RIOT
Analyst cuts weighing on the stock
- RIOT −1.26% on the last session vs SPY +0.09%: −1.3 pts of stock-specific move.
- Against the group: its crypto-linked peers +1.2% (+1.0 pts vs SPY).
- Filing: 8-K: material agreement (item 1.01) (filing)
- Aftermath, rsi oversold (Oct 14): After its 12 oversold readings in the past 5 years, RIOT was higher a day later 4 times out of 12; half the outcomes fell between -5.5% and +0.4%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: Morgan Stanley maintained Overweight, lowered target $43.00 → $35.50.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Best and worst times to own RIOT in the past two years
Buying and selling at the close. Each colored stretch is the best or worst window for that holding period, green for a gain and red for a loss: longer holds are wider and darker underneath, shorter ones brighter on top. The grey line is the full two years. Letters mark events inside the windows (E earnings, A analyst, I insider, M mention spike, V volume spike, T theme move, N news). Hover a period above the chart to pick it out and see only its events; click it to hide or show it.
Best and worst window per holding period
| Best | Worst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hold for | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank |
| one single day | Nov 5, 2024 | Nov 6, 2024 | +26.2% | #13 | Jul 31, 2025 | Aug 1, 2025 | -17.7% | #33 |
| one week | Nov 4, 2024 | Nov 11, 2024 | +66.7% | #2 | Jan 29, 2026 | Feb 5, 2026 | -28.9% | #14 |
| one month | Apr 6, 2026 | May 6, 2026 | +75.3% | #17 | Oct 20, 2025 | Nov 20, 2025 | -41.9% | #12 |
| 3 months | Mar 30, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | +131.4% | #17 | Jan 16, 2025 | Apr 16, 2025 | -52.1% | #3 |
| 6 months | Apr 17, 2025 | Oct 20, 2025 | +240.7% | #13 | Nov 12, 2024 | May 12, 2025 | -39.8% | #52 |
| one year | May 30, 2025 | Jun 1, 2026 | +250.1% | #26 | Oct 15, 2025 | Oct 15, 2026 | -32.6% | #108 |
Rank #2 for the best one week means 1 of the S&P 500 components had a better best-one week gain over the past year; for the worst windows #1 is the deepest fall. Updated .
What happened in each window
Best one single day Nov 5, 2024 → Nov 6, 2024 +26.2% · 1 event
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +18.7 pts vs SPY; the stock +26.2%
Best one week Nov 4, 2024 → Nov 11, 2024 +66.7% · 2 events
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +18.7 pts vs SPY; the stock +26.2%
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, +16.9% on the day
Best one month Apr 6, 2026 → May 6, 2026 +75.3% · 3 events
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.6%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +5.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +7.9%
- E Earnings miss 1Q2026 · EPS −$0.07 (−25.3%) vs consensus · +7.3% reaction
Best 3 months Mar 30, 2026 → Jun 30, 2026 +131.4% · 7 events
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.6%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +5.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +7.9%
- E Earnings miss 1Q2026 · EPS −$0.07 (−25.3%) vs consensus · +7.3% reaction
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.3%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.3%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.4 pts vs SPY; the stock +4.2%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.4%
Best 6 months Apr 17, 2025 → Oct 20, 2025 +240.7% · 17 events
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +13.2%
- E Earnings miss EPS −$0.69 (<−100%) vs consensus · +8.0% reaction
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +7.7%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -8.3%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +7.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +8.1%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.7 pts vs SPY; the stock +8.2%
- V Volume spike 3.2x average volume, +1.1% on the day
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.7 pts vs SPY; the stock +0.5%
- E Earnings beat EPS +$1.18 (>+100%) vs consensus · -17.8% reaction
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -17.8%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.9%
- I Unplanned insider sale William Richard Jackman (EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL), $3,916,091
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +7.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -0.6%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.0%
- A Analyst upgrade Citigroup: Neutral → Buy
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +10.8 pts vs SPY; the stock +11.8%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -11.7%
Best one year May 30, 2025 → Jun 1, 2026 +250.1% · 33 events
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +7.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +8.1%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.7 pts vs SPY; the stock +8.2%
- V Volume spike 3.2x average volume, +1.1% on the day
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.7 pts vs SPY; the stock +0.5%
- E Earnings beat EPS +$1.18 (>+100%) vs consensus · -17.8% reaction
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -17.8%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.9%
- I Unplanned insider sale William Richard Jackman (EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL), $3,916,091
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +7.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -0.6%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.0%
- A Analyst upgrade Citigroup: Neutral → Buy
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +10.8 pts vs SPY; the stock +11.8%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -11.7%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.9%
- E Earnings beat 3Q2025 · EPS +$0.28 vs consensus · -6.2% reaction
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -6.8%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.3%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +9.2%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.2%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -10.4%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.7 pts vs SPY; the stock +11.8%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.3%
- V Volume spike 3.6x average volume, +16.1% on the day
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.3%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +17.6 pts vs SPY; the stock +19.8%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -0.2%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +3.5%
- E Earnings miss 4Q2025 · EPS −$1.49 (<−100%) vs consensus · -6.9% reaction
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -0.3%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.6%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +5.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +7.9%
- E Earnings miss 1Q2026 · EPS −$0.07 (−25.3%) vs consensus · +7.3% reaction
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.3%
Worst one single day Jul 31, 2025 → Aug 1, 2025 -17.8% · 2 events
- E Earnings beat EPS +$1.18 (>+100%) vs consensus · -17.8% reaction
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -17.8%
Worst one week Jan 29, 2026 → Feb 5, 2026 -28.9% · 1 event
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.3%
Worst one month Oct 20, 2025 → Nov 20, 2025 -41.9% · 4 events
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.9%
- E Earnings beat 3Q2025 · EPS +$0.28 vs consensus · -6.2% reaction
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -6.8%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.3%
Worst 3 months Jan 16, 2025 → Apr 16, 2025 -52.1% · 10 events
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -15.4%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.2%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -9.8%
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.30 (>+100%) vs consensus · -6.7% reaction
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.8 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.6%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -13.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -9.7%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +10.7 pts vs SPY; the stock +9.7%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.6%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -8.0%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.6 pts vs SPY; the stock +12.8%
Worst 6 months Nov 12, 2024 → May 12, 2025 -39.8% · 21 events
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -10.2 pts vs SPY; the stock -12.3%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.2%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +7.3 pts vs SPY; the stock +4.7%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -13.4%
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, +4.8% on the day
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -14.5%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +9.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +18.0%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.2 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.7%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -15.4%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.2%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -9.8%
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.30 (>+100%) vs consensus · -6.7% reaction
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.8 pts vs SPY; the stock +5.6%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -13.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -9.7%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +10.7 pts vs SPY; the stock +9.7%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.6%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.3 pts vs SPY; the stock -8.0%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.6 pts vs SPY; the stock +12.8%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +13.2%
- E Earnings miss EPS −$0.69 (<−100%) vs consensus · +8.0% reaction
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +7.7%
Worst one year Oct 15, 2025 → Oct 15, 2026 -32.6% · 39 events
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -11.7%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.9%
- E Earnings beat 3Q2025 · EPS +$0.28 vs consensus · -6.2% reaction
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -6.8%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.3%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +8.1 pts vs SPY; the stock +9.2%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.2%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.9 pts vs SPY; the stock -10.4%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.7 pts vs SPY; the stock +11.8%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.3%
- V Volume spike 3.6x average volume, +16.1% on the day
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.4 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.3%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +17.6 pts vs SPY; the stock +19.8%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.0 pts vs SPY; the stock -0.2%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.2 pts vs SPY; the stock +3.5%
- E Earnings miss 4Q2025 · EPS −$1.49 (<−100%) vs consensus · -6.9% reaction
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -0.3%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.6%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +5.5 pts vs SPY; the stock +7.9%
- E Earnings miss 1Q2026 · EPS −$0.07 (−25.3%) vs consensus · +7.3% reaction
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.3%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -3.3%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.4 pts vs SPY; the stock +4.2%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -6.1 pts vs SPY; the stock -4.4%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -7.4%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -5.8 pts vs SPY; the stock -6.4%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +5.0 pts vs SPY; the stock +9.0%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -5.6%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.7 pts vs SPY; the stock +21.3%
- V Volume spike 4.0x average volume, +4.3% on the day
- E Earnings miss 2Q2026 · EPS −$0.26 (−83.5%) vs consensus · +4.3% reaction
- M Mention spike 25 mentions vs 1.6/day the week before
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -5.6%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +6.6 pts vs SPY; the stock +2.5%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +5.3 pts vs SPY; the stock +1.3%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -7.5 pts vs SPY; the stock -9.1%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.7 pts vs SPY; the stock -6.0%
- T Theme rally Crypto-linked peers +11.7 pts vs SPY; the stock +8.6%
- T Theme selloff Crypto-linked peers -4.7 pts vs SPY; the stock -2.1%
From Wallsti's event record (Aftermath's events over the two years, plus the AI-read news catalysts, which only cover recent weeks). An event is no proof of cause: check the dates against the line.
Today vs. the best starting days
| As of | 1d | 1w | 1m | 3m | 6m | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 15, 2026 |
-1.2% | -11.4% | -24.3% | -25.8% | -14.4% | -32.6% |
| Best one single day Nov 5, 2024 |
+8.1% | -10.7% | +23.7% | +16.8% | -6.8% | -14.7% |
| Best one week Nov 4, 2024 |
-4.9% | -15.0% | +14.4% | +4.8% | -13.8% | -21.2% |
| Best one month Apr 6, 2026 |
+5.1% | +14.3% | -4.6% | -9.7% | -37.3% | +89.4% |
| Best 3 months Mar 30, 2026 |
-7.6% | -17.7% | -27.4% | -6.9% | -37.8% | +59.6% |
| Best 6 months Apr 17, 2025 |
+1.6% | -4.9% | -16.8% | -51.8% | -29.8% | -18.9% |
| Best one year May 30, 2025 |
-1.3% | -5.6% | +11.5% | -13.0% | -36.2% | -19.7% |
Trailing gains over each window, today and on the day each best window started, to compare today's setup with the best entries.