SW
Smurfit WestRock plc · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
TECHSellZACKSHold
R500#434 today
$42.54
-1.16% today · -8.34% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- SW −1.16% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −1.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, crossed below 200-day avg (Oct 2): After its 14 crosses below the 200-day average in the past 5 years, SW typically gained 8.4% over the next month (median) and was higher 71% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -2.3% and +14.0%. An ordinary month: +0.8%. Among S&P 500 stocks after crosses below the 200-day average, that ranks #67 of 496.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Oct 28
Before the open · in 24 days
EPS estimate
$0.61
$0.54 to $0.72 · 8 analysts
Revenue estimate
$8.2B
$8.0B to $8.4B
Track record
1/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±6.6% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 BMO | 2Q2026 | $0.42 | $0.35 | −$0.07 (−16.9%) miss | $8.0B | -5.0% -3.5 vs SPY | -6.6% | -4.5% |
| Apr 30, 2026 BMO | 1Q2026 | $0.40 | $0.33 | −$0.07 (−17.4%) miss | $7.7B | -3.2% -4.2 vs SPY | -4.5% | +5.6% |
| Feb 11, 2026 BMO | 4Q2025 | $0.49 | $0.28 | −$0.21 (−43.0%) miss | $7.6B | +9.9% +9.9 vs SPY | +6.4% | +14.3% |
| Oct 29, 2025 BMO | 3Q2025 | $0.72 | $0.58 | −$0.14 (−19.8%) miss | $8.0B | -12.2% -12.2 vs SPY | -3.8% | -15.7% |
| Jul 30, 2025 BMO | $0.59 | $0.51 | −$0.08 (−13.6%) miss | — | -1.7% -1.6 vs SPY | -5.3% | -8.4% | |
| May 1, 2025 BMO | $0.67 | $0.83 | +$0.16 (+23.9%) beat | — | -3.7% -4.4 vs SPY | -1.4% | -4.8% | |
| Feb 12, 2025 BMO | $0.59 | $0.42 | −$0.17 (−28.8%) miss | — | -5.0% -4.7 vs SPY | -5.0% | +4.0% | |
| Oct 30, 2024 BMO | $0.74 | $0.73 | −$0.01 (−1.4%) miss | — | +12.0% +12.3 vs SPY | +5.3% | +15.9% | |
| Jul 30, 2024 AMC | $0.71 | $0.74 | +$0.03 (+4.2%) beat | — | -4.1% -5.7 vs SPY | -7.4% | -13.7% |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $0.61 (8) | $0.54 – $0.72 | +5% | -20.3% | — | $8.2B | +3% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $0.75 (8) | $0.68 – $0.85 | +164% | +1.3% | — | $8.1B | +6% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | $1.87 (9) | $1.46 – $2.44 | +41% | -15.3% | ▲1 ▼2 | $32.1B | +3% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | $3.43 (14) | $2.84 – $4.09 | +64% | +7.0% | ▲4 ▼0 | $34.1B | +6% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.