NFLX
Netflix, Inc. · Communication Services · Entertainment
$67.06
-1.16% today · -5.75% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- NFLX −1.16% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −1.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, reddit spike (Oct 2): After its 42 Reddit spikes in the past 5 years, NFLX typically gained 3.2% over the next month (median) and was higher 57% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -5.3% and +8.6%. An ordinary month: +1.4%. Among S&P 500 stocks after Reddit spikes, that ranks #11 of 91.
- 4 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 75% positive over the week.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (2 positive, 0 negative); latest: Guggenheim maintained Buy, raised target $75.00 → $80.00.
- 3 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Oct 20
After the close · in 16 days
EPS estimate
$0.82
$0.79 to $0.87 · 34 analysts
Revenue estimate
$12.9B
$12.8B to $13.0B
Track record
6/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±7.1% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 AMC | 2Q2026 | $0.79 | $0.80 | +$0.01 (+1.4%) beat | $12.6B | -7.3% -6.3 vs SPY | -11.9% | -7.3% |
| Apr 16, 2026 AMC | 1Q2026 | $1.25 | $1.23 | −$0.02 (−1.4%) miss | $12.2B | -9.7% -10.9 vs SPY | -10.6% | -13.9% |
| Jan 20, 2026 AMC | 4Q2025 | $0.55 | $0.56 | +$0.01 (+1.4%) beat | $12.1B | -2.2% -3.3 vs SPY | -5.4% | -1.9% |
| Oct 21, 2025 AMC | 3Q2025 | $0.70 | $0.59 | −$0.11 (−15.8%) miss | $11.5B | -10.1% -9.6 vs SPY | -7.9% | -11.2% |
| Jul 17, 2025 AMC | $0.71 | $0.72 | +$0.01 (+1.4%) beat | — | -5.1% -5.0 vs SPY | -2.5% | -7.3% | |
| Apr 17, 2025 AMC | $0.57 | $0.66 | +$0.09 (+15.8%) beat | — | +1.5% +3.9 vs SPY | +1.2% | +13.2% | |
| Jan 21, 2025 AMC | $0.42 | $0.43 | +$0.01 (+2.4%) beat | — | +9.7% +9.1 vs SPY | +14.8% | +11.8% | |
| Oct 17, 2024 AMC | $0.51 | $0.54 | +$0.03 (+5.9%) beat | — | +11.1% +10.7 vs SPY | +7.3% | +9.7% | |
| Jul 18, 2024 AMC | $0.48 | $0.49 | +$0.01 (+2.1%) beat | — | -1.5% -0.8 vs SPY | +2.7% | -1.4% | |
| Apr 18, 2024 AMC | $0.45 | $0.53 | +$0.08 (+17.8%) beat | — | -9.1% -8.2 vs SPY | -7.0% | -7.5% | |
| Jan 23, 2024 AMC | $0.22 | $0.21 | −$0.01 (−4.5%) miss | — | +10.7% +10.6 vs SPY | +9.3% | +14.4% | |
| Oct 18, 2023 AMC | $0.35 | $0.37 | +$0.02 (+5.7%) beat | — | +16.1% +16.9 vs SPY | +16.9% | +18.8% | |
| Jul 19, 2023 AMC | $0.29 | $0.33 | +$0.04 (+13.8%) beat | — | -8.4% -7.8 vs SPY | -6.4% | -11.5% | |
| Apr 18, 2023 AMC | $0.29 | $0.29 | $0.00 (0.0%) in line | — | -3.2% -3.1 vs SPY | -2.8% | -3.3% | |
| Jan 19, 2023 AMC | $0.05 | $0.01 | −$0.04 miss | — | +8.5% +6.6 vs SPY | +6.7% | +15.6% | |
| Oct 18, 2022 AMC | $0.21 | $0.31 | +$0.10 (+47.6%) beat | — | +13.1% +13.8 vs SPY | +10.0% | +20.8% | |
| Jul 19, 2022 AMC | $0.29 | $0.32 | +$0.03 (+10.3%) beat | — | +7.3% +6.7 vs SPY | +3.2% | +6.1% | |
| Apr 19, 2022 AMC | $0.29 | $0.35 | +$0.06 (+20.7%) beat | — | -35.1% -35.0 vs SPY | -29.7% | -43.1% | |
| Jan 20, 2022 AMC | $0.08 | $0.13 | +$0.05 beat | — | -21.8% -19.8 vs SPY | -21.2% | -23.9% | |
| Oct 19, 2021 AMC | $0.26 | $0.32 | +$0.06 (+23.1%) beat | — | -2.2% -2.6 vs SPY | -2.1% | +4.6% | |
| Jul 20, 2021 AMC | $0.32 | $0.30 | −$0.02 (−6.3%) miss | — | — | — | — | |
| Apr 20, 2021 AMC | $0.30 | $0.38 | +$0.08 (+26.7%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Jan 19, 2021 AMC | $0.14 | $0.12 | −$0.02 (−14.3%) miss | — | — | — | — | |
| Oct 20, 2020 AMC | $0.21 | $0.17 | −$0.04 (−19.0%) miss | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $0.82 (34) | $0.79 – $0.87 | +40% | -2.3% | ▲3 ▼2 | $12.9B | +12% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $0.73 (32) | $0.67 – $0.82 | +30% | -1.3% | ▲3 ▼1 | $13.5B | +12% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | $3.58 (41) | $3.51 – $3.69 | +42% | -0.2% | ▲3 ▼1 | $51.2B | +13% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | $3.81 (45) | $3.48 – $4.09 | +6% | -0.5% | ▲0 ▼2 | $57.0B | +11% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.