TSLA
Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
$370.59
+4.65% today · -0.41% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- TSLA +4.65% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: +3.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big gain (Oct 2): After its 60 big gains in the past 5 years, TSLA typically lost 1.8% over the next week (median) and was higher only 37% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -4.0% and +2.9%. An ordinary week: -0.3%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big gains, that ranks #471 of 500.
- 5 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 74% positive over the week.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: JP Morgan maintained Neutral, lowered target $445 → $415.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days, including 1 insider sale not under a 10b5-1 plan.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Oct 21
After the close · in 17 days
EPS estimate
$0.44
$0.33 to $0.60 · 24 analysts
Revenue estimate
$27.6B
$24.3B to $29.5B
Track record
3/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±7.8% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 AMC | 2Q2026 | $0.54 | $0.33 | −$0.21 (−39.2%) miss | $28.2B | -14.5% -13.3 vs SPY | -8.8% | -20.2% |
| Apr 22, 2026 AMC | 1Q2026 | $0.35 | $0.41 | +$0.06 (+17.1%) beat | $22.4B | -3.6% -3.2 vs SPY | -3.2% | -3.8% |
| Jan 28, 2026 AMC | 4Q2025 | $0.45 | $0.50 | +$0.05 (+11.0%) beat | $24.9B | -3.5% -3.2 vs SPY | +1.5% | -5.9% |
| Oct 22, 2025 AMC | 3Q2025 | $0.56 | $0.50 | −$0.06 (−10.5%) miss | $28.1B | +2.3% +1.7 vs SPY | -4.3% | +5.1% |
| Jul 23, 2025 AMC | $0.40 | $0.40 | $0.00 (0.0%) in line | — | -8.2% -8.2 vs SPY | -6.8% | -4.1% | |
| Apr 22, 2025 AMC | $0.41 | $0.27 | −$0.14 (−34.1%) miss | — | +5.4% +3.8 vs SPY | +7.1% | +22.7% | |
| Jan 29, 2025 AMC | $0.77 | $0.73 | −$0.04 (−5.2%) miss | — | +2.9% +2.3 vs SPY | +5.6% | -2.8% | |
| Oct 23, 2024 AMC | $0.60 | $0.72 | +$0.12 (+20.0%) beat | — | +21.9% +21.7 vs SPY | +14.5% | +20.6% | |
| Jul 23, 2024 AMC | $0.62 | $0.52 | −$0.10 (−16.1%) miss | — | -12.3% -10.1 vs SPY | -8.5% | -9.6% | |
| Apr 23, 2024 AMC | $0.49 | $0.45 | −$0.04 (−8.2%) miss | — | +12.1% +12.1 vs SPY | +12.6% | +26.7% | |
| Jan 24, 2024 AMC | $0.74 | $0.71 | −$0.03 (−4.1%) miss | — | -12.1% -12.7 vs SPY | -8.7% | -9.9% | |
| Oct 18, 2023 AMC | $0.73 | $0.66 | −$0.07 (−9.6%) miss | — | -9.3% -8.4 vs SPY | -6.9% | -12.5% | |
| Jul 19, 2023 AMC | $0.82 | $0.91 | +$0.09 (+11.0%) beat | — | -9.7% -9.1 vs SPY | -4.0% | -9.2% | |
| Apr 19, 2023 AMC | $0.85 | $0.85 | $0.00 (0.0%) in line | — | -9.8% -9.2 vs SPY | -8.0% | -14.9% | |
| Jan 25, 2023 AMC | $1.11 | $1.19 | +$0.08 (+7.2%) beat | — | +11.0% +9.9 vs SPY | +10.8% | +25.6% | |
| Oct 19, 2022 AMC | $1.00 | $1.05 | +$0.05 (+5.0%) beat | — | -6.7% -5.8 vs SPY | -6.2% | +1.2% | |
| Jul 20, 2022 AMC | $0.60 | $0.76 | +$0.16 (+26.7%) beat | — | +9.8% +8.8 vs SPY | +3.1% | +11.0% | |
| Apr 20, 2022 AMC | $0.75 | $1.07 | +$0.32 (+42.7%) beat | — | +3.2% +4.7 vs SPY | +10.0% | -9.8% | |
| Jan 26, 2022 AMC | $0.79 | $0.85 | +$0.06 (+7.6%) beat | — | -11.6% -11.1 vs SPY | -0.4% | -3.4% | |
| Oct 20, 2021 — | $0.54 | $0.62 | +$0.08 (+14.8%) beat | — | +3.3% +3.0 vs SPY | -1.1% | +19.9% | |
| Jul 26, 2021 AMC | $0.32 | $0.48 | +$0.16 (+50.0%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Apr 26, 2021 AMC | $0.26 | $0.31 | +$0.05 (+19.2%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Jan 27, 2021 AMC | $0.35 | $0.27 | −$0.08 (−22.9%) miss | — | — | — | — | |
| Oct 21, 2020 AMC | $0.20 | $0.25 | +$0.05 (+25.0%) beat | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $0.44 (24) | $0.33 – $0.60 | -12% | -19.3% | ▲1 ▼1 | $27.6B | -2% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $0.48 (24) | $0.29 – $0.82 | -3% | -23.7% | ▲1 ▼1 | $28.7B | +15% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | $1.75 (33) | $1.37 – $2.39 | +6% | -16.8% | ▲1 ▼4 | $106.5B | +12% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | $2.16 (31) | $1.43 – $3.65 | +23% | -15.7% | ▲1 ▼2 | $121.0B | +14% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.