USAR
Down on inflation concerns and energy security
- USAR −1.89% on the last session vs SPY −0.25%: −1.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- News: Wholesale inflation data and fuel costs shift focus to rare earth supply challenges, per Yahoo Finance. (finance.yahoo.com)
- Aftermath, volume spike (3.1× average volume on pace today so far): After its 36 volume spikes in the past 5 years, USAR was higher a month later 26 times out of 36; half the outcomes fell between -0.2% and +0.6%. History, not a forecast.
- 14 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 75% positive over the week · today's pace is 1.5× its recent daily average.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days, including 1 insider sale not under a 10b5-1 plan.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
- Activity: volume on pace for 3.1× its 20-day average.
Insiders
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Side | Type | Shares | Avg price | Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Barbara Humpton | CEO | Sell | unplanned | 88,391 | $13.75 | $1.2M | Oct 5 |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Carolyn Trabuco | Director | Sell | unplanned | 13,000 | $22.77 | $296K | Jun 8 |
| May 21, 2026 | William Robert Jr Steele | CFO | Tax | tax withholding | 33,825 | $22.57 | $763.4K | May 21 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Michael Blitzer | Director | Buy | open-market buy | 100,000 | $21.44 | $2.1M | Jan 29 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Carolyn Trabuco | Director | Buy | open-market buy | 1,300 | $22.60 | $29.4K | Jan 29 |
Officers, directors and 10% owners file SEC Form 4 within two business days. Unplanned: the insider chose to trade now, the trades worth attention; their dollars make the net above. 10b5-1 plan: scheduled in advance, kept for the record. Tax: shares withheld on vesting stock, not a market trade. Awards, option exercises and gifts are left out. Source: SEC EDGAR, collected daily for the stocks discussed on Reddit.
Congress
Members of Congress report trades within 45 days of the trade date, so these are never real-time. Amounts are disclosed as ranges; the net uses each range's midpoint (≈). Source: House and Senate periodic transaction reports via CongressInvests, refreshed daily.
Funds
| Investor | Shares | Value | Of its portfolio | Vs quarter before | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridgewater (Ray Dalio's firm) | 186,950 | $4M | 0.02% | +7% | Q2 2026 |
| Soros Fund Management (George Soros) | 31,221 | $673.7K | 0.01% | +49% | Q2 2026 |
Well-known investors we follow (Buffett, Ackman, Icahn, Druckenmiller, Tepper, Soros and others). 13F: managers report their US stock holdings up to 45 days after each quarter; the change from the quarter before is dated by the filing, the trades happened some time in the quarter, and the value is at the quarter-end price (≈). New and closed positions, and adds or cuts of 20% or more, of positions at least 0.2% of the portfolio. ARK: Cathie Wood's ETFs publish their holdings every morning; the change beyond the fund's own inflows and outflows, dated by the session it traded. 5%+ stake: Schedule 13D (with intent to influence) or 13G (passive), filed within days. Source: SEC EDGAR, ark-funds.com, refreshed daily. Who holds it: each investor's latest 13F portfolio (positions at the quarter's end; one sold since would not show until the next filing), and ARK's ETFs as of their latest daily file. The funds we follow and their portfolios · All recent insider, congressional and fund moves