SGOV
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices SGOV only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
100.75 0.0% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 days · 25% vs usual 28% |
100.77 0.0% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 27% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 100.73 | |
| Bargain buy side |
100.71 0.0% reached 3 in 10 days |
100.69 0.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 100.71 | 2 in 10 days | 100.75 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 100.71 | 3 in 10 days | 100.75 | 3 in 10 days↓ 25% vs 28% |
| Eager | 100.72 | 4 in 10 days | 100.74 | 4 in 10 days↓ 43% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 100.67 | 2 in 10 weeks | 100.79 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 19% |
| Balanced | 100.69 | 3 in 10 weeks | 100.77 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 27% vs 30% |
| Eager | 100.70 | 4 in 10 weeks | 100.76 | 5 in 10 weeks↓ 45% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From SGOV's daily swings (about 0.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 25% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 10 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 27% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 0.0% | +0.1% | +0.3% | — |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.3% | — |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 0.0% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.9% |
| Jun 22, 2026 | 0.0% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.9% |
| May 19, 2026 | 0.0% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.9% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | 0.0% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.9% |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 0.0% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.9% |
Big drop and big gain: among SGOV's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 100.77 0.0% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
100.73 |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 30, 2026 |
100.73 0.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 100.69 0.0% |
| 50-day average | 100.36 -0.4% |
| 200-day average | 99.29 -1.4% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 29, 2025 |
97.07 -3.6% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 6 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.