XEL
Moving with the market
- XEL −0.30% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: −0.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices XEL only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
76.13 +1.0% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
77.09 +2.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 75.14 · prior close 75.36 | |
| Bargain buy side |
74.60 -1.0% reached 3 in 10 days |
73.67 -2.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 74.36 | 2 in 10 days | 76.38 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 74.60 | 3 in 10 days | 76.13 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 74.83 | 4 in 10 days | 75.89 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 73.13 | 2 in 10 weeks | 77.66 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 73.67 | 3 in 10 weeks | 77.09 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 74.18 | 4 in 10 weeks | 76.56 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From XEL's daily swings (about 1.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among XEL's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 101.00 +34.4% |
| Mean analyst target | 90.61 +20.6% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Feb 24, 2026 |
82.01 +9.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 77.09 +2.6% |
| 200-day average | 77.03 +2.5% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
75.36 +0.3% |
| Now | 75.14 |
| 50-day average | 74.52 -0.8% |
| Lowest analyst target | 74.00 -1.5% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 73.67 -1.9% |
| 52-week closing low Sep 28, 2026 |
69.39 -7.6% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 54 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.