USO
United States Oil Fund
TECHBuy
R500#141 today
$157.35
+2.47% today · +6.62% 1W
Oct 15 close or latest
ReadoutWhy it's moving
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- USO +2.47% on the last session vs SPY +0.08%: +2.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, mention spike (trendy) (Oct 9): After its 12 mention spikes in the past 5 years, USO was higher a week later 4 times out of 12; half the outcomes fell between -8.6% and +4.4%. History, not a forecast.
- 6 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 74% positive over the week.
- 2 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days, including 1 insider sale not under a 10b5-1 plan and 1 insider open-market buy.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Best and worst times to own USO in the past two years
Buying and selling at the close. Each colored stretch is the best or worst window for that holding period, green for a gain and red for a loss: longer holds are wider and darker underneath, shorter ones brighter on top. The grey line is the full two years. Letters mark events inside the windows (E earnings, A analyst, I insider, M mention spike, V volume spike, T theme move, N news). Hover a period above the chart to pick it out and see only its events; click it to hide or show it.
Best and worst window per holding period
| Best | Worst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hold for | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank |
| one single day | Mar 5, 2026 | Mar 6, 2026 | +12.9% | #108 | Apr 7, 2026 | Apr 8, 2026 | -9.8% | #172 |
| one week | Feb 27, 2026 | Mar 6, 2026 | +32.7% | #29 | Apr 1, 2025 | Apr 8, 2025 | -17.8% | #105 |
| one month | Feb 27, 2026 | Mar 30, 2026 | +58.4% | #32 | May 22, 2026 | Jun 24, 2026 | -24.6% | #116 |
| 3 months | Jan 7, 2026 | Apr 7, 2026 | +103.7% | #28 | Apr 6, 2026 | Jul 6, 2026 | -24.9% | #180 |
| 6 months | Nov 19, 2025 | May 19, 2026 | +115.8% | #43 | Jun 18, 2025 | Dec 18, 2025 | -18.3% | #237 |
| one year | Apr 30, 2025 | Apr 30, 2026 | +131.4% | #58 | Jan 15, 2025 | Jan 15, 2026 | -15.7% | #265 |
Rank #29 for the best one week means 28 of the S&P 500 components had a better best-one week gain over the past year; for the worst windows #1 is the deepest fall. Updated .
What happened in each window
Best one single day Mar 5, 2026 → Mar 6, 2026 +12.9% · 0 events
None recorded.
Best one week Feb 27, 2026 → Mar 6, 2026 +32.7% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 4.4x average volume, +6.4% on the day
Best one month Feb 27, 2026 → Mar 30, 2026 +58.4% · 4 events
- V Volume spike 4.4x average volume, +6.4% on the day
- M Mention spike 122 mentions vs 4.9/day the week before
- V Volume spike 5.3x average volume, +1.5% on the day
- M Mention spike 128 mentions vs 22.1/day the week before
Best 3 months Jan 7, 2026 → Apr 7, 2026 +103.7% · 6 events
- V Volume spike 3.5x average volume, -1.2% on the day
- V Volume spike 4.4x average volume, +6.4% on the day
- M Mention spike 122 mentions vs 4.9/day the week before
- V Volume spike 5.3x average volume, +1.5% on the day
- M Mention spike 128 mentions vs 22.1/day the week before
- M Mention spike 35 mentions vs 10.7/day the week before
Best 6 months Nov 19, 2025 → May 19, 2026 +115.8% · 8 events
- V Volume spike 3.5x average volume, -1.2% on the day
- V Volume spike 4.4x average volume, +6.4% on the day
- M Mention spike 122 mentions vs 4.9/day the week before
- V Volume spike 5.3x average volume, +1.5% on the day
- M Mention spike 128 mentions vs 22.1/day the week before
- M Mention spike 35 mentions vs 10.7/day the week before
- M Mention spike 99 mentions vs 9.0/day the week before
- M Mention spike 25 mentions vs 0.0/day the week before
Best one year Apr 30, 2025 → Apr 30, 2026 +131.4% · 9 events
- V Volume spike 6.4x average volume, +6.9% on the day
- M Mention spike 29 mentions vs 2.9/day the week before
- V Volume spike 3.5x average volume, -1.2% on the day
- V Volume spike 4.4x average volume, +6.4% on the day
- M Mention spike 122 mentions vs 4.9/day the week before
- V Volume spike 5.3x average volume, +1.5% on the day
- M Mention spike 128 mentions vs 22.1/day the week before
- M Mention spike 35 mentions vs 10.7/day the week before
- M Mention spike 99 mentions vs 9.0/day the week before
Worst one single day Apr 7, 2026 → Apr 8, 2026 -9.8% · 0 events
None recorded.
Worst one week Apr 1, 2025 → Apr 8, 2025 -17.8% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 3.5x average volume, -6.0% on the day
Worst one month May 22, 2026 → Jun 24, 2026 -24.6% · 1 event
- M Mention spike 28 mentions vs 3.3/day the week before
Worst 3 months Apr 6, 2026 → Jul 6, 2026 -24.9% · 3 events
- M Mention spike 99 mentions vs 9.0/day the week before
- M Mention spike 25 mentions vs 0.0/day the week before
- M Mention spike 28 mentions vs 3.3/day the week before
Worst 6 months Jun 18, 2025 → Dec 18, 2025 -18.3% · 1 event
- M Mention spike 29 mentions vs 2.9/day the week before
Worst one year Jan 15, 2025 → Jan 15, 2026 -15.7% · 4 events
- V Volume spike 3.5x average volume, -6.0% on the day
- V Volume spike 6.4x average volume, +6.9% on the day
- M Mention spike 29 mentions vs 2.9/day the week before
- V Volume spike 3.5x average volume, -1.2% on the day
From Wallsti's event record (Aftermath's events over the two years, plus the AI-read news catalysts, which only cover recent weeks). An event is no proof of cause: check the dates against the line.
Today vs. the best starting days
| As of | 1d | 1w | 1m | 3m | 6m | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 15, 2026 |
+2.5% | +6.6% | -2.8% | +29.6% | +28.4% | +128.1% |
| Best one single day Mar 5, 2026 |
+5.2% | +20.7% | +25.6% | +33.9% | +32.6% | +34.9% |
| Best one week Feb 27, 2026 |
+2.7% | +1.4% | +8.3% | +17.0% | +9.7% | +8.9% |
| Best one month Feb 27, 2026 |
+2.7% | +1.4% | +8.3% | +17.0% | +9.7% | +8.9% |
| Best 3 months Jan 7, 2026 |
-1.1% | -2.0% | -5.7% | -7.4% | -11.4% | -13.3% |
| Best 6 months Nov 19, 2025 |
-2.2% | +1.6% | +4.3% | -2.0% | +3.5% | -2.0% |
| Best one year Apr 30, 2025 |
-3.5% | -6.6% | -15.0% | -18.3% | -10.9% | -18.9% |
Trailing gains over each window, today and on the day each best window started, to compare today's setup with the best entries.