VRDN
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices VRDN only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
25.51 +3.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
26.58 +7.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 24.84 · prior close 24.67 | |
| Bargain buy side |
23.86 -3.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
22.90 -7.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 23.61 | 2 in 10 days | 25.78 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 23.86 | 3 in 10 days | 25.51 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 24.10 | 4 in 10 days | 25.25 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 22.35 | 2 in 10 weeks | 27.23 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 22.90 | 3 in 10 weeks | 26.58 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 23.42 | 4 in 10 weeks | 25.98 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From VRDN's daily swings (about 3.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among VRDN's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jun 18, 2014 |
2,045.25 +8133.7% |
| 52-week closing high Jan 14, 2026 |
33.78 +36.0% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 26.58 +7.0% |
| Now | 24.84 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
24.67 -0.7% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 22.90 -7.8% |
| 200-day average | 21.71 -12.6% |
| 50-day average | 21.67 -12.8% |
| 52-week closing low Apr 29, 2026 |
13.30 -46.5% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 12 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.