Aftermath
After an RSI overbought reading, over the next day
The 14-day RSI rises above 70. Each stock's median gain after its own events of this kind in the past 5 years, from the close of the session the event was known. Updated .
The typical S&P 500 stock gained 0.00% over the next day after an RSI overbought reading (half of them between -0.31% and +0.29%), against +0.06% on any day.
Latest overbought readings, last few sessions
| Entry | Stock | Its median, 1 day | Confidence | Rank | Up | Events | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | ADI Analog Devices | RSI 72.3, +3.1% on the day | +0.10% | Medium | #198 of 501 | 50% | 16 |
| Oct 2 | IBRX | RSI 70.2, +10.8% on the day | +0.82% | Medium | #245 of 501 | 64% | 11 |
| Oct 2 | ILMN Illumina, Inc. | RSI 70.4, +2.8% on the day | -0.42% | Medium | #283 of 501 | 50% | 12 |
| Oct 2 | TSM | RSI 71.7, +3.0% on the day | -0.24% | High | #380 of 501 | 42% | 24 |
| Oct 2 | TXN Texas Instruments | RSI 70.4, +4.4% on the day | +0.16% | Medium | #175 of 501 | 50% | 12 |
| Oct 1 | ACN Accenture | RSI 70.0, +15.8% on the day | -0.42% | Medium | #435 of 501 | 36% | 14 |
| Oct 1 | AES AES Corporation | RSI 71.7, +0.1% on the day | -1.37% | Medium | #470 of 501 | 11% | 19 |
| Oct 1 | CDNS Cadence Design Systems | RSI 70.6, +6.2% on the day | +0.23% | Medium | #178 of 501 | 59% | 17 |
| Oct 1 | DDOG Datadog | RSI 70.3, +0.9% on the day | +0.48% | Medium | #50 of 501 | 67% | 18 |
| Oct 1 | KEYS Keysight Technologies | RSI 70.4, +2.7% on the day | -0.25% | Medium | #339 of 501 | 36% | 14 |
| Oct 1 | NTAP NetApp | RSI 70.1, +2.4% on the day | +0.57% | Medium | #139 of 501 | 62% | 16 |
| Oct 1 | SNPS Synopsys | RSI 74.4, +12.8% on the day | -0.16% | Medium | #285 of 501 | 39% | 18 |
| Sep 28 | DHR Danaher Corporation | RSI 71.3, +1.3% on the day | -0.58% | Low | #465 of 501 | 33% | 6 |
| Sep 28 | VTRS Viatris | RSI 73.5, +2.5% on the day | 0.00% | Medium | #249 of 501 | 47% | 17 |
Best after an RSI overbought reading
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities | +0.77%+0.5 to +0.9 | Medium | +1.05% | 100% | +0.77% | 0% · +4% | 8 |
| 2 | TMUS T-Mobile US | +0.96%+0.4 to +1.1 | Medium | +0.94% | 88% | +1.13% | -3% · +6% | 16 |
| 3 | WFC Wells Fargo | +0.97%+0.5 to +1.1 | Medium | +0.41% | 79% | +0.37% | -4% · +1% | 14 |
| 4 | LLY Lilly (Eli) | +0.87%+0.4 to +0.9 | High | +0.70% | 77% | +0.59% | -2% · +4% | 22 |
| 5 | PNR Pentair | +0.80%+0.5 to +1.0 | Medium | +1.28% | 79% | +0.27% | 0% · +5% | 14 |
| 6 | IBM IBM | +0.42%+0.2 to +0.7 | High | +0.97% | 75% | +0.45% | -1% · +13% | 24 |
| 7 | CINF Cincinnati Financial | +0.67%+0.6 to +1.2 | Medium | +0.60% | 82% | +0.82% | -2% · +2% | 11 |
| 8 | TDG TransDigm Group | +0.68%+0.2 to +0.9 | Medium | +0.49% | 76% | +0.24% | -2% · +2% | 17 |
| 9 | OTIS Otis Worldwide | +0.40%+0.1 to +0.5 | Medium | +0.25% | 78% | +0.44% | -2% · +1% | 9 |
| 10 | HWM Howmet Aerospace | +0.66%+0.4 to +1.1 | High | +0.48% | 71% | +0.46% | -3% · +2% | 21 |
| 11 | FANG Diamondback Energy | +0.63%+0.3 to +0.7 | Medium | +0.79% | 82% | +0.58% | -3% · +5% | 11 |
| 12 | JNJ Johnson & Johnson | +0.29%-0.2 to +0.3 | High | +0.17% | 65% | +0.09% | -1% · +2% | 20 |
| 13 | CBOE Cboe Global Markets | +0.38%0.0 to +0.8 | Medium | +0.38% | 72% | +0.30% | -1% · +1% | 18 |
| 14 | USB U.S. Bancorp | +0.86%+0.3 to +1.1 | Medium | +0.62% | 71% | +0.47% | -1% · +5% | 17 |
| 15 | MLM Martin Marietta Materials | +0.46%+0.2 to +0.6 | Medium | +0.31% | 71% | +0.55% | -2% · +2% | 14 |
| 16 | NI NiSource | +0.40%-0.1 to +0.5 | Medium | +0.32% | 64% | +0.59% | -1% · +3% | 14 |
| 17 | LHX L3Harris | +0.44%+0.1 to +0.7 | Medium | +0.54% | 75% | +0.30% | -1% · +3% | 12 |
| 18 | STZ Constellation Brands | +0.74%+0.2 to +1.0 | Medium | +0.92% | 78% | +1.08% | 0% · +4% | 9 |
| 19 | PEG Public Service Enterprise … | +1.02%+0.3 to +1.5 | Medium | +0.78% | 82% | +0.51% | -1% · +2% | 11 |
| 20 | UNP Union Pacific Corporation | +0.34%-0.3 to +0.4 | Medium | +0.20% | 62% | +0.29% | -1% · +1% | 13 |
| 21 | KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | +0.33%+0.1 to +0.7 | Medium | +0.36% | 72% | +0.19% | -2% · +2% | 18 |
| 22 | UPS United Parcel Service | +0.49%+0.2 to +0.8 | Medium | +0.29% | 75% | +0.88% | -2% · +1% | 8 |
| 23 | TEL TE Connectivity | +0.23%-0.1 to +0.5 | Medium | +0.37% | 58% | -0.03% | -2% · +4% | 19 |
| 24 | DUK Duke Energy | +0.58%+0.1 to +0.9 | Medium | +0.55% | 73% | +0.66% | -1% · +3% | 11 |
| 25 | SRE Sempra | +0.32%0.0 to +0.6 | Medium | +0.22% | 62% | -0.06% | -2% · +1% | 13 |
Worst after an RSI overbought reading
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AME Ametek | -0.98%-1.4 to -0.5 | Medium | -0.82% | 25% | -0.74% | -3% · +1% | 12 |
| 2 | OMC Omnicom Group | -0.88%-1.3 to -0.4 | Medium | -1.00% | 14% | -0.55% | -4% · +1% | 14 |
| 3 | ZBH Zimmer Biomet | -0.48%-0.7 to -0.1 | Medium | -0.39% | 27% | -0.39% | -1% · +1% | 11 |
| 4 | DHI D. R. Horton | -0.65%-1.0 to -0.3 | Medium | -0.90% | 12% | -1.01% | -3% · +3% | 17 |
| 5 | DASH DoorDash | -1.32%-1.5 to -0.8 | High | -1.43% | 29% | -1.10% | -8% · +3% | 21 |
| 6 | BRO Brown & Brown | -0.40%-0.6 to +0.1 | High | -0.36% | 40% | -0.06% | -5% · +4% | 20 |
| 7 | MAS Masco | -1.20%-1.5 to -1.0 | Medium | -0.62% | 29% | -0.87% | -2% · +3% | 14 |
| 8 | LII Lennox International | -1.08%-1.4 to -0.4 | Medium | -0.80% | 23% | -0.83% | -5% · +2% | 13 |
| 9 | SO Southern Company | -0.57%-1.0 to -0.3 | Medium | -0.60% | 25% | -0.81% | -2% · +1% | 16 |
| 10 | WAB Wabtec | -0.33%-0.6 to -0.1 | High | -0.24% | 32% | -0.29% | -2% · +2% | 25 |
| 11 | JKHY Jack Henry & … | -0.67%-1.0 to -0.5 | Medium | -0.81% | 38% | +0.04% | -6% · +4% | 16 |
| 12 | TLT meme | -0.65%-1.0 to +0.1 | Low | -0.52% | 33% | -0.18% | -1% · +1% | 6 |
| 13 | AMZN Amazon | -1.40%-1.8 to -0.5 | Medium | -1.38% | 23% | -0.66% | -8% · +2% | 13 |
| 14 | OKE Oneok | -0.79%-0.9 to +0.1 | Medium | -0.56% | 35% | -0.37% | -3% · +2% | 17 |
| 15 | SPG Simon Property Group | -0.68%-1.2 to -0.5 | Medium | -0.26% | 33% | -0.65% | -2% · +5% | 18 |
| 16 | GILD Gilead Sciences | -0.57%-0.9 to +0.2 | Medium | -0.46% | 41% | -0.34% | -3% · +2% | 17 |
| 17 | MGM MGM Resorts | -0.97%-1.4 to -0.4 | Medium | -0.89% | 29% | -1.40% | -4% · +2% | 14 |
| 18 | ELV Elevance Health | -0.48%-1.2 to -0.3 | Medium | -0.97% | 8% | -0.40% | -5% · +2% | 13 |
| 19 | MU Micron Technology | -0.95%-1.2 to 0.0 | High | -0.39% | 38% | -0.80% | -5% · +9% | 21 |
| 20 | FTV Fortive | -0.44%-1.0 to -0.2 | Medium | +0.22% | 33% | +0.09% | -1% · +5% | 12 |
| 21 | MSCI MSCI | -0.61%-0.9 to +0.1 | Medium | -0.37% | 38% | -0.04% | -2% · +2% | 16 |
| 22 | CBRE CBRE Group | -0.52%-0.7 to -0.3 | Medium | -0.49% | 38% | -0.23% | -6% · +1% | 16 |
| 23 | O Realty Income | -0.22%-0.4 to -0.1 | Medium | -0.14% | 36% | 0.00% | -2% · +1% | 14 |
| 24 | J Jacobs Solutions | -0.56%-0.8 to +0.2 | Medium | -0.67% | 41% | -0.32% | -4% · +1% | 17 |
| 25 | BSX Boston Scientific | -0.41%-0.7 to -0.3 | Medium | -0.28% | 38% | +0.15% | -2% · +1% | 16 |
Stocks with at least 3 independent periods, ordered on an evidence-weighted median: each stock's median is pulled toward the S&P 500 typical value in proportion to its uncertainty, so a lucky handful of events cannot top the list. Confidence counts independent holding periods (overlapping ones count once): High 20+, Medium 8+, Low 3+. Median and average gain over the next day from the entry close; Up = share of events followed by a gain; vs SPY = median gain minus SPY over the same sessions. Ranks on the stock pages place each stock among the S&P 500 stocks. Small samples are noisy, and the past does not repeat on schedule. Not advice.