RJF
Raymond James Financial, Inc. · Financial Services · Asset Management
TECHStrong SellZACKSSell
R500#418 today
$158.21
-0.97% today · -0.70% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- RJF −0.97% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −1.7 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, crossed above 200-day avg (Sep 28): After its 12 crosses above the 200-day average in the past 5 years, RJF typically gained 5.5% over the next month (median) and was higher 67% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -0.3% and +7.0%. An ordinary month: +1.5%. Among S&P 500 stocks after crosses above the 200-day average, that ranks #25 of 497.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Oct 28
After the close · in 24 days
EPS estimate
$3.32
$2.99 to $3.58 · 15 analysts
Revenue estimate
$4.2B
$4.1B to $4.3B
Track record
6/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±2.0% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 AMC | 3Q2026 | $2.91 | $3.14 | +$0.23 (+7.8%) beat | $3.9B | -1.1% +0.1 vs SPY | +0.8% | +3.7% |
| Apr 22, 2026 AMC | 2Q2026 | $2.76 | $2.83 | +$0.07 (+2.5%) beat | $3.9B | -0.7% -0.3 vs SPY | -1.5% | +0.7% |
| Jan 28, 2026 AMC | 1Q2026 | $2.83 | $2.86 | +$0.03 (+0.9%) beat | $3.7B | -0.4% -0.2 vs SPY | -0.2% | +0.9% |
| Oct 22, 2025 AMC | 4Q2025 | $2.83 | $3.11 | +$0.28 (+10.0%) beat | $3.7B | -0.6% -1.2 vs SPY | +3.9% | -4.7% |
| Jul 23, 2025 AMC | $2.36 | $2.18 | −$0.18 (−7.6%) miss | — | +3.7% +3.7 vs SPY | +1.6% | +5.3% | |
| Apr 23, 2025 AMC | $2.44 | $2.42 | −$0.02 (−0.8%) miss | — | +1.4% -0.7 vs SPY | -1.2% | +1.3% | |
| Jan 29, 2025 AMC | $2.69 | $2.93 | +$0.24 (+8.9%) beat | — | -0.8% -1.3 vs SPY | -1.1% | -3.7% | |
| Oct 23, 2024 AMC | $2.41 | $2.95 | +$0.54 (+22.4%) beat | — | +7.3% +7.1 vs SPY | +5.4% | +8.5% | |
| Jul 24, 2024 AMC | $2.33 | $2.39 | +$0.06 (+2.6%) beat | — | +5.2% +5.7 vs SPY | +0.7% | +3.4% | |
| Apr 24, 2024 AMC | $2.31 | $2.31 | $0.00 (0.0%) in line | — | -4.4% -4.0 vs SPY | -3.6% | -3.9% | |
| Jan 24, 2024 AMC | $2.26 | $2.40 | +$0.14 (+6.2%) beat | — | +1.2% +0.6 vs SPY | +3.1% | -2.1% | |
| Oct 25, 2023 AMC | $2.28 | $2.13 | −$0.15 (−6.6%) miss | — | +5.0% +6.2 vs SPY | +3.9% | +4.5% | |
| Jul 26, 2023 AMC | $2.16 | $1.85 | −$0.31 (−14.4%) miss | — | -2.0% -1.4 vs SPY | -1.7% | -2.0% | |
| Apr 26, 2023 AMC | $2.24 | $2.03 | −$0.21 (−9.4%) miss | — | -3.0% -5.0 vs SPY | -1.6% | -8.5% | |
| Jan 25, 2023 AMC | $2.28 | $2.29 | +$0.01 (+0.4%) beat | — | -4.0% -5.1 vs SPY | +1.8% | -5.1% | |
| Oct 26, 2022 AMC | $2.00 | $2.08 | +$0.08 (+4.0%) beat | — | +6.6% +7.1 vs SPY | +2.1% | +9.8% | |
| Jul 27, 2022 AMC | $1.66 | $1.61 | −$0.05 (−3.0%) miss | — | -0.5% -1.8 vs SPY | +0.5% | +4.4% | |
| Apr 27, 2022 AMC | $1.64 | $1.55 | −$0.09 (−5.5%) miss | — | +3.6% +1.1 vs SPY | +2.0% | +2.8% | |
| Jan 26, 2022 AMC | $1.76 | $2.12 | +$0.36 (+20.5%) beat | — | +2.5% +3.0 vs SPY | +2.5% | +11.4% | |
| Oct 27, 2021 AMC | $1.71 | $2.06 | +$0.35 (+20.5%) beat | — | -0.3% -1.2 vs SPY | -0.6% | +2.2% | |
| Jul 28, 2021 AMC | $1.57 | $1.83 | +$0.26 (+16.6%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Apr 27, 2021 AMC | $1.45 | $1.67 | +$0.22 (+15.2%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Jan 27, 2021 AMC | $1.13 | $1.49 | +$0.36 (+31.9%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Oct 28, 2020 AMC | $0.89 | $1.19 | +$0.30 (+33.7%) beat | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $3.32 (15) | $2.99 – $3.58 | +7% | +2.8% | ▲1 ▼0 | $4.2B | +13% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $3.35 (13) | $3.03 – $3.54 | +17% | +4.2% | ▲1 ▼0 | $4.3B | +14% |
| Current year · Sep 30, 2026 | $12.11 (16) | $11.65 – $12.41 | +14% | +2.1% | ▲1 ▼0 | $15.7B | +12% |
| Next year · Sep 30, 2027 | $14.20 (16) | $12.55 – $15.08 | +17% | +5.1% | ▲0 ▼1 | $17.5B | +11% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.