AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. · Technology · Communication Equipment
$81.68
-5.27% today · -22.87% 1W
Oct 15 close or latest
ReadoutWhy it's moving
Down on hot inflation data
- AAOI −5.27% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: −5.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- News: tikr.com reports stock fell on hot inflation concerns during the session. (tikr.com)
- Aftermath, crossed below 200-day avg (Oct 8): After its 12 crosses below the 200-day average in the past 5 years, AAOI was higher a month later 8 times out of 12; half the outcomes fell between -10.4% and +24.0%. History, not a forecast.
- 13 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 74% positive over the week · today's pace is 1.8× its recent daily average.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: B. Riley Securities maintained Neutral, lowered target $109 → $92.00.
- 2 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
- Activity: volume on pace for 1.7× its 20-day average.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals and the session's headlines and filings read by AI (Claude); it can misread, so the sources are linked.
Best and worst times to own AAOI in the past two years
Buying and selling at the close. Each colored stretch is the best or worst window for that holding period, green for a gain and red for a loss: longer holds are wider and darker underneath, shorter ones brighter on top. The grey line is the full two years. Letters mark events inside the windows (E earnings, A analyst, I insider, M mention spike, V volume spike, T theme move, N news). Hover a period above the chart to pick it out and see only its events; click it to hide or show it.
Best and worst window per holding period
| Best | Worst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hold for | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank |
| one single day | Feb 26, 2026 | Feb 27, 2026 | +56.9% | #2 | Dec 4, 2024 | Dec 5, 2024 | -21.7% | #12 |
| one week | Feb 23, 2026 | Mar 2, 2026 | +90.0% | #2 | Feb 27, 2025 | Mar 6, 2025 | -35.3% | #4 |
| one month | Nov 4, 2024 | Dec 4, 2024 | +168.5% | #2 | Feb 10, 2025 | Mar 10, 2025 | -53.6% | #1 |
| 3 months | Feb 13, 2026 | May 13, 2026 | +401.8% | #2 | Jan 3, 2025 | Apr 4, 2025 | -71.5% | #1 |
| 6 months | Nov 13, 2025 | May 13, 2026 | +967.0% | #2 | Nov 29, 2024 | May 30, 2025 | -62.6% | #2 |
| one year | Apr 17, 2025 | Apr 20, 2026 | +1433.5% | #4 | Nov 20, 2024 | Nov 20, 2025 | -42.8% | #59 |
Rank #2 for the best one week means 1 of the S&P 500 components had a better best-one week gain over the past year; for the worst windows #1 is the deepest fall. Updated .
What happened in each window
Best one single day Feb 26, 2026 → Feb 27, 2026 +56.9% · 2 events
- V Volume spike 4.6x average volume, +56.9% on the day
- E Earnings beat 4Q2025 · EPS +$0.10 (+91.1%) vs consensus · +56.9% reaction
Best one week Feb 23, 2026 → Mar 2, 2026 +90.0% · 3 events
- V Volume spike 4.6x average volume, +56.9% on the day
- E Earnings beat 4Q2025 · EPS +$0.10 (+91.1%) vs consensus · +56.9% reaction
- A Analyst upgrade B. Riley Securities: Sell → Neutral
Best one month Nov 4, 2024 → Dec 4, 2024 +168.5% · 2 events
- E Earnings miss EPS −$0.04 (−23.5%) vs consensus · +55.1% reaction
- V Volume spike 6.9x average volume, +55.1% on the day
Best 3 months Feb 13, 2026 → May 13, 2026 +401.8% · 8 events
- V Volume spike 4.6x average volume, +56.9% on the day
- E Earnings beat 4Q2025 · EPS +$0.10 (+91.1%) vs consensus · +56.9% reaction
- A Analyst upgrade B. Riley Securities: Sell → Neutral
- I Unplanned insider sale Elizabeth G Loboa (Director), $9,800,605
- I Unplanned insider sale Cynthia DeLaney (Director), $2,058,344
- I Unplanned insider sale Richard B Black (Director), $306,945
- I Unplanned insider sale Hung-Lun (Fred) Chang (*** See Remarks), $3,648,918
- E Earnings miss 1Q2026 · EPS −$0.02 vs consensus · -5.5% reaction
Best 6 months Nov 13, 2025 → May 13, 2026 +967.0% · 9 events
- I Unplanned insider sale Elizabeth G Loboa (Director), $124,584
- V Volume spike 4.6x average volume, +56.9% on the day
- E Earnings beat 4Q2025 · EPS +$0.10 (+91.1%) vs consensus · +56.9% reaction
- A Analyst upgrade B. Riley Securities: Sell → Neutral
- I Unplanned insider sale Elizabeth G Loboa (Director), $9,800,605
- I Unplanned insider sale Cynthia DeLaney (Director), $2,058,344
- I Unplanned insider sale Richard B Black (Director), $306,945
- I Unplanned insider sale Hung-Lun (Fred) Chang (*** See Remarks), $3,648,918
- E Earnings miss 1Q2026 · EPS −$0.02 vs consensus · -5.5% reaction
Best one year Apr 17, 2025 → Apr 20, 2026 +1433.5% · 12 events
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.02 vs consensus · -0.6% reaction
- V Volume spike 6.0x average volume, +3.7% on the day
- E Earnings miss EPS −$0.09 vs consensus · -3.3% reaction
- A Analyst downgrade B. Riley Securities: Neutral → Sell
- I Unplanned insider sale Elizabeth G Loboa (Director), $124,584
- V Volume spike 4.6x average volume, +56.9% on the day
- E Earnings beat 4Q2025 · EPS +$0.10 (+91.1%) vs consensus · +56.9% reaction
- A Analyst upgrade B. Riley Securities: Sell → Neutral
- I Unplanned insider sale Elizabeth G Loboa (Director), $9,800,605
- I Unplanned insider sale Cynthia DeLaney (Director), $2,058,344
- I Unplanned insider sale Richard B Black (Director), $306,945
- I Unplanned insider sale Hung-Lun (Fred) Chang (*** See Remarks), $3,648,918
Worst one single day Dec 4, 2024 → Dec 5, 2024 -21.7% · 0 events
None recorded.
Worst one week Feb 27, 2025 → Mar 6, 2025 -35.3% · 0 events
None recorded.
Worst one month Feb 10, 2025 → Mar 10, 2025 -53.6% · 0 events
None recorded.
Worst 3 months Jan 3, 2025 → Apr 4, 2025 -71.5% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 3.2x average volume, +39.3% on the day
Worst 6 months Nov 29, 2024 → May 30, 2025 -62.6% · 2 events
- V Volume spike 3.2x average volume, +39.3% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.02 vs consensus · -0.6% reaction
Worst one year Nov 20, 2024 → Nov 20, 2025 -42.8% · 5 events
- V Volume spike 3.2x average volume, +39.3% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.02 vs consensus · -0.6% reaction
- V Volume spike 6.0x average volume, +3.7% on the day
- E Earnings miss EPS −$0.09 vs consensus · -3.3% reaction
- A Analyst downgrade B. Riley Securities: Neutral → Sell
From Wallsti's event record (Aftermath's events over the two years, plus the AI-read news catalysts, which only cover recent weeks). An event is no proof of cause: check the dates against the line.
Today vs. the best starting days
| As of | 1d | 1w | 1m | 3m | 6m | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 15, 2026 |
-5.3% | -22.9% | -14.3% | -25.1% | -42.7% | +147.9% |
| Best one single day Feb 26, 2026 |
-7.6% | +14.3% | +53.9% | +110.0% | +114.2% | +113.1% |
| Best one week Feb 23, 2026 |
+4.4% | +21.4% | +51.1% | +162.2% | +117.7% | +99.6% |
| Best one month Nov 4, 2024 |
-2.6% | -1.2% | +6.8% | +114.4% | +48.1% | +73.2% |
| Best 3 months Feb 13, 2026 |
+1.1% | +0.4% | +30.1% | +112.6% | +93.1% | +64.4% |
| Best 6 months Nov 13, 2025 |
-12.7% | -28.1% | -28.1% | -9.2% | +3.1% | -23.3% |
| Best one year Apr 17, 2025 |
+2.2% | -9.0% | -49.2% | -65.6% | -43.9% | -11.0% |
Trailing gains over each window, today and on the day each best window started, to compare today's setup with the best entries.