TOL
Homebuilders rally as long-term rates fall
- TOL +2.81% on the last session vs SPY +0.24%: +2.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- Homebuilders: Long-term rates retreated, boosting homebuilders including TOL, PHM, DHI, and LEN (AOL.com). (AOL.com)
- Homebuilders basket +4.8% (+4.5 pts vs SPY; LEN +6.1%, DHI +4.8%, PHM +3.4%): the stock moved with its peers.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Best and worst times to own TOL in the past two years
Buying and selling at the close. Each colored stretch is the best or worst window for that holding period, green for a gain and red for a loss: longer holds are wider and darker underneath, shorter ones brighter on top. The grey line is the full two years. Letters mark events inside the windows (E earnings, A analyst, I insider, M mention spike, V volume spike, T theme move, N news). Hover a period above the chart to pick it out and see only its events; click it to hide or show it.
Best and worst window per holding period
| Best | Worst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hold for | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank |
| one single day | May 19, 2026 | May 20, 2026 | +9.8% | #178 | Apr 2, 2025 | Apr 3, 2025 | -8.0% | #243 |
| one week | Jul 15, 2025 | Jul 22, 2025 | +11.3% | #331 | Apr 1, 2025 | Apr 8, 2025 | -14.1% | #180 |
| one month | May 18, 2026 | Jun 18, 2026 | +22.6% | #242 | Dec 2, 2024 | Jan 2, 2025 | -24.0% | #123 |
| 3 months | Jun 6, 2025 | Sep 8, 2025 | +38.2% | #191 | Dec 3, 2024 | Mar 3, 2025 | -33.1% | #79 |
| 6 months | Apr 21, 2025 | Oct 21, 2025 | +50.3% | #176 | Oct 15, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -41.6% | #45 |
| one year | Apr 21, 2025 | Apr 21, 2026 | +62.2% | #173 | Oct 15, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -41.6% | #69 |
Rank #331 for the best one week means 330 of the S&P 500 components had a better best-one week gain over the past year; for the worst windows #1 is the deepest fall. Updated .
What happened in each window
From Wallsti's event record (Aftermath's events over the two years, plus the AI-read news catalysts, which only cover recent weeks). An event is no proof of cause: check the dates against the line.
Today vs. the best starting days
| As of | 1d | 1w | 1m | 3m | 6m | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 15, 2026 |
+2.8% | -0.4% | +0.1% | -12.3% | -4.0% | +0.6% |
| Best one single day May 19, 2026 |
-2.2% | -7.6% | -15.4% | -22.4% | -1.4% | +18.0% |
| Best one week Jul 15, 2025 |
-4.7% | -2.6% | +6.0% | +21.3% | -14.8% | -7.1% |
| Best one month May 18, 2026 |
+0.6% | -6.1% | -13.4% | -20.5% | +0.8% | +19.3% |
| Best 3 months Jun 6, 2025 |
-1.2% | +3.0% | +5.7% | -3.2% | -30.0% | -8.9% |
| Best 6 months Apr 21, 2025 |
-1.9% | -2.2% | -13.0% | -31.9% | -39.7% | -17.2% |
| Best one year Apr 21, 2025 |
-1.9% | -2.2% | -13.0% | -31.9% | -39.7% | -17.2% |
Trailing gains over each window, today and on the day each best window started, to compare today's setup with the best entries.