Aftermath
After an RSI overbought reading, over the next week
The 14-day RSI rises above 70. Each stock's median gain after its own events of this kind in the past 5 years, from the close of the session the event was known. Updated .
The typical S&P 500 stock gained -0.01% over the next week after an RSI overbought reading (half of them between -0.66% and +0.78%), against +0.27% on any day.
Latest overbought readings, last few sessions
| Entry | Stock | Its median, 1 week | Confidence | Rank | Up | Events | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | ADI Analog Devices | RSI 72.3, +3.1% on the day | +1.89% | Medium | #37 of 501 | 69% | 16 |
| Oct 2 | IBRX | RSI 70.2, +10.8% on the day | -0.75% | Medium | #233 of 501 | 45% | 11 |
| Oct 2 | ILMN Illumina, Inc. | RSI 70.4, +2.8% on the day | -0.69% | Medium | #259 of 501 | 42% | 12 |
| Oct 2 | TSM | RSI 71.7, +3.0% on the day | -0.38% | High | #362 of 501 | 46% | 24 |
| Oct 2 | TXN Texas Instruments | RSI 70.4, +4.4% on the day | -0.25% | Medium | #257 of 501 | 50% | 12 |
| Oct 1 | ACN Accenture | RSI 70.0, +15.8% on the day | +0.50% | Medium | #22 of 501 | 62% | 13 |
| Oct 1 | AES AES Corporation | RSI 71.7, +0.1% on the day | -0.41% | Medium | #351 of 501 | 44% | 18 |
| Oct 1 | CDNS Cadence Design Systems | RSI 70.6, +6.2% on the day | -0.82% | Medium | #455 of 501 | 38% | 16 |
| Oct 1 | DDOG Datadog | RSI 70.3, +0.9% on the day | +1.15% | Medium | #52 of 501 | 71% | 17 |
| Oct 1 | KEYS Keysight Technologies | RSI 70.4, +2.7% on the day | -0.65% | Medium | #321 of 501 | 46% | 13 |
| Oct 1 | NTAP NetApp | RSI 70.1, +2.4% on the day | -0.16% | Medium | #312 of 501 | 47% | 15 |
| Oct 1 | SNPS Synopsys | RSI 74.4, +12.8% on the day | -1.15% | Medium | #365 of 501 | 47% | 17 |
| Sep 28 | DHR Danaher Corporation | RSI 71.3, +1.3% on the day | +1.04% | Low | #200 of 501 | 60% | 5 |
| Sep 28 | VTRS Viatris | RSI 73.5, +2.5% on the day | +0.48% | Medium | #203 of 501 | 56% | 16 |
Best after an RSI overbought reading
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OTIS Otis Worldwide | +0.88%+0.3 to +1.0 | Medium | +0.55% | 78% | +0.67% | -3% · +3% | 9 |
| 2 | ALLE Allegion | +1.37%+0.3 to +1.6 | Medium | +1.16% | 77% | +1.14% | -1% · +4% | 13 |
| 3 | RF Regions Financial Corporation | +1.15%+0.7 to +1.4 | Medium | +0.70% | 68% | +0.43% | -4% · +5% | 19 |
| 4 | HUBB Hubbell Incorporated | +1.95%+1.3 to +2.1 | Medium | +2.16% | 79% | +1.00% | -5% · +8% | 14 |
| 5 | PGR Progressive Corporation | +1.27%+0.6 to +1.5 | Medium | +0.73% | 69% | +0.83% | -6% · +5% | 13 |
| 6 | SPY meme | +0.86%0.0 to +1.0 | High | +0.62% | 75% | 0.00% | -1% · +2% | 20 |
| 7 | GE GE Aerospace | +2.33%+1.3 to +3.1 | High | +2.09% | 70% | +1.80% | -4% · +11% | 20 |
| 8 | ABBV AbbVie | +1.44%+0.1 to +2.4 | High | +1.74% | 71% | +0.89% | -3% · +7% | 24 |
| 9 | LHX L3Harris | +1.97%+1.5 to +2.4 | Medium | +2.35% | 92% | +2.26% | -7% · +9% | 12 |
| 10 | CAH Cardinal Health | +1.17%+0.1 to +1.4 | High | +0.82% | 67% | +1.69% | -8% · +6% | 24 |
| 11 | DAL Delta Air Lines | +1.66%+0.8 to +2.4 | Medium | +1.54% | 71% | +1.45% | -6% · +10% | 17 |
| 12 | LDOS Leidos | +0.92%+0.4 to +1.3 | Medium | +1.16% | 78% | +0.39% | -6% · +8% | 18 |
| 13 | NI NiSource | +0.78%+0.3 to +1.4 | Medium | +0.66% | 71% | +1.20% | -3% · +3% | 14 |
| 14 | ABT Abbott Laboratories | +1.73%+0.7 to +2.1 | Medium | +0.40% | 67% | +0.66% | -5% · +5% | 15 |
| 15 | DIS Walt Disney Company … | +3.59%+1.7 to +4.2 | Medium | +3.42% | 75% | +1.62% | -3% · +13% | 12 |
| 16 | PH Parker Hannifin | +1.09%-0.3 to +1.4 | High | +0.93% | 62% | -0.02% | -4% · +8% | 26 |
| 17 | AMP Ameriprise Financial | +0.81%-0.2 to +1.2 | Medium | +0.09% | 63% | +0.27% | -11% · +4% | 19 |
| 18 | WELL Welltower | +1.05%+0.2 to +1.6 | Medium | +0.55% | 68% | +0.32% | -4% · +4% | 19 |
| 19 | ROST Ross Stores | +1.08%-0.2 to +1.3 | High | +0.55% | 65% | -0.72% | -5% · +8% | 20 |
| 20 | STZ Constellation Brands | +1.59%+0.1 to +2.8 | Medium | +1.69% | 78% | +1.17% | -1% · +5% | 9 |
| 21 | PSX Phillips 66 | +2.90%+1.0 to +4.4 | High | +2.12% | 70% | +2.83% | -8% · +9% | 23 |
| 22 | VLO Valero Energy | +2.03%+0.5 to +2.6 | High | +2.01% | 74% | +1.67% | -4% · +9% | 23 |
| 23 | ACN Accenture | +0.50%-0.1 to +0.7 | Medium | +0.68% | 62% | -0.57% | -1% · +3% | 13 |
| 24 | ADP Automatic Data Processing | +0.76%+0.6 to +1.8 | Medium | +0.89% | 80% | +1.03% | -5% · +4% | 15 |
| 25 | KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | +0.66%-0.1 to +1.4 | Medium | +1.01% | 61% | +0.34% | -2% · +6% | 18 |
Worst after an RSI overbought reading
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BMY Bristol Myers Squibb | -1.08%-1.4 to -0.7 | Medium | -0.65% | 22% | -0.44% | -5% · +6% | 18 |
| 2 | ACGL Arch Capital Group | -0.81%-1.1 to -0.5 | Medium | -0.79% | 26% | -0.03% | -7% · +6% | 19 |
| 3 | MRSH Marsh McLennan | -0.85%-1.2 to -0.5 | Medium | -0.38% | 28% | -0.05% | -4% · +4% | 18 |
| 4 | EW Edwards Lifesciences | -1.59%-2.9 to -1.4 | Medium | -1.43% | 12% | -2.06% | -3% · +2% | 8 |
| 5 | FRT Federal Realty Investment … | -0.99%-1.3 to -0.8 | Medium | -0.60% | 27% | -1.86% | -4% · +4% | 15 |
| 6 | MET MetLife | -0.67%-1.0 to -0.1 | High | -0.66% | 35% | +0.02% | -7% · +2% | 23 |
| 7 | INVH Invitation Homes | -1.81%-2.8 to -0.8 | Medium | -1.84% | 9% | -0.88% | -5% · +1% | 11 |
| 8 | CB Chubb Limited | -0.68%-1.1 to +0.2 | Medium | -0.68% | 35% | -0.16% | -4% · +2% | 17 |
| 9 | HAS Hasbro | -0.71%-1.1 to -0.4 | Medium | -0.91% | 38% | -0.26% | -6% · +3% | 16 |
| 10 | STE Steris | -0.55%-1.1 to +0.1 | Medium | -0.88% | 36% | -0.50% | -4% · +1% | 11 |
| 11 | L Loews Corporation | -0.54%-0.7 to 0.0 | Medium | -0.79% | 41% | +0.05% | -5% · +1% | 17 |
| 12 | PKG Packaging Corporation of … | -1.13%-1.5 to 0.0 | Medium | +0.07% | 32% | -0.16% | -3% · +11% | 19 |
| 13 | EQIX Equinix | -1.19%-2.0 to 0.0 | Medium | +0.25% | 27% | -0.37% | -3% · +11% | 11 |
| 14 | TJX TJX Companies | -0.84%-1.4 to -0.1 | High | -1.00% | 30% | -0.56% | -6% · +3% | 23 |
| 15 | WM Waste Management | -0.86%-1.8 to +0.2 | Medium | -0.67% | 39% | -0.39% | -4% · +3% | 18 |
| 16 | WAB Wabtec | -0.46%-0.7 to +0.4 | High | -0.21% | 40% | -0.77% | -6% · +4% | 25 |
| 17 | JKHY Jack Henry & … | -1.79%-3.2 to -1.1 | Medium | -1.16% | 25% | -0.70% | -5% · +4% | 16 |
| 18 | DRI Darden Restaurants | -0.75%-1.7 to -0.4 | Medium | -0.58% | 21% | -0.70% | -5% · +7% | 14 |
| 19 | RL Ralph Lauren Corporation | -1.37%-1.6 to 0.0 | Medium | -0.18% | 37% | -0.02% | -7% · +7% | 19 |
| 20 | ESS Essex Property Trust | -0.31%-0.6 to -0.1 | Medium | -0.35% | 31% | -0.07% | -3% · +3% | 13 |
| 21 | PPL PPL Corporation | -0.90%-1.2 to +0.2 | Medium | -0.60% | 38% | +0.78% | -4% · +2% | 13 |
| 22 | ISRG Intuitive Surgical | -0.79%-1.1 to 0.0 | Medium | +0.60% | 35% | -0.66% | -2% · +12% | 17 |
| 23 | ADSK Autodesk | -1.56%-2.1 to -0.4 | Medium | -2.19% | 33% | -1.98% | -11% · +4% | 15 |
| 24 | VLTO Veralto | -0.34%-1.2 to 0.0 | Medium | -0.75% | 22% | -1.02% | -3% · +1% | 9 |
| 25 | CBRE CBRE Group | -1.43%-1.9 to +0.7 | Medium | -0.50% | 38% | -1.05% | -6% · +6% | 16 |
Stocks with at least 3 independent periods, ordered on an evidence-weighted median: each stock's median is pulled toward the S&P 500 typical value in proportion to its uncertainty, so a lucky handful of events cannot top the list. Confidence counts independent holding periods (overlapping ones count once): High 20+, Medium 8+, Low 3+. Median and average gain over the next week from the entry close; Up = share of events followed by a gain; vs SPY = median gain minus SPY over the same sessions. Ranks on the stock pages place each stock among the S&P 500 stocks. Small samples are noisy, and the past does not repeat on schedule. Not advice.