OCTV
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices OCTV only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
22.19 +2.2% reached 3 in 10 days |
22.79 +5.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 21.71 | |
| Bargain buy side |
21.24 -2.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
20.68 -4.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 21.09 | 2 in 10 days | 22.34 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 21.24 | 3 in 10 days | 22.19 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 21.38 | 4 in 10 days | 22.04 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 20.36 | 2 in 10 weeks | 23.15 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 20.68 | 3 in 10 weeks | 22.79 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 20.99 | 4 in 10 weeks | 22.46 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From OCTV's daily swings (about 2.2% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among OCTV's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 2, 2026 |
25.11 +15.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 22.79 +5.0% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
21.71 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 20.68 -4.7% |
| 50-day average | 19.60 -9.7% |
| 52-week closing low Jul 23, 2026 |
15.50 -28.6% |
Closing prices. Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.