SMH
Reddit attention is surging
- SMH −2.47% on the last session vs SPY −0.03%: −2.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big drop (Oct 8): After its 56 big drops in the past 5 years, SMH was higher a month later 35 times out of 56; half the outcomes fell between -2.7% and +8.9%. History, not a forecast.
- 11 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 22% positive over the week · today's pace is 1.6× its recent daily average.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
- Activity: volume on pace for 2.8× its 20-day average.
Best and worst times to own SMH in the past two years
Buying and selling at the close. Each colored stretch is the best or worst window for that holding period, green for a gain and red for a loss: longer holds are wider and darker underneath, shorter ones brighter on top. The grey line is the full two years. Letters mark events inside the windows (E earnings, A analyst, I insider, M mention spike, V volume spike, T theme move, N news). Hover a period above the chart to pick it out and see only its events; click it to hide or show it.
Best and worst window per holding period
| Best | Worst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hold for | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank |
| one single day | Apr 8, 2025 | Apr 9, 2025 | +17.2% | #58 | Jan 24, 2025 | Jan 27, 2025 | -9.8% | #169 |
| one week | May 6, 2025 | May 13, 2025 | +13.9% | #245 | Apr 1, 2025 | Apr 8, 2025 | -15.3% | #150 |
| one month | Mar 30, 2026 | Apr 30, 2026 | +39.8% | #79 | Jun 29, 2026 | Jul 29, 2026 | -20.2% | #189 |
| 3 months | Mar 30, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | +80.9% | #39 | Jan 8, 2025 | Apr 8, 2025 | -28.7% | #131 |
| 6 months | Apr 8, 2025 | Oct 8, 2025 | +92.3% | #66 | Oct 15, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -26.9% | #141 |
| one year | Jun 2, 2025 | Jun 2, 2026 | +160.7% | #42 | Oct 15, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -26.9% | #149 |
Rank #245 for the best one week means 244 of the S&P 500 components had a better best-one week gain over the past year; for the worst windows #1 is the deepest fall. Updated .
What happened in each window
Best one single day Apr 8, 2025 → Apr 9, 2025 +17.2% · 0 events
None recorded.
Best one week May 6, 2025 → May 13, 2025 +13.9% · 0 events
None recorded.
Best one month Mar 30, 2026 → Apr 30, 2026 +39.8% · 0 events
None recorded.
Best 3 months Mar 30, 2026 → Jun 30, 2026 +80.9% · 0 events
None recorded.
Best 6 months Apr 8, 2025 → Oct 8, 2025 +92.3% · 0 events
None recorded.
Best one year Jun 2, 2025 → Jun 2, 2026 +160.7% · 0 events
None recorded.
Worst one single day Jan 24, 2025 → Jan 27, 2025 -9.8% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 4.3x average volume, -9.8% on the day
Worst one week Apr 1, 2025 → Apr 8, 2025 -15.3% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 3.1x average volume, -7.5% on the day
Worst one month Jun 29, 2026 → Jul 29, 2026 -20.2% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, -2.2% on the day
Worst 3 months Jan 8, 2025 → Apr 8, 2025 -28.7% · 2 events
- V Volume spike 4.3x average volume, -9.8% on the day
- V Volume spike 3.1x average volume, -7.5% on the day
Worst 6 months Oct 15, 2024 → Apr 8, 2025 -26.9% · 2 events
- V Volume spike 4.3x average volume, -9.8% on the day
- V Volume spike 3.1x average volume, -7.5% on the day
Worst one year Oct 15, 2024 → Apr 8, 2025 -26.9% · 2 events
- V Volume spike 4.3x average volume, -9.8% on the day
- V Volume spike 3.1x average volume, -7.5% on the day
From Wallsti's event record (Aftermath's events over the two years, plus the AI-read news catalysts, which only cover recent weeks). An event is no proof of cause: check the dates against the line.
Today vs. the best starting days
| As of | 1d | 1w | 1m | 3m | 6m | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 15, 2026 |
-2.4% | -9.3% | +1.6% | -6.7% | +21.6% | +61.7% |
| Best one single day Apr 8, 2025 |
-2.7% | -15.3% | -20.1% | -28.7% | -28.4% | -19.0% |
| Best one week May 6, 2025 |
-0.9% | +2.5% | +19.2% | -13.2% | -15.0% | -2.8% |
| Best one month Mar 30, 2026 |
-3.1% | -7.4% | -10.8% | -0.2% | +11.4% | +71.4% |
| Best 3 months Mar 30, 2026 |
-3.1% | -7.4% | -10.8% | -0.2% | +11.4% | +71.4% |
| Best 6 months Apr 8, 2025 |
-2.7% | -15.3% | -20.1% | -28.7% | -28.4% | -19.0% |
| Best one year Jun 2, 2025 |
+1.5% | +2.5% | +11.1% | +4.5% | -1.4% | +1.6% |
Trailing gains over each window, today and on the day each best window started, to compare today's setup with the best entries.