WRB
Moving with its group (XLF +0.9%)
- WRB +0.78% on the last session vs SPY +0.00%: +0.8 pts of stock-specific move.
- Earnings Mon after the close: EPS $1.16 expected (16 analysts); it moved ±2.2% on average after its last 8 reports.
- The financials ETF (XLF) +0.9% (+0.9 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, rsi overbought (Oct 13): After its 12 overbought readings in the past 5 years, WRB was higher a month later 5 times out of 12; half the outcomes fell between -4.1% and +1.6%. History, not a forecast.
- 3 analyst actions in the past 10 days (1 positive, 2 negative); latest: Cantor Fitzgerald maintained Neutral, raised target $73.00 → $74.00.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices WRB only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
74.65 +1.2% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
75.72 +2.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 74.38 · prior close 73.80 | |
| Bargain buy side |
72.96 -1.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
71.93 -2.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 72.69 | 2 in 10 days | 74.93 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 72.96 | 3 in 10 days | 74.65 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 73.21 | 4 in 10 days | 74.39 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 71.33 | 2 in 10 weeks | 76.35 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 71.93 | 3 in 10 weeks | 75.72 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 72.49 | 4 in 10 weeks | 75.13 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From WRB's daily swings (about 1.2% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among WRB's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 83.00 +11.6% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 14, 2025 |
76.33 +2.6% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 75.72 +1.8% |
| Now | 74.38 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
73.80 -0.8% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 71.93 -3.3% |
| 50-day average | 69.70 -6.3% |
| Mean analyst target | 69.12 -7.1% |
| 200-day average | 68.52 -7.9% |
| 52-week closing low May 29, 2026 |
62.88 -15.5% |
| Lowest analyst target | 51.00 -31.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 53 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.