XLF
Moving with the market
- XLF +0.82% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +0.7 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Best and worst times to own XLF in the past two years
Buying and selling at the close. Each colored stretch is the best or worst window for that holding period, green for a gain and red for a loss: longer holds are wider and darker underneath, shorter ones brighter on top. The grey line is the full two years. Letters mark events inside the windows (E earnings, A analyst, I insider, M mention spike, V volume spike, T theme move, N news). Hover a period above the chart to pick it out and see only its events; click it to hide or show it.
Best and worst window per holding period
| Best | Worst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hold for | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank |
| one single day | Apr 8, 2025 | Apr 9, 2025 | +7.5% | #274 | Apr 3, 2025 | Apr 4, 2025 | -7.3% | #272 |
| one week | Nov 4, 2024 | Nov 11, 2024 | +7.8% | #462 | Apr 1, 2025 | Apr 8, 2025 | -11.7% | #251 |
| one month | Apr 8, 2025 | May 8, 2025 | +13.5% | #439 | Mar 4, 2025 | Apr 4, 2025 | -11.1% | #437 |
| 3 months | Apr 7, 2025 | Jul 7, 2025 | +19.9% | #411 | Dec 26, 2025 | Mar 27, 2026 | -13.6% | #411 |
| 6 months | Apr 7, 2025 | Oct 7, 2025 | +22.8% | #381 | Sep 26, 2025 | Mar 27, 2026 | -10.5% | #357 |
| one year | Jan 10, 2025 | Jan 12, 2026 | +18.5% | #390 | Oct 15, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -5.6% | #359 |
Rank #462 for the best one week means 461 of the S&P 500 components had a better best-one week gain over the past year; for the worst windows #1 is the deepest fall. Updated .
What happened in each window
Best one single day Apr 8, 2025 → Apr 9, 2025 +7.5% · 0 events
None recorded.
Best one week Nov 4, 2024 → Nov 11, 2024 +7.8% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 4.4x average volume, +6.1% on the day
Best one month Apr 8, 2025 → May 8, 2025 +13.5% · 0 events
None recorded.
Best 3 months Apr 7, 2025 → Jul 7, 2025 +19.9% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, -0.2% on the day
Best 6 months Apr 7, 2025 → Oct 7, 2025 +22.8% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, -0.2% on the day
Best one year Jan 10, 2025 → Jan 12, 2026 +18.5% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, -0.2% on the day
Worst one single day Apr 3, 2025 → Apr 4, 2025 -7.3% · 0 events
None recorded.
Worst one week Apr 1, 2025 → Apr 8, 2025 -11.7% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, -0.2% on the day
Worst one month Mar 4, 2025 → Apr 4, 2025 -11.1% · 0 events
None recorded.
Worst 3 months Dec 26, 2025 → Mar 27, 2026 -13.6% · 0 events
None recorded.
Worst 6 months Sep 26, 2025 → Mar 27, 2026 -10.5% · 0 events
None recorded.
Worst one year Oct 15, 2024 → Apr 8, 2025 -5.6% · 2 events
- V Volume spike 4.4x average volume, +6.1% on the day
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, -0.2% on the day
From Wallsti's event record (Aftermath's events over the two years, plus the AI-read news catalysts, which only cover recent weeks). An event is no proof of cause: check the dates against the line.
Today vs. the best starting days
| As of | 1d | 1w | 1m | 3m | 6m | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 15, 2026 |
+0.8% | +1.4% | -3.0% | -2.5% | +6.1% | +4.9% |
| Best one single day Apr 8, 2025 |
-0.4% | -11.7% | -10.3% | -9.1% | -2.4% | +6.8% |
| Best one week Nov 4, 2024 |
-0.8% | -2.0% | +1.4% | +10.4% | +15.0% | +39.3% |
| Best one month Apr 8, 2025 |
-0.4% | -11.7% | -10.3% | -9.1% | -2.4% | +6.8% |
| Best 3 months Apr 7, 2025 |
-0.2% | -11.5% | -9.9% | -8.4% | -1.4% | +7.7% |
| Best 6 months Apr 7, 2025 |
-0.2% | -11.5% | -9.9% | -8.4% | -1.4% | +7.7% |
| Best one year Jan 10, 2025 |
-2.4% | -2.6% | -4.4% | +4.1% | +13.8% | +27.1% |
Trailing gains over each window, today and on the day each best window started, to compare today's setup with the best entries.