AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. · Technology · Communication Equipment
$81.90
-5.01% today · -22.66% 1W
Oct 15 close or latest
ReadoutWhy it's moving
Down on hot inflation data
- AAOI −5.01% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: −5.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- News: tikr.com reports stock fell on hot inflation concerns during the session. (tikr.com)
- Aftermath, crossed below 200-day avg (Oct 8): After its 12 crosses below the 200-day average in the past 5 years, AAOI was higher a month later 8 times out of 12; half the outcomes fell between -10.4% and +24.0%. History, not a forecast.
- 19 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 74% positive over the week · today's pace is 1.6× its recent daily average.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: B. Riley Securities maintained Neutral, lowered target $109 → $92.00.
- 2 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
- Activity: volume on pace for 2.7× its 20-day average.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals and the session's headlines and filings read by AI (Claude); it can misread, so the sources are linked.
Next report
Nov 5
In 21 days
estimated date
EPS estimate
$0.14
$0.10 to $0.19 · 6 analysts
Revenue estimate
$268.1M
$260.7M to $274.7M
Track record
3/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±17.1% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 AMC | 2Q2026 | $0.01 | $0.06 | +$0.04 beat | $191.9M | +9.2% +8.6 vs SPY | +14.7% | +4.7% |
| May 7, 2026 AMC | 1Q2026 | −$0.05 | −$0.07 | −$0.02 miss | $151.1M | -5.5% -6.3 vs SPY | +10.3% | +29.2% |
| Feb 26, 2026 AMC | 4Q2025 | −$0.11 | −$0.01 | +$0.10 (+91.1%) beat | $134.3M | +56.9% +57.4 vs SPY | +22.8% | +88.4% |
| Nov 6, 2025 AMC | 3Q2025 | −$0.09 | −$0.09 | −$0.00 in line | $118.6M | -1.8% -1.9 vs SPY | -14.1% | -28.1% |
| Aug 7, 2025 AMC | −$0.07 | −$0.16 | −$0.09 miss | — | -3.3% -4.1 vs SPY | +7.4% | -5.9% | |
| May 8, 2025 AMC | −$0.04 | −$0.02 | +$0.02 beat | — | -0.6% -0.5 vs SPY | -7.4% | +27.9% | |
| Feb 26, 2025 AMC | −$0.02 | −$0.02 | $0.00 in line | — | -4.6% -3.0 vs SPY | -4.7% | -28.2% | |
| Nov 7, 2024 AMC | −$0.17 | −$0.21 | −$0.04 (−23.5%) miss | — | +55.1% +54.6 vs SPY | +8.9% | +57.3% | |
| Aug 6, 2024 AMC | −$0.29 | −$0.28 | +$0.01 (+3.4%) beat | — | -5.8% -5.1 vs SPY | +13.8% | +10.0% | |
| May 9, 2024 AMC | −$0.29 | −$0.31 | −$0.02 (−6.9%) miss | — | -3.0% -3.2 vs SPY | -3.2% | +6.5% | |
| Feb 22, 2024 AMC | — | $0.04 | — | -30.5% -30.5 vs SPY | -32.5% | -21.5% | ||
| Nov 9, 2023 AMC | −$0.05 | −$0.05 | $0.00 in line | — | -4.0% -5.6 vs SPY | -4.8% | +31.4% | |
| Aug 3, 2023 AMC | −$0.28 | −$0.21 | +$0.07 (+25.0%) beat | — | +67.1% +67.5 vs SPY | +27.0% | +119.1% | |
| May 4, 2023 AMC | −$0.18 | −$0.25 | −$0.07 (−38.9%) miss | — | -11.0% -12.8 vs SPY | -14.4% | -8.6% | |
| Feb 23, 2023 AMC | −$0.30 | −$0.19 | +$0.11 (+36.7%) beat | — | -14.1% -13.1 vs SPY | -2.3% | -11.5% | |
| Nov 3, 2022 AMC | −$0.29 | −$0.26 | +$0.03 (+10.3%) beat | — | -14.4% -15.8 vs SPY | -6.6% | -9.3% | |
| Aug 4, 2022 AMC | −$0.30 | −$0.28 | +$0.02 (+6.7%) beat | — | -5.6% -5.4 vs SPY | -2.0% | +11.7% | |
| May 5, 2022 AMC | −$0.30 | −$0.29 | +$0.01 (+3.3%) beat | — | -3.1% -2.5 vs SPY | -0.8% | -16.7% | |
| Feb 24, 2022 AMC | −$0.21 | −$0.20 | +$0.01 (+4.8%) beat | — | -15.0% -17.2 vs SPY | -6.7% | -11.3% | |
| Nov 4, 2021 AMC | −$0.28 | −$0.20 | +$0.08 (+28.6%) beat | — | -32.2% -32.5 vs SPY | -21.2% | -30.1% | |
| Aug 5, 2021 AMC | −$0.18 | −$0.15 | +$0.03 (+16.7%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| May 6, 2021 AMC | −$0.26 | −$0.21 | +$0.05 (+19.2%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Feb 25, 2021 AMC | −$0.23 | −$0.20 | +$0.03 (+13.0%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Nov 5, 2020 AMC | −$0.08 | −$0.06 | +$0.02 beat | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $0.14 (6) | $0.10 – $0.19 | +259% | -48.5% | ▲0 ▼6 | $268.1M | +126% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $0.56 (6) | $0.44 – $0.75 | +5650% | -17.2% | ▲3 ▼3 | $427.3M | +218% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | $0.68 (6) | $0.47 – $0.85 | +362% | -23.5% | ▲2 ▼4 | $1.0B | +128% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | $4.60 (5) | $3.52 – $8.08 | +577% | -3.6% | ▲3 ▼2 | $2.7B | +156% |
Consensus as of Oct 15, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.