downgrade B of A Securities: Buy → Neutral
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +2.1%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +4.8 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.2%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.7%
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, +25.6% on the day
- E Earnings beat 1Q2026 · EPS +$0.07 (+2.2%) vs consensus · +25.6% reaction
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +3.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +0.6%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.2 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.4%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.4%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -0.9%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.7%
Worst one single day Apr 2, 2025 → Apr 3, 2025 -11.2% · 1 event
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -4.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -11.2%
Worst one week Apr 1, 2025 → Apr 8, 2025 -19.2% · 2 events
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -4.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -11.2%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.6 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.5%
Worst one month Mar 7, 2025 → Apr 8, 2025 -30.7% · 3 events
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.6%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -4.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -11.2%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.6 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.5%
Worst 3 months May 26, 2026 → Aug 26, 2026 -32.7% · 16 events
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +5.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +3.9%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +0.1%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +5.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +6.0%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -4.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.1%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -5.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.2%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.8 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.0%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -3.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.6%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +2.4%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.7%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +4.4 pts vs SPY; the stock +2.2%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -4.2 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.9%
- E Earnings beat 2Q2026 · EPS +$0.08 (+2.4%) vs consensus · -7.0% reaction
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +5.4 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.7%
- A Analyst downgrade UBS: Buy → Neutral
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.7 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.6%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -3.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.8%
Worst 6 months Oct 15, 2024 → Apr 8, 2025 -33.5% · 18 events
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.3%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +2.4%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.0%
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.02 (+0.6%) vs consensus · -5.2% reaction
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.9%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.4 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.9%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.5%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.7 pts vs SPY; the stock -0.4%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.3%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.9%
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.04 (+1.3%) vs consensus · -1.1% reaction
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.4%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +2.1%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.4%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -3.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.1%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.6%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -4.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -11.2%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.6 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.5%
Worst one year Oct 15, 2024 → Apr 8, 2025 -33.5% · 18 events
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.3%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +2.4%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.0%
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.02 (+0.6%) vs consensus · -5.2% reaction
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.9%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.4 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.9%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.5%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.7 pts vs SPY; the stock -0.4%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.3%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.9%
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.04 (+1.3%) vs consensus · -1.1% reaction
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.4%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +2.1%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.4%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -3.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -1.1%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -2.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.6%
- T Theme selloff Semiconductors peers -4.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -11.2%
- T Theme rally Semiconductors peers +2.6 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.5%
From Wallsti's event record (Aftermath's events over the two years, plus the AI-read news catalysts, which only cover recent weeks). An event is no proof of cause: check the dates against the line.
Today vs. the best starting days
| As of | 1d | 1w | 1m | 3m | 6m | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 15, 2026 |
+3.4% | -1.2% | +1.3% | -17.8% | +9.9% | +7.0% |
| Best one single day Apr 28, 2026 |
-2.7% | +2.6% | +20.2% | -3.5% | +9.2% | +19.6% |
| Best one week Apr 22, 2026 |
+0.6% | +7.8% | +18.6% | -4.2% | +5.0% | +31.7% |
| Best one month Mar 30, 2026 |
-2.2% | -2.6% | -17.0% | -14.4% | -16.9% | +0.5% |
| Best 3 months Mar 20, 2026 |
-0.5% | +0.3% | -17.6% | -15.4% | -14.2% | -4.3% |
| Best 6 months Nov 26, 2025 |
+1.4% | +1.9% | -11.6% | -18.2% | +1.8% | -13.7% |
| Best one year May 23, 2025 |
-2.2% | -9.6% | +6.2% | -18.4% | -14.3% | -28.3% |
Trailing gains over each window, today and on the day each best window started, to compare today's setup with the best entries.