TSLA
Down ahead of Roadster unveiling tonight
- TSLA −1.21% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: −1.3 pts of stock-specific move.
- Earnings Wed after the close: EPS $0.45 expected (24 analysts); it moved ±7.8% on average after its last 8 reports.
- News: Yahoo Finance reported Tesla stock sinking about 1.5% as company preps Roadster demo. (finance.yahoo.com)
- Against the group: its evs & autos peers +1.7% (+1.6 pts vs SPY).
- Aftermath, mention spike (trendy) (Oct 12): After its 109 mention spikes in the past 5 years, TSLA was higher a week later 47 times out of 109; half the outcomes fell between -5.6% and +3.9%. History, not a forecast.
- 27 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 75% positive over the week.
- 3 analyst actions in the past 10 days (2 positive, 0 negative); latest: Jefferies maintained Hold, raised target $350 → $400.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
- Activity: options price a ±7.5% move through the report.
Insiders
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Side | Type | Shares | Avg price | Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja | CFO | Sell | unplanned | 2,605.75 | $360.13 | $938.4K | Sep 9 |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Elon Musk | CEO | Tax | tax withholding | 17,531,857 | $404.66 | $7.1B | Jun 17 |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja | CFO | Sell | unplanned | 2,605.5 | $402.20 | $1M | Jun 9 |
| May 13, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja | CFO | Sell | unplanned | 3,000 | $450.00 | $1.4M | May 15 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Kathleen Wilson-Thompson | Director | Sell | 10b5-1 plan | 26,409 | $378.11 | $10M | May 4 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Kathleen Wilson-Thompson | Director | Sell | 10b5-1 plan | 25,809 | $359.33 | $9.3M | Apr 1 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Vaibhav Taneja | CFO | Sell | unplanned | 2,264.5 | $397.03 | $899.1K | Mar 9 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Kathleen Wilson-Thompson | Director | Sell | 10b5-1 plan | 25,731 | $415.56 | $10.7M | Feb 27 |
| Jan 2, 2026 | James R Murdoch | Director | Sell | 10b5-1 plan | 60,000 | $445.40 | $26.7M | Jan 6 |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Kimbal Musk | Director | Sell | unplanned | 56,820 | $450.66 | $25.6M | Dec 11 |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Vaibhav Taneja | CFO | Sell | unplanned | 2,637 | $443.93 | $1.2M | Dec 9 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | James R Murdoch | Director | Sell | 10b5-1 plan | 60,000 | $422.68 | $25.4M | Sep 17 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Elon Musk | CEO | Buy | open-market buy | 2,568,732 | $389.28 | $1000M | Sep 15 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Xiaotong Zhu | SVP | Sell | unplanned | 20,000 | $363.75 | $7.3M | Sep 12 |
Officers, directors and 10% owners file SEC Form 4 within two business days. Unplanned: the insider chose to trade now, the trades worth attention; their dollars make the net above. 10b5-1 plan: scheduled in advance, kept for the record. Tax: shares withheld on vesting stock, not a market trade. Awards, option exercises and gifts are left out. Source: SEC EDGAR, collected daily for the stocks discussed on Reddit.
Congress
| Trade date | Member | Chamber | Side | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Sell | $1K–$15K | Sep 10 |
| May 29, 2026 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Jun 8 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | May 8 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Alan Armstrong | Senate | Buy | $1K–$15K | Jul 21 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Alan Armstrong | Senate | Buy | $15K–$50K | Jul 21 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Sell | $15K–$50K | Apr 7 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Feb 13 |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Dec 15 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Lisa McClain | House | Sell | $1K–$15K | Nov 21 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Lisa McClain | House | Sell | $1K–$15K | Nov 21 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Lisa McClain | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Nov 21 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Nov 18 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Marjorie Taylor Greene | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Oct 20 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Valerie Hoyle | House | Sell | $1K–$15K | Oct 10 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Lisa McClain | House | Buy | $1K–$15K | Oct 22 |
Members of Congress report trades within 45 days of the trade date, so these are never real-time. Amounts are disclosed as ranges; the net uses each range's midpoint (≈). Source: House and Senate periodic transaction reports via CongressInvests, refreshed daily.
Funds
| Investor | Shares | Value | Of its portfolio | Vs quarter before | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARK Invest (Cathie Wood) | 2,738,982 | $1B | ARKQ 11.4% · ARKK 9.9% · ARKW 7.6% · ARKX 3.6% | — | Oct 15 |
| Viking Global (Andreas Halvorsen) | 547,816 | $230.4M | 0.66% | -78% | Q2 2026 |
| Soros Fund Management (George Soros) | 86,846 | $36.5M | 0.60% | +64% | Q2 2026 |
| Coatue (Philippe Laffont) | 59,963 | $25.2M | 0.05% | +2% | Q2 2026 |
| Date | Investor | Move | Source | Shares | ≈ Value | Now held | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Viking Global (Andreas Halvorsen) | Trimmed | 13F, Q2 2026 | 1,945,745 | $818.4M | 0.7% | Aug 14 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Soros Fund Management (George Soros) | Added | 13F, Q2 2026 | 33,753 | $14.2M | 0.6% | Aug 14 |
| May 15, 2026 | Viking Global (Andreas Halvorsen) | Added | 13F, Q1 2026 | 793,820 | $295.1M | 2.6% | May 15 |
| May 15, 2026 | Coatue (Philippe Laffont) | Trimmed | 13F, Q1 2026 | 1,582,568 | $588.3M | 0.1% | May 15 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Soros Fund Management (George Soros) | New stake | 13F, Q4 2025 | 56,661 | $25.5M | 0.5% | Feb 13 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Viking Global (Andreas Halvorsen) | Added | 13F, Q3 2025 | 509,497 | $226.6M | 1.9% | Nov 14 |
Well-known investors we follow (Buffett, Ackman, Icahn, Druckenmiller, Tepper, Soros and others). 13F: managers report their US stock holdings up to 45 days after each quarter; the change from the quarter before is dated by the filing, the trades happened some time in the quarter, and the value is at the quarter-end price (≈). New and closed positions, and adds or cuts of 20% or more, of positions at least 0.2% of the portfolio. ARK: Cathie Wood's ETFs publish their holdings every morning; the change beyond the fund's own inflows and outflows, dated by the session it traded. 5%+ stake: Schedule 13D (with intent to influence) or 13G (passive), filed within days. Source: SEC EDGAR, ark-funds.com, refreshed daily. Who holds it: each investor's latest 13F portfolio (positions at the quarter's end; one sold since would not show until the next filing), and ARK's ETFs as of their latest daily file. The funds we follow and their portfolios · All recent insider, congressional and fund moves