PVLA
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices PVLA only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
151.78 +3.9% reached 3 in 10 days |
159.04 +8.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 146.15 | |
| Bargain buy side |
140.73 -3.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
134.31 -8.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 139.01 | 2 in 10 days | 153.65 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 140.73 | 3 in 10 days | 151.78 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 142.35 | 4 in 10 days | 150.05 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 130.67 | 2 in 10 weeks | 163.46 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 134.31 | 3 in 10 weeks | 159.04 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 137.79 | 4 in 10 weeks | 155.02 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From PVLA's daily swings (about 3.9% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among PVLA's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Feb 13, 2018 |
756.00 +417.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 159.04 +8.8% |
| 52-week closing high Sep 22, 2026 |
158.13 +8.2% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
146.15 |
| 50-day average | 141.47 -3.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 134.31 -8.1% |
| 200-day average | 126.93 -13.2% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 4, 2025 |
75.06 -48.6% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 12 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.