TPR
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- TPR +3.91% on the last session vs SPY −0.03%: +3.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big gain (+3.9% today so far, past its big-gain line of +2.8%): After its 59 big gains in the past 5 years, TPR was higher a week later 40 times out of 59; half the outcomes fell between -1.8% and +6.3%. History, not a forecast.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Best and worst times to own TPR in the past two years
Buying and selling at the close. Each colored stretch is the best or worst window for that holding period, green for a gain and red for a loss: longer holds are wider and darker underneath, shorter ones brighter on top. The grey line is the full two years. Letters mark events inside the windows (E earnings, A analyst, I insider, M mention spike, V volume spike, T theme move, N news). Hover a period above the chart to pick it out and see only its events; click it to hide or show it.
Best and worst window per holding period
| Best | Worst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hold for | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank |
| one single day | Oct 24, 2024 | Oct 25, 2024 | +13.5% | #99 | Aug 12, 2026 | Aug 13, 2026 | -16.5% | #49 |
| one week | Feb 3, 2026 | Feb 10, 2026 | +20.6% | #122 | Aug 10, 2026 | Aug 17, 2026 | -21.7% | #59 |
| one month | Nov 1, 2024 | Dec 2, 2024 | +37.5% | #87 | Aug 7, 2026 | Sep 9, 2026 | -29.7% | #62 |
| 3 months | Oct 23, 2024 | Jan 23, 2025 | +70.0% | #56 | Jun 23, 2026 | Sep 23, 2026 | -26.3% | #153 |
| 6 months | Oct 15, 2024 | Feb 19, 2025 | +98.5% | #55 | Apr 9, 2026 | Oct 9, 2026 | -23.3% | #179 |
| one year | Oct 23, 2024 | Oct 23, 2025 | +168.7% | #40 | Sep 23, 2025 | Sep 23, 2026 | -3.6% | #378 |
Rank #122 for the best one week means 121 of the S&P 500 components had a better best-one week gain over the past year; for the worst windows #1 is the deepest fall. Updated .
What happened in each window
Best one single day Oct 24, 2024 → Oct 25, 2024 +13.5% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 7.5x average volume, +13.5% on the day
Best one week Feb 3, 2026 → Feb 10, 2026 +20.6% · 1 event
- E Earnings beat 2Q2026 · EPS +$0.46 (+20.7%) vs consensus · +10.2% reaction
Best one month Nov 1, 2024 → Dec 2, 2024 +37.5% · 0 events
None recorded.
Best 3 months Oct 23, 2024 → Jan 23, 2025 +70.0% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 7.5x average volume, +13.5% on the day
Best 6 months Oct 15, 2024 → Feb 19, 2025 +98.5% · 3 events
- V Volume spike 7.5x average volume, +13.5% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.25 (+14.3%) vs consensus · +12.0% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, +12.0% on the day
Best one year Oct 23, 2024 → Oct 23, 2025 +168.7% · 8 events
- V Volume spike 7.5x average volume, +13.5% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.25 (+14.3%) vs consensus · +12.0% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, +12.0% on the day
- V Volume spike 4.2x average volume, +0.3% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.15 (+17.0%) vs consensus · +3.7% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.2x average volume, -15.7% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.02 (+2.0%) vs consensus · -15.7% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, +2.3% on the day
Worst one single day Aug 12, 2026 → Aug 13, 2026 -16.5% · 2 events
- E Earnings beat 4Q2026 · EPS +$0.04 (+3.4%) vs consensus · -16.5% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.8x average volume, -16.5% on the day
Worst one week Aug 10, 2026 → Aug 17, 2026 -21.7% · 2 events
- E Earnings beat 4Q2026 · EPS +$0.04 (+3.4%) vs consensus · -16.5% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.8x average volume, -16.5% on the day
Worst one month Aug 7, 2026 → Sep 9, 2026 -29.7% · 2 events
- E Earnings beat 4Q2026 · EPS +$0.04 (+3.4%) vs consensus · -16.5% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.8x average volume, -16.5% on the day
Worst 3 months Jun 23, 2026 → Sep 23, 2026 -26.3% · 2 events
- E Earnings beat 4Q2026 · EPS +$0.04 (+3.4%) vs consensus · -16.5% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.8x average volume, -16.5% on the day
Worst 6 months Apr 9, 2026 → Oct 9, 2026 -23.3% · 5 events
- V Volume spike 3.8x average volume, -12.3% on the day
- E Earnings beat 3Q2026 · EPS +$0.36 (+27.8%) vs consensus · -12.3% reaction
- A Analyst upgrade UBS: Neutral → Buy
- E Earnings beat 4Q2026 · EPS +$0.04 (+3.4%) vs consensus · -16.5% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.8x average volume, -16.5% on the day
Worst one year Sep 23, 2025 → Sep 23, 2026 -3.6% · 9 events
- V Volume spike 3.2x average volume, -9.6% on the day
- E Earnings beat 1Q2026 · EPS +$0.11 (+8.9%) vs consensus · -9.6% reaction
- A Analyst downgrade Jefferies: Buy → Hold
- E Earnings beat 2Q2026 · EPS +$0.46 (+20.7%) vs consensus · +10.2% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.8x average volume, -12.3% on the day
- E Earnings beat 3Q2026 · EPS +$0.36 (+27.8%) vs consensus · -12.3% reaction
- A Analyst upgrade UBS: Neutral → Buy
- E Earnings beat 4Q2026 · EPS +$0.04 (+3.4%) vs consensus · -16.5% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.8x average volume, -16.5% on the day
From Wallsti's event record (Aftermath's events over the two years, plus the AI-read news catalysts, which only cover recent weeks). An event is no proof of cause: check the dates against the line.
Today vs. the best starting days
| As of | 1d | 1w | 1m | 3m | 6m | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 15, 2026 |
+3.9% | +3.2% | +2.1% | -14.5% | -20.5% | +3.8% |
| Best one single day Oct 24, 2024 |
+2.1% | -1.6% | -2.0% | +12.6% | +12.9% | +64.9% |
| Best one week Feb 3, 2026 |
-2.0% | -0.4% | -1.6% | +19.9% | +20.4% | +75.5% |
| Best one month Nov 1, 2024 |
-1.0% | -7.0% | +1.4% | +21.0% | +20.9% | +82.9% |
| Best 3 months Oct 23, 2024 |
-0.9% | -4.2% | -1.3% | +6.7% | +12.2% | +61.6% |
| Best 6 months Oct 15, 2024 |
-0.9% | -0.1% | +5.7% | +7.3% | +12.6% | +65.2% |
| Best one year Oct 23, 2024 |
-0.9% | -4.2% | -1.3% | +6.7% | +12.2% | +61.6% |
Trailing gains over each window, today and on the day each best window started, to compare today's setup with the best entries.