TGB
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices TGB only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
7.65 +3.9% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
8.02 +8.9% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 7.58 · prior close 7.36 | |
| Bargain buy side |
7.08 -3.8% reached 3 in 10 days |
6.76 -8.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 7.00 | 2 in 10 days | 7.74 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 7.08 | 3 in 10 days | 7.65 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 7.17 | 4 in 10 days | 7.56 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 6.57 | 2 in 10 weeks | 8.24 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 6.76 | 3 in 10 weeks | 8.02 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 6.93 | 4 in 10 weeks | 7.81 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From TGB's daily swings (about 4.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | -8.3% | +7.7% | — | — |
| Oct 1, 2026 | -6.7% | 0.0% | -11.4% | — |
| Sep 10, 2026 | -10.2% | +4.5% | +10.3% | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | -5.2% | -8.0% | -3.3% | — |
| Aug 18, 2026 | -4.7% | +13.8% | +0.2% | — |
| Jul 15, 2026 | -6.6% | +1.9% | +13.0% | +15.1% |
| Jul 7, 2026 | -6.3% | +22.1% | +25.3% | +36.4% |
| Jun 17, 2026 | -4.9% | -11.6% | -5.5% | +12.8% |
Big drop and big gain: among TGB's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Mar 22, 1994 |
15.38 +102.8% |
| 52-week closing high Aug 27, 2026 |
9.68 +27.7% |
| 50-day average | 8.46 +11.6% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 8.02 +5.8% |
| 200-day average | 7.64 +0.8% |
| Now | 7.58 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
7.36 -2.9% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 6.76 -10.9% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 4, 2025 |
4.19 -44.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 35 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.