NVR
NVR, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
TECHStrong SellZACKSSell
R500#474 today
$5,993.85
-2.16% today · -4.82% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- NVR −2.16% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −2.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big drop (Oct 2): After its 67 big drops in the past 5 years, NVR typically gained 0.6% over the next day (median) and was higher 60% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -0.8% and +1.3%. An ordinary day: +0.0%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big drops, that ranks #16 of 500.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Oct 21
In 17 days
estimated date
EPS estimate
$103.49
$95.83 to $113.00 · 7 analysts
Revenue estimate
$2.5B
$2.5B to $2.6B
Track record
4/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±2.3% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 BMO | 2Q2026 | $89.98 | $83.96 | −$6.02 (−6.7%) miss | $2.3B | -3.1% -1.8 vs SPY | -2.7% | +0.5% |
| Apr 22, 2026 BMO | 1Q2026 | $79.20 | $67.76 | −$11.44 (−14.4%) miss | $1.8B | -4.7% -5.7 vs SPY | -4.2% | -7.1% |
| Jan 28, 2026 BMO | 4Q2025 | $105.90 | $121.54 | +$15.64 (+14.8%) beat | $2.6B | +1.7% +1.7 vs SPY | +1.3% | +3.6% |
| Oct 22, 2025 BMO | 3Q2025 | $109.36 | $112.33 | +$2.97 (+2.7%) beat | $2.6B | -1.2% -0.7 vs SPY | -0.8% | -4.2% |
| Jul 23, 2025 — | $106.20 | $108.54 | +$2.34 (+2.2%) beat | — | -1.4% -1.4 vs SPY | -0.4% | -3.4% | |
| Apr 22, 2025 BMO | $106.07 | $94.83 | −$11.24 (−10.6%) miss | — | +0.5% -2.1 vs SPY | -1.9% | -1.3% | |
| Jan 28, 2025 BMO | $129.35 | $139.93 | +$10.58 (+8.2%) beat | — | -3.8% -4.7 vs SPY | +1.1% | -7.7% | |
| Oct 22, 2024 BMO | $131.00 | $130.50 | −$0.50 (−0.4%) miss | — | -2.2% -2.2 vs SPY | -0.6% | -3.6% | |
| Jul 23, 2024 — | $121.21 | $120.69 | −$0.52 (−0.4%) miss | — | -2.3% 0.0 vs SPY | -0.3% | +0.7% | |
| Apr 23, 2024 BMO | $103.97 | $116.41 | +$12.44 (+12.0%) beat | — | +0.4% -0.8 vs SPY | +0.3% | -3.4% | |
| Jan 30, 2024 BMO | $121.50 | $121.56 | +$0.06 (+0.0%) beat | — | +0.2% +0.3 vs SPY | +0.3% | +0.8% | |
| Oct 24, 2023 BMO | $115.60 | $125.26 | +$9.66 (+8.4%) beat | — | -2.2% -2.9 vs SPY | 0.0% | -1.9% | |
| Jul 25, 2023 BMO | $101.50 | $116.54 | +$15.04 (+14.8%) beat | — | +2.1% +1.8 vs SPY | -0.3% | +1.2% | |
| Apr 25, 2023 BMO | $88.96 | $99.89 | +$10.93 (+12.3%) beat | — | -3.6% -2.0 vs SPY | +0.2% | -1.6% | |
| Jan 31, 2023 BMO | $98.88 | $133.44 | +$34.56 (+35.0%) beat | — | +5.0% +3.5 vs SPY | +3.5% | +2.5% | |
| Oct 25, 2022 BMO | $121.71 | $118.51 | −$3.20 (−2.6%) miss | — | +5.7% +4.1 vs SPY | +0.1% | +4.7% | |
| Jul 26, 2022 BMO | $126.82 | $123.65 | −$3.17 (−2.5%) miss | — | -2.4% -1.2 vs SPY | -0.6% | -1.0% | |
| Apr 26, 2022 BMO | $96.94 | $116.56 | +$19.62 (+20.2%) beat | — | +1.4% +4.3 vs SPY | +1.7% | +1.8% | |
| Feb 1, 2022 BMO | $99.77 | $89.09 | −$10.68 (−10.7%) miss | — | +0.7% 0.0 vs SPY | -1.1% | -0.8% | |
| Oct 21, 2021 BMO | $88.98 | $86.44 | −$2.54 (−2.9%) miss | — | -3.0% -3.2 vs SPY | -0.6% | -4.7% | |
| Jul 21, 2021 BMO | $72.43 | $82.45 | +$10.02 (+13.8%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Apr 21, 2021 BMO | $65.08 | $63.21 | −$1.87 (−2.9%) miss | — | — | — | — | |
| Jan 28, 2021 BMO | $79.82 | $76.93 | −$2.89 (−3.6%) miss | — | — | — | — | |
| Oct 20, 2020 BMO | $60.22 | $65.11 | +$4.89 (+8.1%) beat | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $103.49 (7) | $95.83 – $113.00 | -8% | +6.6% | ▲0 ▼1 | $2.5B | -1% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $106.11 (7) | $91.98 – $113.45 | -13% | -0.5% | ▲3 ▼2 | $2.5B | -5% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | $359.05 (7) | $338.83 – $367.00 | -18% | -0.5% | ▲0 ▼1 | $9.2B | -8% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | $395.00 (7) | $355.69 – $422.00 | +10% | -6.0% | ▲0 ▼1 | $9.6B | +4% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.