INTC
Intel Corporation · Technology · Semiconductors
TECHStrong SellMAHold · 1 ▼ZACKSStrong Buy
R500#500 today
TARGET+63%
EARNINGSEPS adj. beat +31% · rev +0.2%
$65.76
-28.58% today · -24.38% 1W
Oct 30 close or latest
After hours $64.89 -1.32% ·
Latest session
Analyst downgrade
Seaport Global: Buy → Neutral
After its 3 analyst downgrades in the past 5 years, INTC was higher a day later 1 time out of 3. History, not a forecast.
See the aftermath
Latest session
Analyst upgrade
KGI Securities: Neutral → Outperform
After its 8 analyst upgrades in the past 5 years, INTC was higher a week later 6 times out of 8; half the outcomes fell between +0.5% and +18.6%. History, not a forecast.
See the aftermath
Latest session
Earnings beat
3Q2026 beat +31%; today is the reaction session
After its 13 earnings beats in the past 5 years, INTC was higher a day later 5 times out of 13; half the outcomes fell between -2.2% and +0.4%. History, not a forecast.
See the aftermath
Latest session
Mention spike (Trendy)
350 mentions vs 52.7/day the week before
After its 73 mention spikes in the past 5 years, INTC was higher a week later 38 times out of 73; half the outcomes fell between -3.3% and +4.7%. History, not a forecast.
See the aftermath
Latest session
Big drop
-28.6% on the day (line -4.5%)
After its 79 big drops in the past 5 years, INTC was higher a day later 43 times out of 79; half the outcomes fell between -1.6% and +2.3%. History, not a forecast.
See the aftermath
Latest session
Crossed below 200-day avg
-28.6% on the day
After its 8 crosses below the 200-day average in the past 5 years, INTC was higher a day later 5 times out of 8; half the outcomes fell between -0.5% and +1.1%. History, not a forecast.
See the aftermath
Latest session
RSI oversold
RSI 25.1, -28.6% on the day
After its 9 oversold readings in the past 5 years, INTC was higher a week later 3 times out of 9; half the outcomes fell between -4.1% and +0.7%. History, not a forecast.
See the aftermath
Latest session
Volume spike
4.6x average volume, -28.6% on the day
After its 8 volume spikes in the past 5 years, INTC was higher a day later 2 times out of 8; half the outcomes fell between -3.0% and +0.0%. History, not a forecast.
Latest session
Theme selloff
Semiconductors peers -4.6 pts vs SPY; the stock -28.6%
See the aftermath
After each kind of event
| Event | Events | Reaction day | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 1 quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any day | 1,255 | — | 0.0%618/1254 up | -0.1%609/1250 up | +0.6%638/1234 up | +0.1%598/1192 up |
| Big drop latest session (-4.5% or worse) | 80 | — | +0.3%43/79 up | +0.1%40/79 up | +2.3%40/77 up | +7.4%43/74 up |
| Big gain (+5.5% or better) | 74 | — | 0.0%37/74 up | +0.9%41/74 up | +1.5%41/74 up | +12.2%50/72 up |
| Earnings beat latest session | 13 | -2.9%6/13 up | -0.7%5/13 up | +0.2%7/13 up | 0.0%7/13 up | -1.5%6/13 up |
| Earnings miss | 5 | -8.5%1/5 up | -0.7%1/5 up | -1.5%2/5 up | -5.8%1/5 up | +0.8%3/5 up |
| 52-week high | 10 | — | +0.7%7/10 up | +3.4%7/10 up | -0.1%5/10 up | +12.8%7/10 up |
| 52-week low | 3 | — | +1.0%2/3 up | +4.1%2/3 up | +15.8%2/3 up | +10.1%2/3 up |
| Crossed above 200-day avg | 7 | — | +1.7%4/7 up | +1.3%4/7 up | -0.6%3/6 up | +11.0%4/6 up |
| Crossed below 200-day avg latest session | 8 | — | +0.4%5/8 up | -5.0%3/8 up | -0.3%3/7 up | +10.9%4/7 up |
| RSI oversold latest session | 10 | — | -1.6%4/9 up | -0.9%3/9 up | -2.2%3/9 up | -2.9%4/9 up |
| RSI overbought | 16 | — | +0.9%10/16 up | +0.5%8/16 up | -0.1%8/16 up | +4.6%9/15 up |
| Volume spike latest session | 9 | — | -0.9%2/8 up | -1.0%3/8 up | -2.5%3/8 up | +5.5%5/8 up |
| Theme selloff latest session hindsight | 58 | — | +0.2%30/57 up | +0.1%30/57 up | +2.0%31/55 up | +5.3%26/51 up |
| Theme rally Oct 26 hindsight | 71 | — | +0.1%37/71 up | +1.0%39/70 up | +1.1%37/70 up | +1.5%35/68 up |
| Mention spike (Trendy) latest session | 74 | — | -0.1%36/73 up | +0.2%38/73 up | +0.4%37/73 up | -1.5%34/70 up |
| Analyst upgrade latest session | 8 | — | +1.7%5/8 up | +12.3%6/8 up | +8.0%5/7 up | +34.3%5/6 up |
| Analyst downgrade latest session | 3 | — | -1.5%1/3 up | +19.9%2/3 up | +32.5%3/3 up | +28.0%3/3 up |
| Insider buy | 2 | — | -3.4%0/2 up | -8.0%0/2 up | -4.4%0/2 up | +94.2%1/1 up |
| Insider unplanned sale | 3 | — | -0.7%1/3 up | -0.6%1/3 up | +3.4%2/3 up | -6.6%1/3 up |
Median gain from the close of the session the event was known, over each holding period; Reaction day (earnings only): the session that first traded on the report, from the close before it; under it, how many of the past events were followed by a gain (12/20 up). "Big" is INTC's own: its worst / best 10% of days over the prior 2 years. Highlighted: happening in the latest session or today, from the live quote.
Volume spike
Volume at least 3x the prior 20 sessions' average.
| Holding | Events | Median | Up | vs SPY | Range of outcomes (worst · 25–75% · median · best) | vs S&P 500 stocks (their medians) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 8 | -0.87% | 2 of 8 | -1.15% |
-6%
+2%
|
|
| 1 week | 8 | -1.03% | 3 of 8 | -2.25% |
-8%
+13%
|
|
| 1 month | 8 | -2.48% | 3 of 8 | -5.96% |
-10%
+21%
|
|
| 1 quarter | 8 | +5.52% | 5 of 8 | -2.16% |
-27%
+84%
|
Range of outcomes: all of INTC's volume spikes in the past 5 years, from the worst to the best result over each holding period; the box holds the middle half, the tick is the median. A wide box means the median alone says little. Hover the median for the average.
Volume spike by trend
| When it happened | Events | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 1 quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long trendAbove its 200-day avg | 3 | -1.0%3 events vs +0.1% | -0.5%3 events vs +0.3% | +6.4%3 events vs +2.7% | +10.2%3 events vs +12.8% |
| Below its 200-day avg now | 5 | -1.8%4 events vs -0.1% | +0.5%4 events vs -0.4% | -4.5%4 events vs +0.8% | +6.2%4 events vs 0.0% |
| Medium trendAbove its 50-day avg | 3 | -2.9%3 events vs -0.1% | +11.2%3 events vs -0.9% | +6.4%3 events vs -0.3% | +10.2%3 events vs +6.4% |
| Below its 50-day avg now | 6 | -0.1%5 events vs 0.0% | -2.4%5 events vs +0.2% | -5.8%5 events vs +1.0% | +0.8%5 events vs -3.1% |
| Short trendAbove its 20-day avg | 3 | -2.9%3 events vs -0.1% | +11.2%3 events vs -0.6% | +6.4%3 events vs -0.9% | +10.2%3 events vs +2.0% |
| Below its 20-day avg now | 6 | -0.1%5 events vs 0.0% | -2.4%5 events vs +0.2% | -5.8%5 events vs +1.8% | +0.8%5 events vs 0.0% |
The same event split by where INTC stood against its 200-, 50- and 20-day averages when it happened (a dip in an uptrend vs a falling knife); "vs" is the plain any-day median in that trend; "now" marks where it stands today. Splitting halves the evidence: each cell shows how many past events it rests on.
Latest volume spikes
| Event | Entry | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 1 quarter | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Oct 30 @ $65.76 | 4.6x average volume, -28.6% on the day | … | … | … | … |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Sep 18 @ $30.57 | 6.5x average volume, +22.8% on the day | -3.2% | +11.2% | +21.1% | +17.9% |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Jul 25 @ $20.70 | 3.3x average volume, -8.5% on the day | -0.1% | -6.7% | +18.6% | +84.3% |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Nov 1 @ $23.20 | 3.2x average volume, +7.8% on the day | -2.9% | +12.9% | -3.1% | -15.3% |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Aug 2 @ $21.34 | 5.0x average volume, -26.1% on the day | -6.4% | -7.7% | -5.8% | +0.8% |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Jan 26 @ $43.07 | 3.1x average volume, -11.9% on the day | +0.4% | -2.4% | -1.8% | -26.8% |
| May 31, 2023 | May 31 @ $30.81 | 3.4x average volume, +4.8% on the day | -1.0% | -0.5% | +6.4% | +10.2% |
| Jan 27, 2023 | Jan 27 @ $27.15 | 4.4x average volume, -6.4% on the day | -0.7% | +7.7% | -10.4% | +11.6% |
| Jul 29, 2022 | Jul 29 @ $34.20 | 3.6x average volume, -8.6% on the day | +1.8% | -1.6% | -8.4% | -26.9% |
Aftermath: entry is the close of the first session the event was fully known (the same session for price moves, the reaction session for earnings, the next session for Reddit, analyst and insider events, which are dated by day). Repeats within a few sessions count as one event. This is history, not a forecast: in our backtests, how a stock did after its past events did not predict its next one. Not advice.