UNP
Union Pacific Corporation · Industrials · Railroads
TECHNeutralZACKSHold
R500#56 today
$278.28
+2.15% today · +1.64% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- UNP +2.15% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: +1.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big gain (Oct 2): After its 61 big gains in the past 5 years, UNP typically gained 0.2% over the next day (median) and was higher 52% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -0.7% and +0.9%. An ordinary day: +0.1%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big gains, that ranks #151 of 500.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Oct 22
Before the open · in 18 days
EPS estimate
$3.44
$3.27 to $3.53 · 22 analysts
Revenue estimate
$7.0B
$6.7B to $7.3B
Track record
5/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±4.0% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 BMO | 2Q2026 | $3.24 | $3.41 | +$0.17 (+5.2%) beat | $6.9B | +4.0% +5.2 vs SPY | +5.9% | -0.1% |
| Apr 23, 2026 BMO | 1Q2026 | $2.86 | $2.93 | +$0.07 (+2.4%) beat | $6.2B | +8.8% +9.2 vs SPY | +5.4% | +6.2% |
| Jan 27, 2026 BMO | 4Q2025 | $2.87 | $2.86 | −$0.01 (−0.3%) miss | $6.1B | +0.7% +0.3 vs SPY | +1.8% | +1.9% |
| Oct 23, 2025 BMO | 3Q2025 | $3.00 | $3.08 | +$0.08 (+2.8%) beat | $6.2B | -2.3% -2.9 vs SPY | -0.9% | -3.9% |
| Jul 24, 2025 BMO | $2.91 | $3.03 | +$0.12 (+4.1%) beat | — | -4.5% -4.6 vs SPY | -2.2% | -2.5% | |
| Apr 24, 2025 BMO | $2.73 | $2.70 | −$0.03 (−1.1%) miss | — | -2.0% -4.1 vs SPY | -5.2% | -1.9% | |
| Jan 23, 2025 BMO | $2.79 | $2.98 | +$0.19 (+6.8%) beat | — | +5.2% +4.7 vs SPY | +4.6% | +5.8% | |
| Oct 24, 2024 BMO | $2.78 | $2.75 | −$0.03 (−1.1%) miss | — | -4.4% -4.6 vs SPY | -4.9% | -3.8% | |
| Jul 25, 2024 BMO | $2.71 | $2.74 | +$0.03 (+1.1%) beat | — | -0.9% -0.3 vs SPY | -0.6% | +3.9% | |
| Apr 25, 2024 BMO | $2.52 | $2.69 | +$0.17 (+6.7%) beat | — | +5.0% +5.4 vs SPY | +3.6% | +1.3% | |
| Jan 25, 2024 BMO | $2.57 | $2.71 | +$0.14 (+5.4%) beat | — | -0.3% -0.8 vs SPY | +0.7% | +0.7% | |
| Oct 19, 2023 BMO | $2.43 | $2.51 | +$0.08 (+3.3%) beat | — | +2.1% +3.0 vs SPY | +6.1% | -0.3% | |
| Jul 26, 2023 BMO | $2.75 | $2.57 | −$0.18 (−6.5%) miss | — | +10.4% +10.4 vs SPY | +9.9% | +7.4% | |
| Apr 20, 2023 BMO | $2.57 | $2.53 | −$0.04 (−1.6%) miss | — | +0.3% +0.8 vs SPY | +0.2% | -5.2% | |
| Jan 24, 2023 BMO | $2.77 | $2.67 | −$0.10 (−3.6%) miss | — | -3.3% -3.2 vs SPY | -2.4% | -4.7% | |
| Oct 20, 2022 BMO | $3.06 | $3.05 | −$0.01 (−0.3%) miss | — | -6.8% -6.0 vs SPY | -3.8% | -2.1% | |
| Jul 21, 2022 BMO | $2.84 | $2.93 | +$0.09 (+3.2%) beat | — | -1.2% -2.2 vs SPY | -0.9% | +2.5% | |
| Apr 21, 2022 BMO | $2.57 | $2.57 | $0.00 (0.0%) in line | — | -1.1% +0.4 vs SPY | -0.7% | -4.2% | |
| Jan 20, 2022 BMO | $2.61 | $2.66 | +$0.05 (+1.9%) beat | — | +1.1% +2.2 vs SPY | -0.9% | +2.2% | |
| Oct 21, 2021 BMO | $2.50 | $2.57 | +$0.07 (+2.8%) beat | — | +1.4% +1.2 vs SPY | +0.7% | +5.0% | |
| Jul 22, 2021 BMO | $2.55 | $2.73 | +$0.18 (+7.1%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Apr 22, 2021 BMO | $2.05 | $2.00 | −$0.05 (−2.4%) miss | — | — | — | — | |
| Jan 21, 2021 BMO | $2.24 | $2.36 | +$0.12 (+5.4%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Oct 22, 2020 BMO | $2.06 | $2.01 | −$0.05 (−2.4%) miss | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $3.44 (22) | $3.27 – $3.53 | +12% | +3.5% | ▲2 ▼1 | $7.0B | +12% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $3.28 (20) | $3.10 – $3.54 | +15% | +1.3% | ▲2 ▼2 | $6.8B | +12% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | $13.05 (24) | $12.73 – $13.41 | +12% | +3.3% | ▲3 ▼1 | $26.9B | +10% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | $14.20 (23) | $13.32 – $14.91 | +9% | +3.2% | ▲3 ▼1 | $28.1B | +5% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.