USAR
USA Rare Earth, Inc. · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
$10.76
-2.98% today · -14.33% 1W
Oct 16 close or latest
ReadoutWhy it's moving
Reddit attention is surging
- USAR −2.98% on the last session vs SPY −0.66%: −2.3 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big drop (Oct 14): After its 57 big drops in the past 5 years, USAR was higher a day later 24 times out of 57; half the outcomes fell between -3.8% and +2.3%. History, not a forecast.
- 4 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 74% positive over the week · today's pace is 3.2× its recent daily average.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days, including 1 insider sale not under a 10b5-1 plan.
- Market backdrop (Thu): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Best and worst times to own USAR in the past two years
Buying and selling at the close. Each colored stretch is the best or worst window for that holding period, green for a gain and red for a loss: longer holds are wider and darker underneath, shorter ones brighter on top. The grey line is the full two years. Letters mark events inside the windows (E earnings, A analyst, I insider, M mention spike, V volume spike, T theme move, N news). Hover a period above the chart to pick it out and see only its events; click it to hide or show it.
Best and worst window per holding period
| Best | Worst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hold for | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank |
| one single day | Mar 13, 2025 | Mar 14, 2025 | +72.0% | #2 | Mar 24, 2025 | Mar 25, 2025 | -29.4% | #3 |
| one week | Apr 9, 2025 | Apr 16, 2025 | +112.5% | #2 | Mar 19, 2025 | Mar 26, 2025 | -62.9% | #1 |
| one month | Sep 12, 2025 | Oct 13, 2025 | +175.1% | #2 | Oct 13, 2025 | Nov 13, 2025 | -61.6% | #1 |
| 3 months | Jul 11, 2025 | Oct 13, 2025 | +261.2% | #5 | Oct 13, 2025 | Jan 13, 2026 | -56.9% | #2 |
| 6 months | Apr 11, 2025 | Oct 13, 2025 | +365.5% | #5 | Oct 13, 2025 | Apr 13, 2026 | -56.6% | #5 |
| one year | Oct 16, 2024 | Oct 13, 2025 | +259.4% | #26 | Oct 14, 2025 | Oct 14, 2026 | -72.5% | #2 |
Rank #2 for the best one week means 1 of the S&P 500 components had a better best-one week gain over the past year; for the worst windows #1 is the deepest fall. Updated .
What happened in each window
Best one single day Mar 13, 2025 → Mar 14, 2025 +72.0% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 11.1x average volume, +72.0% on the day
Best one week Apr 9, 2025 → Apr 16, 2025 +112.5% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 13.8x average volume, +41.4% on the day
Best one month Sep 12, 2025 → Oct 13, 2025 +175.1% · 3 events
- V Volume spike 4.1x average volume, +23.4% on the day
- V Volume spike 4.0x average volume, +5.0% on the day
- M Mention spike 21 mentions vs 3.7/day the week before
Best 3 months Jul 11, 2025 → Oct 13, 2025 +261.2% · 4 events
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.05 (+38.5%) vs consensus · +23.3% reaction
- V Volume spike 4.1x average volume, +23.4% on the day
- V Volume spike 4.0x average volume, +5.0% on the day
- M Mention spike 21 mentions vs 3.7/day the week before
Best 6 months Apr 11, 2025 → Oct 13, 2025 +365.5% · 10 events
- V Volume spike 13.8x average volume, +41.4% on the day
- M Mention spike 42 mentions vs 2.9/day the week before
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.62 vs consensus · +6.4% reaction
- V Volume spike 5.0x average volume, +14.0% on the day
- V Volume spike 3.8x average volume, +16.7% on the day
- V Volume spike 3.2x average volume, +12.4% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.05 (+38.5%) vs consensus · +23.3% reaction
- V Volume spike 4.1x average volume, +23.4% on the day
- V Volume spike 4.0x average volume, +5.0% on the day
- M Mention spike 21 mentions vs 3.7/day the week before
Best one year Oct 16, 2024 → Oct 13, 2025 +259.4% · 18 events
- V Volume spike 18.7x average volume, +0.2% on the day
- V Volume spike 3.5x average volume, +0.2% on the day
- V Volume spike 13.2x average volume, +0.1% on the day
- V Volume spike 5.2x average volume, -1.1% on the day
- V Volume spike 6.6x average volume, -4.8% on the day
- V Volume spike 11.1x average volume, +72.0% on the day
- V Volume spike 3.2x average volume, -14.4% on the day
- V Volume spike 28.2x average volume, +16.1% on the day
- V Volume spike 13.8x average volume, +41.4% on the day
- M Mention spike 42 mentions vs 2.9/day the week before
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.62 vs consensus · +6.4% reaction
- V Volume spike 5.0x average volume, +14.0% on the day
- V Volume spike 3.8x average volume, +16.7% on the day
- V Volume spike 3.2x average volume, +12.4% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.05 (+38.5%) vs consensus · +23.3% reaction
- V Volume spike 4.1x average volume, +23.4% on the day
- V Volume spike 4.0x average volume, +5.0% on the day
- M Mention spike 21 mentions vs 3.7/day the week before
Worst one single day Mar 24, 2025 → Mar 25, 2025 -29.4% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 3.2x average volume, -14.4% on the day
Worst one week Mar 19, 2025 → Mar 26, 2025 -62.9% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 3.2x average volume, -14.4% on the day
Worst one month Oct 13, 2025 → Nov 13, 2025 -61.6% · 2 events
- M Mention spike 21 mentions vs 3.7/day the week before
- E Earnings miss 3Q2025 · EPS −$0.18 vs consensus · +9.7% reaction
Worst 3 months Oct 13, 2025 → Jan 13, 2026 -56.9% · 2 events
- M Mention spike 21 mentions vs 3.7/day the week before
- E Earnings miss 3Q2025 · EPS −$0.18 vs consensus · +9.7% reaction
Worst 6 months Oct 13, 2025 → Apr 13, 2026 -56.6% · 6 events
- M Mention spike 21 mentions vs 3.7/day the week before
- E Earnings miss 3Q2025 · EPS −$0.18 vs consensus · +9.7% reaction
- V Volume spike 9.0x average volume, +7.9% on the day
- M Mention spike 117 mentions vs 3.4/day the week before
- I Insider buy Carolyn Trabuco (Director), $29,379
- E Earnings miss 4Q2025 · EPS −$0.05 (−39.0%) vs consensus · -7.7% reaction
Worst one year Oct 14, 2025 → Oct 14, 2026 -72.5% · 10 events
- E Earnings miss 3Q2025 · EPS −$0.18 vs consensus · +9.7% reaction
- V Volume spike 9.0x average volume, +7.9% on the day
- M Mention spike 117 mentions vs 3.4/day the week before
- I Insider buy Carolyn Trabuco (Director), $29,379
- E Earnings miss 4Q2025 · EPS −$0.05 (−39.0%) vs consensus · -7.7% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.4x average volume, +13.2% on the day
- E Earnings beat 1Q2026 · EPS +$0.11 (+46.7%) vs consensus · -2.3% reaction
- I Unplanned insider sale Carolyn Trabuco (Director), $295,984
- E Earnings miss 2Q2026 · EPS −$0.02 (−19.0%) vs consensus · -0.7% reaction
- I Unplanned insider sale Barbara Humpton (Former Chief Executive Officer), $1,215,376
From Wallsti's event record (Aftermath's events over the two years, plus the AI-read news catalysts, which only cover recent weeks). An event is no proof of cause: check the dates against the line.
Today vs. the best starting days
| As of | 1d | 1w | 1m | 3m | 6m | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 16, 2026 |
-3.0% | -14.3% | -28.7% | -32.4% | -41.6% | -62.3% |
| Best one single day Mar 13, 2025 |
-2.0% | +0.8% | -6.2% | -14.4% | +0.7% | +3.4% |
| Best one week Apr 9, 2025 |
-12.3% | +7.6% | -43.3% | -41.0% | -31.6% | -29.7% |
| Best one month Sep 12, 2025 |
-3.2% | +1.4% | -26.2% | -3.2% | +27.8% | +31.3% |
| Best 3 months Jul 11, 2025 |
-2.6% | +7.9% | -14.0% | +28.9% | -14.6% | +0.9% |
| Best 6 months Apr 11, 2025 |
-2.1% | +10.1% | -27.7% | -33.7% | -22.8% | -20.9% |
| Best one year Oct 16, 2024 |
0.0% | -0.1% | +0.4% | +1.3% | +2.4% | +5.3% |
Trailing gains over each window, today and on the day each best window started, to compare today's setup with the best entries.